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| | |-+  Wisconsin Senate Recall-a-palooza: 2012 Edition
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Author Topic: Wisconsin Senate Recall-a-palooza: 2012 Edition  (Read 76144 times)
Kevinstat
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« Reply #400 on: August 09, 2011, 10:45:03 pm »

According to Sykes Darling has an unreported margin of 5000 votes in Waukesha - JS has been sitting on it.

There were only 597 votes cast total in the one of 11 (so one would think about 1/11) precincts in Waukesha, so I find that doubtful.  Of course, that precinct could have been a small township.
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ag
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« Reply #401 on: August 09, 2011, 10:45:30 pm »

So, it seems, Darling should make it: but, in the end, there also those 12 precincts left in Milwaukee.
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This is the year which people will talk about
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nhmagic
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« Reply #402 on: August 09, 2011, 10:46:04 pm »

Sykes is now reporting that Darling should win 52 to Pasch's 48 if current trends hold.
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ag
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« Reply #403 on: August 09, 2011, 10:46:54 pm »

According to Sykes Darling has an unreported margin of 5000 votes in Waukesha - JS has been sitting on it.

There were only 597 votes cast total in the one of 11 (so one would think about 1/11) precincts in Waukesha, so I find that doubtful.  Of course, that precinct could have been a small township.

It is not unlikely. Waukeesha part of the district has about 32000 residents, according to the census. So, w/ about 3000 residents per precinct, it is not unlikely that there will be closer to 1000 votes.
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This is the year which people will talk about
This is the year which people will be silent about.
The old see the young die.
The foolish see the wise die.

The earth no longer produces, it devours.
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ag
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« Reply #404 on: August 09, 2011, 10:48:33 pm »

With 10 Waukeesha, 4 Ozaukee and 12 Milwaukee precincts left, Pasch's ahead by 1111 votes.

I guess, Darling should indeed make it: assuming no surprises from Milwaukee.
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This is the year which people will talk about
This is the year which people will be silent about.
The old see the young die.
The foolish see the wise die.

The earth no longer produces, it devours.
The sky hurls down no rain, only iron.

Bertolt Brecht
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« Reply #405 on: August 09, 2011, 10:49:38 pm »

Hopefully the old Milwaukee machine still has enough juice in it to get us over the hump. The Republicans are obviously cheating in Waukeesha, let's hope the Dems don't drop the ball doing their part.
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ag
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« Reply #406 on: August 09, 2011, 10:50:30 pm »

All of the 18th has reported. King won by around 1250 votes: should be outside the recount territory.
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This is the year which people will talk about
This is the year which people will be silent about.
The old see the young die.
The foolish see the wise die.

The earth no longer produces, it devours.
The sky hurls down no rain, only iron.

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« Reply #407 on: August 09, 2011, 10:51:08 pm »

Darling 49% @ 68%
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J. J.

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« Reply #408 on: August 09, 2011, 10:52:54 pm »

In the end, Kapanke is loosing badly. With all that's left being 12 precincts in La Crosse, he is down 44% to 56%. So, it may even be bigger than that.
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This is the year which people will talk about
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The old see the young die.
The foolish see the wise die.

The earth no longer produces, it devours.
The sky hurls down no rain, only iron.

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« Reply #409 on: August 09, 2011, 10:56:36 pm »

Hopefully the old Milwaukee machine still has enough juice in it to get us over the hump. The Republicans are obviously cheating in Waukeesha, let's hope the Dems don't drop the ball doing their part.
Obviously cheating - youre watching those idiots on MSNBC.  Waukesha went 62% for McCain over Obama in 2008, 71% for Walker in 2010 and 67% for Bush in 2004.  It's a blood red county.
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Torie
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« Reply #410 on: August 09, 2011, 10:57:19 pm »

The 14 out of 15 precincts left in Waukesha are hyper GOP, and yes, the one reported (in Butler) is a tiny precinct. I know from my Wisconsin mapping.  Menonomee Falls is the hometown of Sessenbrener (sp), and very, very red, redder than the county as a whole. Game over.
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ag
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« Reply #411 on: August 09, 2011, 10:58:39 pm »

The 14 out of 15 precincts left in Waukesha are hyper GOP, and yes, the one reported (in Butler) is a tiny precinct. I know from my Wisconsin mapping.  Game over.


Well, we don't know what's left in Milwaukee, do we?
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This is the year which people will talk about
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The old see the young die.
The foolish see the wise die.

The earth no longer produces, it devours.
The sky hurls down no rain, only iron.

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« Reply #412 on: August 09, 2011, 10:58:55 pm »

Hopefully the old Milwaukee machine still has enough juice in it to get us over the hump. The Republicans are obviously cheating in Waukeesha, let's hope the Dems don't drop the ball doing their part.
Obviously cheating - youre watching those idiots on MSNBC.  Waukesha went 62% for McCain over Obama in 2008, 71% for Walker in 2010 and 67% for Bush in 2004.  It's a blood red county.

No sir, I don't own a television.
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Nathan
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« Reply #413 on: August 09, 2011, 10:59:42 pm »

Kathy Nickolaus has just said there will be 'at least another hour' before Waukesha shoots its load without explaining why.
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ag
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« Reply #414 on: August 09, 2011, 10:59:55 pm »

The 14 out of 15 precincts left in Waukesha are hyper GOP, and yes, the one reported (in Butler) is a tiny precinct. I know from my Wisconsin mapping.  Game over.


The other interesting thing: Nikolaus has been saying she is not posting town-by-town results and I can't find the link on her page. But here is the file.
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This is the year which people will talk about
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The old see the young die.
The foolish see the wise die.

The earth no longer produces, it devours.
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Snowguy716
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« Reply #415 on: August 09, 2011, 11:03:33 pm »

Apparently the Waukesha numbers are in.. big pickup for the GOP
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« Reply #416 on: August 09, 2011, 11:03:45 pm »

     I really wish that Waukesha would get someone more competent. The de rigeur suspense is such a pain.
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ag
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« Reply #417 on: August 09, 2011, 11:04:34 pm »

Butler has 1841 residents, according to the census.  Menomonee Falls has 30,183 residents. It went 59.4% McCain. So it will be a huge tally for Darling - the question is, what's left in Milwaukee.

Also, it looks like another 500 votes is about to be added to Darling's tally from Ozaukee. Yeah, she should make it.
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This is the year which people will talk about
This is the year which people will be silent about.
The old see the young die.
The foolish see the wise die.

The earth no longer produces, it devours.
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« Reply #418 on: August 09, 2011, 11:05:13 pm »

That Waukesha clerk needs to be indicted.
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nhmagic
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« Reply #419 on: August 09, 2011, 11:08:18 pm »

Some people are saying she's just dedicated, not so much incompetent.  They are also saying its a tactic so that dems can't miraculously find votes in Milwaukee at the last minute.

I think she's just darn slow.
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Snowguy716
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« Reply #420 on: August 09, 2011, 11:08:59 pm »

Rumors and rumors of rumors...

and still no official Waukesha numbers.  I seriously smell fraud/incompetence which go hand in hand.
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Snowguy716
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« Reply #421 on: August 09, 2011, 11:10:00 pm »

Some people are saying she's just dedicated, not so much incompetent.  They are also saying its a tactic so that dems can't miraculously find votes in Milwaukee at the last minute.

I think she's just darn slow.
Perhaps you're right.  During the supreme court vote, she seemed really nervous.  Not the kind of "i did something wrong and I know it" nervous.. but the "ooh sh**t... all the cameras" kind.
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ag
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« Reply #422 on: August 09, 2011, 11:10:58 pm »

Some people are saying she's just dedicated, not so much incompetent.  They are also saying its a tactic so that dems can't miraculously find votes in Milwaukee at the last minute.

I think she's just darn slow.

She is so dedicated, she has invented her own results reporting procedure, that happens to be surprisingly untransparent.

Anyway, she's just reported 10/11 precincts. Darling is ahead by about 2600 votes, which will become about 3000 when that Ozaukee precinct is entered. At which point, it will be 3 Ozaukee, 1 Waukeesha and 12 Milwaukee precincts to go. Darling should make to 51% in the end.
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This is the year which people will talk about
This is the year which people will be silent about.
The old see the young die.
The foolish see the wise die.

The earth no longer produces, it devours.
The sky hurls down no rain, only iron.

Bertolt Brecht
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« Reply #423 on: August 09, 2011, 11:11:27 pm »

52/48 Darling...
She's ahead by ~2600 votes.
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« Reply #424 on: August 09, 2011, 11:11:53 pm »

Perhaps you're right.  During the supreme court vote, she seemed really nervous.  Not the kind of "i did something wrong and I know it" nervous.. but the "ooh sh**t... all the cameras" kind.
[/quote]

That is, incompetent nervous. Yeah, I don't think she is cheating: she just has no clue what she's doing.
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This is the year which people will talk about
This is the year which people will be silent about.
The old see the young die.
The foolish see the wise die.

The earth no longer produces, it devours.
The sky hurls down no rain, only iron.

Bertolt Brecht
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