Spanish General Election 2011

[Gren]

How quickly do you guys see the Rajoy government becoming extremely unpopular and prompting mass protests/riots?

Quite soon, actually.

[Niemeyerite]

How quickly do you guys see the Rajoy government becoming extremely unpopular and prompting mass protests/riots?

Rajoy IS very unpopular, and there'll be protests tomorrow.

First polls, coming from PP:

PP 185-195
PSOE 115-125

What an useless poll!!!

____________________

Here I have some questions:

-Will PSOE win more or less seats than 125 (the number of seats carried by Almunia)?
-Will Revilla get his seat in Cantabria?
-Who will win in Huelva?
-Who comes 2nd in Catalunya, CiU or PP?
-Will Equo have a parliamentary group (+5 seats)? (ICV-equo-compromis)

______________________

RTVE poll:

PSOE 30% 115-119
PP 43.5% 181-185
CiU 13-15
IU 9-11
Amaiur 6-7
PNV 4-5
UPyD 3-4
ERC 3
CC 2-3
BNG 2

[Niemeyerite]

FAC 1 Geora Bai 0-1 Compromis 0-1

[minionofmidas]

Good showing for regional parties and/or Commies, then.

Heh. And then Julio beat me, with the detailed figures. Thanks!

[Hash]

Nice to see the nationalists are doing well, but it's a pity for the PNV.

[Filuwaúrdjan]

For reference, the PSOE's worst result since the return of democracy was in 1977 (29.3% and 118 seats), while the PP's best result was in 2000 (44.5% and 183 seats). Good set of results for the non-PSOE left, by the looks of things.

[Niemeyerite]

Importante facts:
IU gets 1 seat in Asturias
Amaiur wins the battle against PNV
UPyD may get their seat in Valencia
ERC will get a better than expected results (as I predicted)

[Hash]

Ugh, UPyD is awful and Rosa Diez is an insane Franquista.

[Peter the Lefty]

How quickly do you guys see the Rajoy government becoming extremely unpopular and prompting mass protests/riots?

I'd say give him 2-3 months in office before his approval rating is lower than Zapatero's is now.  The question is, will the PSOE manage to clean up its tarnished image enough to capitalize on his unpopularity by the next election?  Doubt it.  

[Niemeyerite]

For reference, the PSOE's worst result since the return of democracy was in 1977 (29.3% and 118 seats), while the PP's best result was in 2000 (44.5% and 183 seats). Good set of results for the non-PSOE left, by the looks of things.

Yes, but there were a lot of left parties which then went to the PSOE, like PSP, some communist parties, PSUC...

[Tetro Kornbluth]

Ugh, UPyD is awful and Rosa Diez is an insane Franquista.

They seem to me to be the most self-righteous party, quite possibly in Europe (note: It seems that a good proportion of my Spanish friends are voting for them so yeah...). But franquista is a bit nuts, though there is clearly some of kind historical continuity between the UPyD and a certain type of Castillian Liberalism.

[Keystone Phil]

Wow. I need the name of that anchor on the live stream.    She's the only thing better than the results right now.

[Peter the Lefty]

Anyone know if Rubalcaba plans to become opposition leader if (or rather when) he looses, or if he'll resign in order to make way for a PSOE leadership election?

[Tetro Kornbluth]

Anyone know if Rubalcaba plans to become opposition leader if (or rather when) he looses, or if he'll resign in order to make way for a PSOE leadership election?

The consensus in the press was that he would stay on.

[Niemeyerite]

Poll from Canal 9 (Valencia):

PP 20-22
PSOE 10-11 (-4-3)
IU (1-2)
Compromis (0-1)
UPyD (0-1)

[Phony Moderate]

I've just realised that I've no alcohol in my flat, so will have to find some form of drowning-sorrows substitute. Biscuits, maybe? Think I've still some leaf tea left as well. Not ideal for these purposes, but will do, I think...

Try some cheddar cheese biscuits if you've got any. They do the trick. 

[Phony Moderate]

Wow. I need the name of that anchor on the live stream.    She's the only thing better than the results right now.

Interesting....

[Peter the Lefty]

Anyone know if Rubalcaba plans to become opposition leader if (or rather when) he looses, or if he'll resign in order to make way for a PSOE leadership election?

The consensus in the press was that he would stay on.

Thus dooming the PSOE's chances of returning to power...unless he wins "by default" in some future election like Rajoy is doing right now.

[Niemeyerite]

Wow. I need the name of that anchor on the live stream.    She's the only thing better than the results right now.

She's Ana Blanco. The left is in love with her (myself included) and is a brillant journalist, but PP hates her because they say she's biased (which is false, as RTVE and her programme "Los desayunos" has got a lot of international recognition and has won many prizes).

[TheDeadFlagBlues]

I was hoping that the IU would be the main beneficiaries from the PSOE exodus and not the UPyD.

[Niemeyerite]

No, no. Rubalcaba will remain the leader of the opposition, but he won't ru for General Secretary of PSOE, that for sure.

What's being said is that the candidates could be Eduardo Madina, Carme Chacon or Patxi Lopez.
Any of them is perfect for me.

The winner of the night may be Amaiur

[Peter the Lefty]

No, no. Rubalcaba will remain the leader of the opposition, but he won't ru for General Secretary of PSOE, that for sure.

What's being said is that the candidates could be Eduardo Madina, Carme Chacon or Patxi Lopez.
Any of them is perfect for me.

The winner of the night may be Amaiur

Does he honestly think he can win a future election?

[Keystone Phil]

Wow. I need the name of that anchor on the live stream.    She's the only thing better than the results right now.

She's Ana Blanco. The left is in love with her (myself included) and is a brillant journalist, but PP hates her because they say she's biased (which is false, as RTVE and her programme "Los desayunos" has got a lot of international recognition and has won many prizes).

Uh...I'm not concerned with her politics.    Thanks for her name!

For the record, I have a history of being attracted to political opposites.

[Hash]

Wow. I need the name of that anchor on the live stream.    She's the only thing better than the results right now.

She's Ana Blanco. The left is in love with her (myself included) and is a brillant journalist, but PP hates her because they say she's biased (which is false, as RTVE and her programme "Los desayunos" has got a lot of international recognition and has won many prizes).

I think he's referring to Ana Pastor, who's way hotter.

[Keystone Phil]

Wow. I need the name of that anchor on the live stream.    She's the only thing better than the results right now.

She's Ana Blanco. The left is in love with her (myself included) and is a brillant journalist, but PP hates her because they say she's biased (which is false, as RTVE and her programme "Los desayunos" has got a lot of international recognition and has won many prizes).

Uh...I'm not concerned with her politics.    Thanks for her name!

For the record, I have a history of being attracted to political opposites.

No. Wait. Not that old woman. The younger one in green anchoring the commentary.