Wisconsin Senate Recall-a-palooza: 2012 Edition
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  Wisconsin Senate Recall-a-palooza: 2012 Edition
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Author Topic: Wisconsin Senate Recall-a-palooza: 2012 Edition  (Read 93855 times)
Mr.Phips
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« Reply #250 on: August 09, 2011, 07:24:59 AM »

The antics on Wall Street today seems likely to help the GOP hold onto the Wisconsin Senate.  I think enough folks who blame Obama for the mess and are convinced we are overspending will be motivated to get out and vote.  Not that the Wisconsin State Senate has any remote say in our national fiscal policy, but the timing couldn't have been worse for Badger Democrats.


I would think that the antics on Wall Street would make people want to vote out incumbents. 
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krazen1211
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« Reply #251 on: August 09, 2011, 09:19:14 AM »

This is going to be a great example of Nixon's silent majority.
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #252 on: August 09, 2011, 01:08:57 PM »

I´m pleased to see that PPP got the recall election right that was already held.
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DrScholl
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« Reply #253 on: August 09, 2011, 02:13:15 PM »

Democrats win three seats, two at minimum.
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World politics is up Schmitt creek
Nathan
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« Reply #254 on: August 09, 2011, 02:42:12 PM »

Kapanke strong D, Hopper lean D, Olsen tilt D, Darling and Harsdorf tilt R, Cowles likely R.
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Keystone Phil
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« Reply #255 on: August 09, 2011, 02:49:50 PM »

Looks like some of our Dem members don't have much faith in PPP for these races. I wonder why.  Wink
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World politics is up Schmitt creek
Nathan
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« Reply #256 on: August 09, 2011, 03:00:24 PM »

'Voters in Wisconsin have started getting tons of robocalls urging them to vote, and some have started just ignoring their phones altogether. Since PPP also uses automated calls, this makes it trickier for us to poll and introduces a greater element of uncertainty than usual into these numbers.'
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NVGonzalez
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« Reply #257 on: August 09, 2011, 03:18:11 PM »

If Darling loses I will be soooo happy...
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Rowan
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« Reply #258 on: August 09, 2011, 04:12:25 PM »

Kapanke and Hopper both go down.

Republicans retain control of the Senate, however.
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krazen1211
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« Reply #259 on: August 09, 2011, 04:39:14 PM »

http://twitter.com/#!/djambrek/status/101040179883675649

Disheartened to see voter turnout in student wards at Oshkosh and Milwaukee are low, but not surprised



Hehehe
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Meeker
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« Reply #260 on: August 09, 2011, 04:42:13 PM »

http://twitter.com/#!/djambrek/status/101040179883675649

Disheartened to see voter turnout in student wards at Oshkosh and Milwaukee are low, but not surprised



Hehehe

Uhh, duh. It's the summer.
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Holmes
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« Reply #261 on: August 09, 2011, 04:46:54 PM »

Happy voter turnout is low? smh.
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #262 on: August 09, 2011, 05:00:38 PM »

Anyway, why are these recall elections held during summer/vacation time and not in November ?
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Meeker
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« Reply #263 on: August 09, 2011, 05:02:32 PM »

Because Wisconsin state law says they have to be held x number of days after the signatures are submitted. And the volunteers only had y number of days to collect signatures. And if they wanted to collect enough signatures they had to start on z date while anger over the budget was still fresh in peoples minds.
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Torie
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« Reply #264 on: August 09, 2011, 05:03:26 PM »

Anyway, why are these recall elections held during summer/vacation time and not in November ?

The Dems were impatient.

Never was there a more meaningless election. The Pubbies got their wish list enacted into law, and after their gerrymander, will get back control of the Senate in short order (Jan 2013) even if they lose 3 seats tonight.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #265 on: August 09, 2011, 05:06:17 PM »

And why are there recall elections in only a handful of districts and why are also Democratic incumbents up for recall ?
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Meeker
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« Reply #266 on: August 09, 2011, 05:07:59 PM »

Only those State Senators up for re-election in 2012 were eligible for a recall. Signatures were gathered against all of them, but some of them didn't get enough to be recalled.

The Democratic recalls were organized by Republicans in retribution for the recalls against the Republicans.
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ag
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« Reply #267 on: August 09, 2011, 05:16:33 PM »

Never was there a more meaningless election. The Pubbies got their wish list enacted into law, and after their gerrymander, will get back control of the Senate in short order (Jan 2013) even if they lose 3 seats tonight.

There, actually, could be an interesting twist. It is quite probable, especially if the Dems are reasonably successful today, that there is going to be a next batch of recalls next year. It is not impossible that such recalls would happen around the regula election date. And here could be a funny thing: I guess, the recalls would have to still run on the old lines, so that some voters would get a chance to vote both in the new district and in the old district at the same time!
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #268 on: August 09, 2011, 05:17:37 PM »

Ah, ok. Thx.

In my opinion these elections won't tell us anything. It's like predicting the upcoming parliamentary election here by using a local state election before that and projecting the results. More or less useless.

I´m only interested in how PPP's polls in some of the districts turn out (the ones they did this weekend).
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NVGonzalez
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« Reply #269 on: August 09, 2011, 05:18:29 PM »

based upon what I am reading the GOP looks very nervous. Which is why I feel like this.

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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #270 on: August 09, 2011, 05:41:22 PM »

Here is 1 poll from Magellan Strategies (R) that you forgot to post:

Baton Rouge, LA – Magellan Strategies BR today released the survey results of an autodial
survey of 1,433 voters inWisconsin Senate District 18. The survey was conducted August
4th, 2011.

The survey finds the race statistically tied. Republican, Randy Hooper is currently polling
47.5%, while Democrat Jessica King is polling 50%. The electorate is extremely polarized.
Of the 47.5% Hooper is polling, 46.1% is definitely supporting Hooper and of the 50% King
is polling, 48.1% is definitely supporting King.

The race appears to be a referendum on Governor ScottWalker and unions. Ninety-eight
percent of voters who support Hooper also approve of the job Governor ScottWalker is
doing, while 95%of King’s support disapproves of the job GovernorWalker is doing.
Likewise, 85%of Hooper’s support has an unfavorable opinion on labor unions, while 90%
of King’s support has a favorable opinion of unions.

http://www.magellanstrategies.com/web/wp-content/uploads/2011/08/WISD018_080311-SURVEY-RELEASE1.pdf
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DrScholl
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« Reply #271 on: August 09, 2011, 05:43:03 PM »


Consider the poster to posted that. Republicans perform best when most people don't vote.
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Verily
Cuivienen
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« Reply #272 on: August 09, 2011, 06:26:30 PM »


Consider the poster to posted that. Republicans perform best when most people don't vote.

In general elections. In special elections, the impact of turnout is at best ambiguous.
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krazen1211
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« Reply #273 on: August 09, 2011, 06:35:42 PM »

'Kinda changing topics, but if Democrats take both chambers and defeat Walker by 2013, what are the odds of a mid-decade redistricting?

You would have to redefine the word 'first'.


http://nxt.legis.state.wi.us/nxt/gateway.dll?f=templates&fn=default.htm&d=wiscon&jd=top

"At its first session after each enumeration made by the authority of the United States, the legislature shall apportion and district anew the members of the senate and assembly, according to the number of inhabitants."
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ag
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« Reply #274 on: August 09, 2011, 08:00:59 PM »

Now, we just have to wait Smiley)
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