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« on: March 15, 2011, 08:47:05 PM » |
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In MA there hasn't been much "seasonality" recently, as far as how good the year is for a Dem is concerned.
2008 was a good year for the Dems nationally - 25.81% margin in MA for Obama
2004 was a bad year for the Dems nationally - 25.16% margin in MA for Kerry
2000 was a bad year for the Dems nationally - 27.30% margin in MA for Gore
And being ideologically very distinct from the opponent isn't a particularly good thing when the opponent is much closer to the opinions of the electoral majority in the state.
But, in any case, Brown is not to be discounted. Still, it will be a battle for him, even with high approvals.
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