Swing in each State ("Butler swing")
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  Swing in each State ("Butler swing")
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Author Topic: Swing in each State ("Butler swing")  (Read 2229 times)
Filuwaúrdjan
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« on: December 04, 2004, 02:30:52 PM »

Just because I can, I thought I'd work out what the swing was in each state using the swing method used in the U.K (sometimes called a Butler swing, presumably after David Butler who uses it a lot. He may have invented it. I don't know).

It's works like this: the % amount lost or gained by the two candidates who came first and second is added up and divided by 2.
In case I explained that badly, here's some examples:

John Smith  +3%
John Doe     -3%

Swing=3%

John Smith   +1%
John Doe      -7%

Swing=4%

John Smith +3%
John Doe    +1%

Swing=2%


For the purposes of  the following list a +swing is in favour of incumbent, a -swing is against.
The incumbent in all states is George W Bush.
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #1 on: December 04, 2004, 02:43:45 PM »
« Edited: December 04, 2004, 05:17:55 PM by General Secretary Al »

NATIONAL: +1.58
---------------------------------------
ME: -2.50
NH: -2.13
VT: -5.00
MA: +3.38
RI: +4.17
CT: +3.55
NY: +3.85
NJ: +4.58
PA: +1.06
OH: -0.70
MI: +0.86
IN: +2.52
IL: +1.09
WI: -0.16
MN: -2.64
IA: +1.18
MO: +1.93
KY: +2.36
WV: +3.46
MD: +1.68
DE: +2.24
VA: +0.05
NC: -0.19
SC: +0.58

work in progress... more soon...
[/pre]
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jimrtex
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« Reply #2 on: December 05, 2004, 07:50:33 AM »

NATIONAL: +1.58
---------------------------------------
ME: -2.50
NH: -2.13
VT: -5.00
MA: +3.38
RI: +4.17
CT: +3.55
NY: +3.85
NJ: +4.58
PA: +1.06
OH: -0.70
MI: +0.86
IN: +2.52
IL: +1.09
WI: -0.16
MN: -2.64
IA: +1.18
MO: +1.93
KY: +2.36
WV: +3.46
MD: +1.68
DE: +2.24
VA: +0.05


You're trapped, Delaware and Virginia don't touch.  Find another path that allows every state to be visited, but none twice.
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #3 on: December 05, 2004, 07:56:20 AM »

Delaware? What is "Delaware"? I know nothing of this mystical and mythical state :-P
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DanielX
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E: 2.45, S: -4.70

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« Reply #4 on: December 05, 2004, 12:28:15 PM »

Delaware? What is "Delaware"? I know nothing of this mystical and mythical state :-P

Yes, Delaware is real. It's just so narrow that if you exceed the pitiful 55 mph speed limit, you'll miss it. After you leave Maryland you'll quickly find yourself in Pennsylvania, New Jersey, or Delaware Bay.

It consists of a Philadelphia satellite city (Wilmington), a smallish state capital (Dover) and a few beaches.
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #5 on: December 05, 2004, 01:56:10 PM »

Delaware? What is "Delaware"? I know nothing of this mystical and mythical state :-P

Yes, Delaware is real. It's just so narrow that if you exceed the pitiful 55 mph speed limit, you'll miss it. After you leave Maryland you'll quickly find yourself in Pennsylvania, New Jersey, or Delaware Bay.

It consists of a Philadelphia satellite city (Wilmington), a smallish state capital (Dover) and a few beaches.

I knew that... I was just taking the piss
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Will F.D. People
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« Reply #6 on: December 06, 2004, 01:59:12 PM »

Delaware? What is "Delaware"? I know nothing of this mystical and mythical state :-P

Yes, Delaware is real. It's just so narrow that if you exceed the pitiful 55 mph speed limit, you'll miss it.

If you have EZ-Pass, that is. Otherwise you'll be forced to open your window and take in noxious CO while meeting and greeting a toll collector. Sometimes you have to do this twice in a period of about 90 seconds if you take the Twin Span from NJ.
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TeePee4Prez
Flyers2004
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« Reply #7 on: December 06, 2004, 02:10:03 PM »

Delaware? What is "Delaware"? I know nothing of this mystical and mythical state :-P

Yes, Delaware is real. It's just so narrow that if you exceed the pitiful 55 mph speed limit, you'll miss it.

If you have EZ-Pass, that is. Otherwise you'll be forced to open your window and take in noxious CO while meeting and greeting a toll collector. Sometimes you have to do this twice in a period of about 90 seconds if you take the Twin Span from NJ.

As I was coming home from Baltimore, I accidentally went over the Delaware Memorial Twin Span.  I usually take I-495 to get home faster.  Delaware is a short state.
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I spent the winter writing songs about getting better
BRTD
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E: -6.50, S: -6.67

P P
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« Reply #8 on: December 06, 2004, 10:27:14 PM »

Swing in my county: -2.82

Damn good.
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