NBC Chuck Todd/Daily Rundown Tossup Map (user search)
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  NBC Chuck Todd/Daily Rundown Tossup Map (search mode)
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Author Topic: NBC Chuck Todd/Daily Rundown Tossup Map  (Read 4947 times)
Bull Moose Base
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« on: April 04, 2011, 03:41:02 PM »
Based on what?  Barring a reliable pollster showing otherwise (in 2012 or current approval polls)  we should assume the toss-ups are the states that were closest in 2008: IN, NC, MO, OH, FL, GA, VA.   And even the toss-ups you can assign a slight edge to the party that won it in 08 in the absence of conflicting data.
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Bull Moose Base
Sr. Member
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Posts: 3,488
« Reply #1 on: April 05, 2011, 03:06:35 PM »
Quote from: Joementum on April 04, 2011, 03:41:02 PM
Based on what?  Barring a reliable pollster showing otherwise (in 2012 or current approval polls)  we should assume the toss-ups are the states that were closest in 2008: IN, NC, MO, OH, FL, GA, VA.   And even the toss-ups you can assign a slight edge to the party that won it in 08 in the absence of conflicting data.

The new Georgia poll confirms what I'm saying.  Huckabee is barely beating Obama.  Don't go by preconceived notions or results from 10 years ago or intuition or what your goatee tells you.
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