Wisconsin Senate Recall-a-palooza: 2012 Edition
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  Wisconsin Senate Recall-a-palooza: 2012 Edition
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Author Topic: Wisconsin Senate Recall-a-palooza: 2012 Edition  (Read 93850 times)
Wiz in Wis
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« Reply #125 on: June 17, 2011, 04:15:50 PM »

1) Ol TT can be counted on to be an idiot... good to see consistency

2) if the poll is reasonable, and accurate, then the Dems might pick up 5 or 6... Harsdorf is pretty well liked up there, compared to Hopper, Darling and Kapanke.
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« Reply #126 on: June 20, 2011, 01:01:54 AM »

Instead of focusing on recruiting fake Democrats, why not get a real Republican to run against Hopper? Because there is no way in hell they are holding that seat otherwise. (They don't have any realistic chance of holding Kapaneke's seat either, but no other candidate would do better.)
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bgwah
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« Reply #127 on: June 24, 2011, 02:27:31 AM »



Hello,
In Louisiana, there are special procedures which must be followed in medical malpractice cases. For example, in Louisiana, a claim must be filed with the State before a lawsuit can be filed. This claim is then reviewed by a panel of three Louisiana doctors, who give an opinion about whether any health care provider committed malpractice.Only after the panel has reached its decision can a lawsuit be filed. There are many complicated details to this Louisiana panel procedure, and many traps for the inexperienced Louisiana attorney


Thanks for the info!
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JohnnyLongtorso
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« Reply #128 on: June 25, 2011, 07:53:23 AM »

Missed this, but the six Republicans currently running in the Democratic recalls appear to have all gotten on the ballot. Also, the three placeholder Democrats who filed for the Republican recalls have dropped out.
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Meeker
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« Reply #129 on: June 26, 2011, 02:22:30 AM »

So what's the current timeline of these? I've lost track.
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JohnnyLongtorso
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« Reply #130 on: June 26, 2011, 07:43:21 AM »

Primary elections for the six Republican recalls are scheduled for July 12, with a general on August 9. Primary elections for the three Democratic recalls are scheduled for July 19, with a general on August 16. You can also look at the OP, where I've dumped all the information.
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JohnnyLongtorso
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« Reply #131 on: June 27, 2011, 03:15:21 PM »

Wow, here's some news: State Rep. John Nygren has been struck from the ballot in the District 30 recall for having 2 fewer signatures than is needed. 400 is required, he had 424, and 26 were declared invalid. This has two ramifications: Sen. Dave Hansen will face a weaker candidate in the recall election (the recall organizer, David VanderLeest), and this will mean the general election takes place on July 19, as opposed to the other two Democratic recalls, which have been pushed off to August due to Republican primaries.

This is a pretty bush-league mistake: everyone knows you should get 1.5 times the required number of signatures to be safe.
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The Dowager Mod
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« Reply #132 on: June 27, 2011, 05:18:07 PM »

Haha nice!
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Rowan
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« Reply #133 on: June 28, 2011, 07:13:41 PM »

Daily Kos/PPP has some polling out:

SD-32

Shilling(D): 56%
Kapanke(R): 42%

http://www.dailykos.com/polling/2011/6/23/WI-SD-32/37/zDyhA

SD-18

King(D): 50%
Hopper(R): 47%

http://www.dailykos.com/polling/2011/6/23/WI-SD-18/35/derOj

SD-10

Harsdorf(R): 50%
Moore(D): 45%

http://www.dailykos.com/polling/2011/6/23/WI-SD-10/36/8Tn3j

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JohnnyLongtorso
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« Reply #134 on: June 28, 2011, 07:26:02 PM »

Sounds about right.
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JohnnyLongtorso
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« Reply #135 on: June 30, 2011, 03:49:15 PM »

Nygren is going to court over being bounced from the ballot.
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The Dowager Mod
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« Reply #136 on: June 30, 2011, 06:58:23 PM »

Not a big surprise, won't help him though.
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Kevinstat
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« Reply #137 on: June 30, 2011, 07:44:35 PM »
« Edited: July 01, 2011, 05:19:18 PM by Kevinstat »


I thought Hopper was doomed, as opposed to trailing but not to be written off.  Maybe he is doomed, I don't know.  What do people think now?
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The Dowager Mod
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« Reply #138 on: July 01, 2011, 05:55:19 PM »

I was right, judge threw it out already today.
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Dgov
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« Reply #139 on: July 02, 2011, 08:47:00 PM »


I thought Hopper was doomed, as opposed to trailing but not to be written off.  Maybe he is doomed, I don't know.  What do people think now?

Unlike the other vulnerable Rpeublicans, he's just an unpopular incumbent in a fairly Republican district, so it might be that the recent Hyper-partisanship in Wisconsin is helping him out.
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« Reply #140 on: July 03, 2011, 02:10:11 PM »

Is there still anyone *couchcinyccough* who thinks Kapanke is going to hang on?
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ilikeverin
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« Reply #141 on: July 03, 2011, 04:38:30 PM »

I shook Shelly Moore's hand today Smiley
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« Reply #142 on: July 03, 2011, 08:10:25 PM »

Moore is actually running TV ads, odd for a State Senate race.
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Meeker
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« Reply #143 on: July 03, 2011, 08:25:04 PM »


Cable has made TV ads an affordable thing for lots of local races these days.
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they don't love you like i love you
BRTD
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« Reply #144 on: July 03, 2011, 08:42:12 PM »

Keep in mind though the district is only a very small portion of this media market. This isn't some mostly rural area with some small local networks. If I'm seeing the ads they're costing a bunch.
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JohnnyLongtorso
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« Reply #145 on: July 06, 2011, 09:51:00 AM »
« Edited: July 06, 2011, 09:56:50 AM by JohnnyLongtorso »

The pre-primary fundraising reports for the Republican recalls are in:

District 2

Robert Cowles (R) - $101k raised, $62k on hand; $101k total raised this year
Nancy Nusbaum (D) - $177k raised, $134k on hand

District 8

Alberta Darling (R) - $536k raised, $401k on hand; $958k total raised this year
Sandy Pasch (D) - $431k raised, $216k on hand

District 10

Sheila Harsdorf (R) - $218k raised, $142k on hand; $328k total raised this year
Shelly Moore (D) - $238k raised, $92k on hand

District 14

Luther Olsen (R) - $72k raised, $71k on hand; $107k total raised this year
Fred Clark (D) - $226k raised, $163k on hand

District 18

Randy Hopper (R) - $25k raised, $92k on hand; $227k total raised this year
Jessica King (D) - $222k raised, $191k on hand

District 32

Dan Kapanke (R) - $63k raised, $124k on hand; $726k total raised this year
Jennifer Shilling (D) - $271k raised, $154k on hand

Hopper and Kapanke look like they've about given up. Makes me wonder about that PPP poll showing Hopper only behind by 3. Cowles and Olsen must not think they're in much danger.

Isaac Weix was the only fake Democrat to actually file a report. He raised $1,200, $750 of which was an in-kind from the Wisconsin Republican Party.
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minionofmidas
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« Reply #146 on: July 06, 2011, 11:43:50 AM »

Where is the 8th district located?
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JohnnyLongtorso
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« Reply #147 on: July 06, 2011, 11:45:58 AM »

Milwaukee suburbs.
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« Reply #148 on: July 08, 2011, 01:52:20 AM »
« Edited: July 08, 2011, 01:54:25 AM by The worst thing I said was that I loved you »

Type of seat that just shouldn't be competitive despite an appendage reaching down to the Milwaukee border, and and only was because of Obama coattails. He won the district 51-49 which in Wisconsin isn't all that strong, but Darling only won 51-49 as well, so there was clearly a downballot effect. Of course I've also got the impression that Darling is an idiot and not all that popular (one of those both stupid and crazy female Republican types like Bachmann, Palin and O'Donnell, though in her case more stupid than crazy), so her poor performance isn't a surprise. Her name is pretty appropriate for such a right winger though.
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The Dowager Mod
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« Reply #149 on: July 08, 2011, 05:36:58 PM »

The 8th district starts a block north of my house.
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