Spanish General Election 2011

[Gren]

The higher turnout is actually noticeable in the Basque Country. I went to vote at 12:30 and there were a lot of people in the street, much more then usual. I voted for the PNV, and so did my dad and sister. My mum voted for Rubalcaba in fear of the PP, which she despises.

In my town the turnout is higher than in 2008. In the Basque Country, Jaen and Cordoba it's also grown. In the rest of Spain, it's lower.

I've been all the time helping PSOE people this morning. But, you know, "Alea Iacta Est". Rajoy will win, unfortunately...

My prediction:

PP 183-186
PSOE 126-129 (being optimistic)
IU 7-9
UPyD 2-3
CiU 12
PNV 4
Aralar 5
BNG 2
CC-NC 3
FAC 2
ERC 2-3
Compromis/Equo 2
PRC 0 (unfortunately)

I don't agree with your prediction when it comes to the PRC. I think that they will win 1 seat. Also, I wish you're wrong about the PNV and  that we maintain our 6 seats, or at least the 5 required to have our own group in Congress. By the way, it's not Aralar but Amaiur, and yes, it will achieve a very good result.

[Gren]

By the way, it's not Aralar but Amaiur, and yes, it will achieve a very good result.

Which is Aralar + EA, right?

Aralar+Bildu (EA, Alternatiba and more importantly, the zquierda Abertzale)

[Gren]

I voted for the PNV, and so did my dad and sister.

FF!

Hopefully the PNV does keep all its 6 seats. I doubt they'll win less than 5 seats, though.

I'm going to the party headquarters at 9 o'clock to see what's going on there.

[Gren]

By the way, it's not Aralar but Amaiur, and yes, it will achieve a very good result.

Which is Aralar + EA, right?

Aralar+Bildu (EA, Alternatiba and more importantly, the zquierda Abertzale)

Which is... some new mainline HB successor?

I guess you could say that.

[Gren]

Sólo 10 minutos!! I'm very excited hahahahahaah

[Gren]

How quickly do you guys see the Rajoy government becoming extremely unpopular and prompting mass protests/riots?

Quite soon, actually.

[Gren]

I just returned from the PNV's headquarters!! Our results were good-at least from my point of view. We won in Euskadi and gained votes, yet we lost one seat (the one from Gipuzkoa, which has been very close) Fortunately, it seems that Geroa Bai will keep its seat.

Found it.
PP 186 (majority)
PSOE 110
CIU 16
IE 11
AMAIUR 7
UPyD 5
PNV 5
ESQUERRA 3
BNG 2
CC 2
COMPROMI S-Q 1
FAC 1
GBAI 1

ad in the Senate
PP 134 (majority)
PSOE 50
CIU 9
PSC (et al) 7
PNV 4
AMAIUR 3
CC 1

In english

186 - Conservativ - PP
110 - Socialist - PSOE
16 - Catalonian Centre - CIU
11 - Leftists - IE/IU
7 - Basque Left - AMAIUR
5 - Liberal Left - UPyD
5 - Basque Right - PNV
3 - Catalonian Left - ESQUERRA
2 - Galacian - BNG
2 - Canarian - CC
1 - Asturian - FAC
2 - ??

The PSC seems to be a Catalonian alliance

I can't make heads or tails of GBAI or the S-Q party

Defining the PNV as "Right" is very misleading, even more when you label CiU as being "centrist". The PNV has a very wide electorate and politically is pretty much centrist, with its social-democratic and conservative wings. It's a socially moderate-to-liberal and fiscally moderate party. In fact, it's more liberal the CiU (Unió, the smallest party of the coalition, is a very conservative group)