Portuguese General Election

[RodPresident]

In Brazil, our main right-wing party is Social Democratic, but it began as left of center party.

[RodPresident]

Portugal is losing a historic opportunity. Sócrates in my opinion could go to Left Bloc and Communists asking for a left-wing coalition to mantain Portugal sovereign. Nations need to be freed from debt "prison". We need to show that there's another way than giving money to bankers to promote a healthy development.

[RodPresident]

Can PTP gain a seat or more in Madeira with dark horse José Manuel Coelho? It would be awesome to have him as swing vote in National Assembly. I think also that far-right PNR and far-left parties (PCTP and POUS) can try to make inroads in main districts (Lisbon and Porto) to get a seat in protest, although election looks to be very polarized to third (or sixth) parties gains.

[RodPresident]

Portugal uses D'Hondt method.

[RodPresident]

In Madeira, CDS-PP got a seat with 11.12% of votes. I think that if PTP gets 15% or more, Coelho can get a seat with 12% and if he goes with more than 25%, he can bring another PTP person to parliament. In National Assembly, if PSD gets power, he can become a national leadership.

[RodPresident]

It looks that PCTP can get a set in Lisbon too, but I doubt this. In Madeira, José Manuel Coelho showing is going to be another epic fail.

[RodPresident]

It looks that this will be reverse version of PSD's 2005 debacle.

[RodPresident]

In Madeira, as it's a safe place for PSD, many people go only to vote for another parties. In Açores, PS situation is bad. They hold regional government.

[RodPresident]

Setúbal results were already announced:
PS: 27,14%/5 seats (-2)
PSD: 25,15%/5 seats (+2)
CDU (PCP/PEV): 19,65%/4 seats (+1)
CDS/PP: 12,02%/2 seats (nc)
BE: 7,03%/1 seat (-1)
Only Lisbon and abroad seats weren't announced.

[RodPresident]

And finally Lisbon
PSD: 34,1%/18 seats (+5)
PS: 27,53%/14 seats (-5)
CDS-PP: 13,78%/7 seats (+2)
CDU (PCP/PEV): 9,55%/5 seats (nc)
BE: 5,71%/3 seats (-2)
Final results (without 2 European and 2 Non-European seats):
PSD: 38,63% (+9,52%)/105 seats (+24)
PS: 28,05% (-8,51%)/73 seats (-24)
CDS-PP: 11,74% (+1,31%)/24 seats (+3)
CDU (PCP/PEV) (+0,08%): 7,94%/16 seats (+1)
BE: 5,19% (-4,62%) /8 seats (-8)
This majority will be the largest since 1991 (Cavaco Silva's PSD government).