Interesting decision on Indiana.
Did he call the Nebraska CD lean Dem or did you just not change it on the map?
It'd be kind of silly for anyone to make that call before Nebraska even finishes redistricting, IMO.
Based on what? Barring a reliable pollster showing otherwise (in 2012 or current approval polls) we should assume the toss-ups are the states that were closest in 2008: IN, NC, MO, OH, FL, GA, VA. And even the toss-ups you can assign a slight edge to the party that won it in 08 in the absence of conflicting data.
The new Georgia poll confirms what I'm saying. Huckabee is barely beating Obama. Don't go by preconceived notions or results from 10 years ago or intuition or what your goatee tells you.
Be wary, though, most of those undecideds will end up voting GOP.
Largely correct, but NM is not a toss-up anymore.
Maybe they only did it, because Bush won it 1 time.
I've heard talk of NM Gov. Martinez as a possible GOP veep pick; that might also be a factor.