State Legislature Redistricting

[Verily]

Some of their choices are slightly bizarre. They could definitely have created a totally new Democratic district in Morris County by combining Morristown, Morris Plains, Parsippany and Dover (plus the areas near each that are also Democratic) in one seat, but they chose not to do so for whatever reason, instead stranding all of those areas in R seats.

They also stranded some Democrats in LD39 unnecessarily in Closter, Haworth, Demarest, etc. Same with Bound Brook and South Bound Brook in LD23. Meanwhile, LD38 seems to have been made unnecessarily vulnerable; not sure why they didn't put Closter etc. in LD37 and Hackensack in LD38 to shore it up (then Paramus or something in LD39 to balance it out). Loretta Weinberg would have nothing to worry about with Englewood, Teaneck AND Tenafly still in her seat.

LD16 makes more sense than it looks as the parts of Somerset in the seat are marginal to D-leaning.

On the successful-gerrymandering side, they have successfully created a D or at least more likely to flip seat in Monmouth County in LD11 while at the same time pitting star incumbents Jennifer Beck and Sean Kean against each other there.

Diane Allen may lose LD07 now as it has dropped some of the less-D parts. (She really has no business holding it; it's something like 65% Obama.)

[Verily]

BRTD, presidential results are not a good example when determining who will win a legislative race. Most of the time a gubernatorial result makes more sense.

This is far more true in some states than others (and, even within states, in some specific regions/demographic groups than in others). Minnesota does not have much difference between its state and federal voting patterns.