Wisconsin Senate Recall-a-palooza: 2012 Edition

[Meeker]

Luther Olsen ended up only winning 52-48.

[ag]

Yep 15 in Milwaukee and 15 in the suburubs (Ozaukee has also reported one of those that had been remaining), but Pasch's lead is under 1000 votes now. And those 10 Waukeesha precincts should take Darling over.

[mondale84]

I know you shouldnt read too much into these elections, but the fact that the GOP is managing to do as well as they (especially with the tv drama of the angry left and protesting) are, should be an indication of how strong the GOP is in the state compared to even 10 years ago.  It bodes well for 2012.

With low turnout and $30 million spent, mostly from shadow right-wing groups, we shouldn't be surprised....

Yes losers always blame the money from "shadowy" groups.  We did in 08.  You did in 10 and you will again in 12 .

Except WE didn't have shadow groups in 08

[J. J.]

Darling 49% @ 63%

[Miles]

I know you shouldnt read too much into these elections, but the fact that the GOP is managing to do as well as they (especially with the tv drama of the angry left and protesting) are, should be an indication of how strong the GOP is in the state compared to even 10 years ago.  It bodes well for 2012.

With low turnout and $30 million spent, mostly from shadow right-wing groups, we shouldn't be surprised....

Yes losers always blame the money from "shadowy" groups.  We did in 08.  You did in 10 and you will again in 12 .

Can you stop with all this 2012 stuff!!!?

A year is an eternity in politics

[ag]

I guess, Republicans will hold majority by a whisker: the size of that whisker will be determined by county clerk Nikolaus doing her algebra.

[Smash255]

Luther Olsen ended up only winning 52-48.

Probably why they took forever to call it, what was left was very Democratic, though obviously not enough.

[JohnnyLongtorso]

All right, I give up, I'm going to bed while assuming that King and Darling win.

[nhmagic]

The Hopper race wouldnt be as close as it is if it weren't for him having an affair with a 25 year old aide.  He should be thrown out anyways and I would be ok as long as Darling pulls through.  BTW, they're all smiles in the Darling war room.

[Mr.Phips]

If the final precincts in SD-08 vote the way the counted precincts vote, Darling stands to pick up a net of just 26 votes.  If Darling mysteriously pulls into the lead, if I were Pasch, I would seriously talk to my lawyers as soon as possible.  

[J. J.]

All right, I give up, I'm going to bed while assuming that King and Darling win.

I would make neither assumption.

[nhmagic]

Journal Sentinel is dragging out the results apparently (according to Sykes).

[Miles]

105/108 precincts- King up 51-49.

King has almost a 1200-vote edge with 97% in.

[J. J.]

King 51% @ 97%

[nhmagic]

If the final precincts in SD-08 vote the way the counted precincts vote, Darling stands to pick up a net of just 26 votes.  If Darling mysteriously pulls into the lead, if I were Pasch, I would seriously talk to my lawyers as soon as possible.  

This is a serious question - why would her pulling into the lead with Waukesha still out be a legal issue - its one of her strongholds?

[ag]

If the final precincts in SD-08 vote the way the counted precincts vote, Darling stands to pick up a net of just 26 votes.  If Darling mysteriously pulls into the lead, if I were Pasch, I would seriously talk to my lawyers as soon as possible.  

Suburban precincts seem to be simply bigger. But, of course, Waukeesha is making itself a laughing stock once again.

1 more precinct has just reported in Winnebago: suddenly King is quite a bit ahead.

[nhmagic]

Waukesha's about to report.

[J. J.]

Darling 48% @ 67%

[ag]

This is a serious question - why would her pulling into the lead with Waukesha still out be a legal issue - its one of her strongholds?

Well, there are 10/11 precincts left in Waukeesha, 5/11 in Ozaukee and 15/51 in Milwaukee. Milwaukee isn't her stronghold, is it?

However, the main problem seems to be that Waukeesha has a particularly incompetent county clerk who is insisting on using extremely strange reporting procedures.

[Kevinstat]

I guess, Republicans will hold majority by a whisker: the size of that whisker will be determined by county clerk Nikolaus doing her algebra.

Well, the 36 Milliwakee County precincts in so far gave Pasch a 212-vote margin per precinct, while the 7 precincts in Ozaukee and Waukesha counties gave Darling a slightly higher 241-vote margin per precinct (but lower in Waukesha where there are more precincts left), and exactly half the remaining precincts out (as I decided to start writing this message) are in each group, but Pasch has an 887-vote margin, so I think she might actually have an edge, although I don't know where the outstanding precincts in each county are from.

[nhmagic]

According to Sykes Darling has an unreported margin of 5000 votes in Waukesha - JS has been sitting on it.

[HST1948]

Jessica King was just declared the winner in 18.

[ag]

Seems like Darling is to pick another 600 votes from just 1 precinct in Ozaukee.

[Miles]

Jessica King was just declared the winner.

'Praise the Lord!

[Kevinstat]

According to Sykes Darling has an unreported margin of 5000 votes in Waukesha - JS has been sitting on it.

There were only 597 votes cast total in the one of 11 (so one would think about 1/11) precincts in Waukesha, so I find that doubtful.  Of course, that precinct could have been a small township.