Which of the following GOP governors is most likely to be re-elected in 2014?

[Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee]

It would be wise to remember that Christie went from being disapproved of by 2-1 (although the poll is questioned there is no doubt that he was very unpopular at one point) to being approved of by a range of about 10 to 15 points in just one year. Daniels was DOA in 2008 as late as 2007 with Approvals in the range of Ernie Fletcher and Matt Blunt (both of whom are now gone).

[Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee]

I'd say that Snyder, Corbet and Branstad are strongly favored at this point.  Based on his past electoral history, even after contentious and unpopular decisions, I'd say Walker can probably recover. The one I am least sure of is Kasich.

[Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee]

In his favor, Kasich is a good communicator.  And, if Obama wins reelection in 2012, 2014 would traditionally be a good year for the GOP.

President's dont have two bad midterms usually.  2014 could well be a lot like 1998.

Reagan and Ike both had two bad midterms. I thought Obama was Reagan?

[Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee]

In his favor, Kasich is a good communicator.  And, if Obama wins reelection in 2012, 2014 would traditionally be a good year for the GOP.

President's dont have two bad midterms usually.  2014 could well be a lot like 1998.

Reagan and Ike both had two bad midterms. I thought Obama was Reagan?

Ike's first midterm wasnt too bad.  Reagan's second one wasnt too bad either, with Republicans picking up eight governorships.  

Ike lost both houses of congress in 1954. In 1958 the Dems crushed the GOP so bad it gave the Dems a 40 year majority in the house.


In 1986, the GOP lost like 8 Senate seats (and the Senate Majority) and a lot of House seats.