Wisconsin Senate Recall-a-palooza: 2012 Edition
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Author Topic: Wisconsin Senate Recall-a-palooza: 2012 Edition  (Read 93848 times)
JohnnyLongtorso
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« Reply #600 on: August 16, 2011, 09:16:53 PM »

Empty precinct; there are a lot of those in Wisconsin.

Wirch is up to a 58-42 lead in Kenosha with about half the precincts in.
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J. J.
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« Reply #601 on: August 16, 2011, 09:23:29 PM »
« Edited: August 16, 2011, 09:25:31 PM by J. J. »

It looks about the same as 2008, correct?  One or two points up for the Democrats?
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Seattle
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« Reply #602 on: August 16, 2011, 09:30:44 PM »

AP calling it for Wirch, 55-45, no surprise. That margin will probably rise too.
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J. J.
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« Reply #603 on: August 16, 2011, 09:32:39 PM »

Beet me to it.
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krazen1211
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« Reply #604 on: August 16, 2011, 09:33:10 PM »

It looks about the same as 2008, correct?  One or two points up for the Democrats?

About that. Some GOP counties outstanding, but it likely won't be enough.
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J. J.
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« Reply #605 on: August 16, 2011, 09:37:39 PM »

Langlade, Lincoln, Vilas, and Florence, still out.  How many people and how do they vote?
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Seattle
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« Reply #606 on: August 16, 2011, 09:48:44 PM »
« Edited: August 16, 2011, 09:52:38 PM by Seattle »

According to Krazen here are 2008 %s:

Florence: 43%
Forest: 56%  -- 58%
Langlade: 46% -- 50%
Lincoln: 49%
Marathon: 49% -- 49%
Marinette: 48% -- 48%
Menominee: 86% -- 77%
Oconto: 54% -- 49%
Oneida: 54% -- 58%
Shawano: 56% -- 52%
Vilas: 50% -- 53%

So overall pretty similar. Lincoln has 30,000 people, while Florence has 4,000, no idea about the rest of Oneida.

 
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J. J.
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« Reply #607 on: August 16, 2011, 09:52:25 PM »

According to Krazen here are 2008 %s:

Florence: 43%
Forest: 56%  -- 58%
Langlade: 46% -- 50%
Lincoln: 49%
Marathon: 49% -- 49%
Marinette: 48% -- 48%
Menominee: 86% -- 77%
Oconto: 54% -- 49%
Oneida: 54% -- 56%
Shawano: 56% -- 52%
Vilas: 50% -- 53%

So overall pretty similar. Lincoln togethor have 30,000 people, while Florence has 4,000, no idea about the rest of Oneida.

 


Vilas and Langlade just reported at the same percentages as 2008.  Time to call it for Holperin.
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J. J.
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« Reply #608 on: August 16, 2011, 09:55:35 PM »

I beet AP to it.  Smiley
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JohnnyLongtorso
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« Reply #609 on: August 16, 2011, 09:57:41 PM »

Wow, strong finish by Holperin. I was expecting a 51-49 result; looks like it'll end up being around 53.
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krazen1211
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« Reply #610 on: August 16, 2011, 09:58:02 PM »

Red Racing Horses, the conservative alternative to DKE, has their own polling operation now! They used We Ask America and got a 51-49 Holperin lead. Unfortunately for them, their sample looks too independent-heavy (and zero undecideds always seems... unlikely).

WAA did an ok job. PPP put up a clunker.
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JohnnyLongtorso
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« Reply #611 on: August 16, 2011, 09:59:49 PM »

Six out of seven ain't bad.
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Seattle
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« Reply #612 on: August 16, 2011, 10:03:25 PM »

Red Racing Horses, the conservative alternative to DKE, has their own polling operation now! They used We Ask America and got a 51-49 Holperin lead. Unfortunately for them, their sample looks too independent-heavy (and zero undecideds always seems... unlikely).

WAA did an ok job. PPP put up a clunker.
Didnt PPP put out a 55-43 Holperin lead? That's mighty close to 54-46
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krazen1211
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« Reply #613 on: August 16, 2011, 10:12:35 PM »

Didnt PPP put out a 55-43 Holperin lead? That's mighty close to 54-46

55-41. Florence is the strongest GOP county in the district and has yet to report.
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Talleyrand
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« Reply #614 on: August 16, 2011, 10:13:34 PM »

Inside Michigan Politics' pollster did the best. They had 53% Holperin 46% Simac.
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Nhoj
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« Reply #615 on: August 16, 2011, 10:14:23 PM »

Didnt PPP put out a 55-43 Holperin lead? That's mighty close to 54-46

55-41. Florence is the strongest GOP county in the district and has yet to report.
It also has only 4k people.
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krazen1211
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« Reply #616 on: August 16, 2011, 10:17:32 PM »


True enough. I guess an 8 point win is equidistant from both polls if it ends that way. Lincoln is allegedly hand-counting so it'll be a while.
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #617 on: August 16, 2011, 10:29:51 PM »

These election results represent a clear rebuke of Walker's politics and an embrace of the union agenda. They are very bad news for Scott Walker.
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CatoMinor
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« Reply #618 on: August 16, 2011, 11:04:18 PM »

These election results represent a clear rebuke of Walker's politics and an embrace of the union agenda. They are very bad news for Scott Walker.

The Dems failed to take back the Senate, polls show less people favoring recall, and his approvals are not that bad. And if we look back a few months we can all remember the effort to take out Prosser failed. So I really don't see how you interpret this as some big embrace of the union agenda.
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BRTD
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« Reply #619 on: August 16, 2011, 11:08:44 PM »

These election results represent a clear rebuke of Walker's politics and an embrace of the union agenda. They are very bad news for Scott Walker.

The Dems failed to take back the Senate, polls show less people favoring recall, and his approvals are not that bad. And if we look back a few months we can all remember the effort to take out Prosser failed. So I really don't see how you interpret this as some big embrace of the union agenda.

He's just parodying J. J.
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krazen1211
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« Reply #620 on: August 16, 2011, 11:23:09 PM »

Red Racing Horses, the conservative alternative to DKE, has their own polling operation now! They used We Ask America and got a 51-49 Holperin lead. Unfortunately for them, their sample looks too independent-heavy (and zero undecideds always seems... unlikely).

WAA did an ok job. PPP put up a clunker.

Spoke too soon. Final result 55-45.
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J. J.
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« Reply #621 on: August 16, 2011, 11:52:34 PM »

These election results represent a clear rebuke of Walker's politics and an embrace of the union agenda. They are very bad news for Scott Walker.

The Dems failed to take back the Senate, polls show less people favoring recall, and his approvals are not that bad. And if we look back a few months we can all remember the effort to take out Prosser failed. So I really don't see how you interpret this as some big embrace of the union agenda.



He's just parodying J. J.

I never mentioned the Walker poll and it took me a while to remember Prosser.

Not particularly good news for the Democrats; 'tis their summer of discontent.

It's interesting that I don't even have to mention these things for people to see it.
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #622 on: August 17, 2011, 12:30:16 AM »

Good to see that PPP did well again ... Smiley
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #623 on: August 17, 2011, 01:02:13 AM »

These election results represent a clear rebuke of Walker's politics and an embrace of the union agenda. They are very bad news for Scott Walker.

The Dems failed to take back the Senate, polls show less people favoring recall, and his approvals are not that bad. And if we look back a few months we can all remember the effort to take out Prosser failed. So I really don't see how you interpret this as some big embrace of the union agenda.



He's just parodying J. J.

I never mentioned the Walker poll and it took me a while to remember Prosser.

Not particularly good news for the Democrats; 'tis their summer of discontent.

It's interesting that I don't even have to mention these things for people to see it.

You can't be a real person.
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Lief 🗽
Lief
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« Reply #624 on: August 17, 2011, 01:15:05 AM »

I had expected the Republicans to pick up both seats, with comfortable margins of victory. The fact that they did not should be very worrying. These Democratic victories have the potential to ensure that no Republican ever wins an election in the United States ever again.

The results tonight may typify a changing attitude in the United States and indeed the Western world. They are not good news for the Republicans or conservatives, short term, and in the long term, may spell the beginning of the end for free market capitalism.
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