PA-PPP: Casey (D) above 50 against everyone, except Santorum

[Tender Branson]

Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Bob Casey's job performance?

Approve .......................................................... 39%
Disapprove...................................................... 35%

...

If the candidates for US Senate next year were Democrat Bob Casey and Republican Jake Corman, who would you vote for?

Bob Casey ...................................................... 51%
Jake Corman .................................................. 35%

If the candidates for US Senate next year were Democrat Bob Casey and Republican Laureen Cummings, who would you vote for?

Bob Casey ...................................................... 51%
Laureen Cummings......................................... 32%

If the candidates for US Senate next year were Democrat Bob Casey and Republican Charlie Dent, who would you vote for?

Bob Casey ...................................................... 51%
Charlie Dent.................................................... 31%

If the candidates for US Senate next year were Democrat Bob Casey and Republican Jim Gerlach, who would you vote for?

Bob Casey ...................................................... 50%
Jim Gerlach..................................................... 32%

If the candidates for US Senate next year were Democrat Bob Casey and Republican Rick Santorum, who would you vote for?

Bob Casey ...................................................... 49%
Rick Santorum ................................................ 37%

If the candidates for US Senate next year were Democrat Bob Casey and Republican Marc Scaringi, who would you vote for?

Bob Casey ...................................................... 51%
Marc Scaringi.................................................. 28%

If the candidates for US Senate next year were Democrat Bob Casey and Republican Kim Ward, who would you vote for?

Bob Casey ...................................................... 50%
Kim Ward ........................................................ 29%

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_PA_0414.pdf

[You kip if you want to...]

Given that Santorum's running for the White House... Casey's safe.

[Associate Justice PiT]

Given that Santorum's running for the White House... Casey's safe.

     Santorum has the highest base, but I suspect he also has the lowest ceiling. I doubt a majority of voters would like to bring back Senator Man-on-dog, especially when they turned him out by an 18% margin last time.

[Snowstalker Mk. II]

No shock; he fits the state well.

[RIP Robert H Bork]

Given that Santorum's running for the White House... Casey's safe.

     Santorum has the highest base, but I suspect he also has the lowest ceiling. I doubt a majority of voters would like to bring back Senator Man-on-dog, especially when they turned him out by an 18% margin last time.

That's more due to Casey himself. I'm sure plenty of Casey voters would have voted for Santorum against a liberal Democrat. Anyone other than Casey in 2006 and the race would have been closer (not that Santorum would make it to victory).

I'm a little shocked, though, that Casey only leads Santorum by 8 points right now.

[Associate Justice PiT]

Given that Santorum's running for the White House... Casey's safe.

     Santorum has the highest base, but I suspect he also has the lowest ceiling. I doubt a majority of voters would like to bring back Senator Man-on-dog, especially when they turned him out by an 18% margin last time.

That's more due to Casey himself. I'm sure plenty of Casey voters would have voted for Santorum against a liberal Democrat. Anyone other than Casey in 2006 and the race would have been closer (not that Santorum would make it to victory).

I'm a little shocked, though, that Casey only leads Santorum by 8 points right now.

     Casey was a great candidate, though that mainly explains the margin. Incumbent Senators typically do not lose by 18%. A more liberal Democrat would have faced a much closer race, but I don't think Santorum would have defeated any credible opponent in 2006.

     Also, it's a 12-point margin here.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Casey is obviously not running for higher office and plans on staying for the two terms and the voters are responding to that positively.

[RIP Robert H Bork]

Given that Santorum's running for the White House... Casey's safe.

     Santorum has the highest base, but I suspect he also has the lowest ceiling. I doubt a majority of voters would like to bring back Senator Man-on-dog, especially when they turned him out by an 18% margin last time.

That's more due to Casey himself. I'm sure plenty of Casey voters would have voted for Santorum against a liberal Democrat. Anyone other than Casey in 2006 and the race would have been closer (not that Santorum would make it to victory).

I'm a little shocked, though, that Casey only leads Santorum by 8 points right now.

     Casey was a great candidate, though that mainly explains the margin. Incumbent Senators typically do not lose by 18%. A more liberal Democrat would have faced a much closer race, but I don't think Santorum would have defeated any credible opponent in 2006.

     Also, it's a 12-point margin here.

Oh, right. I stand corrected then.