In his favor, Kasich is a good communicator. And, if Obama wins reelection in 2012, 2014 would traditionally be a good year for the GOP.
President's dont have two bad midterms usually. 2014 could well be a lot like 1998.
Reagan and Ike both had two bad midterms. I thought Obama was Reagan? 
Ike's first midterm wasnt too bad. Reagan's second one wasnt too bad either, with Republicans picking up eight governorships.
Governorships are pretty removed from the Presidency. Republicans got slaughtered in the Senate and House in 1986; Democrats lost a lot of Governorships simply because there were so many open seats available for Republicans to pick up. Only 2 of the GOP's pickups (Wisconsin; Texas) came from defeating incumbents.
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