U. of Iowa: Romney narrowly leads Huckabee nationally and in Iowa
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  U. of Iowa: Romney narrowly leads Huckabee nationally and in Iowa
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Author Topic: U. of Iowa: Romney narrowly leads Huckabee nationally and in Iowa  (Read 509 times)
Mr. Morden
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« on: April 29, 2011, 06:47:19 AM »

The writeup on this poll is kind of confusing.  See here:

http://news-releases.uiowa.edu/2011/april/042711hawkeye_poll_GOP.html

and here:

http://news-releases.uiowa.edu/2011/april/042711GOP_topline_3.pdf

It looks like they did both a national poll and a poll of Iowa and merged them together.  Or if you prefer, they did a national poll with a big oversampling of Iowa.  And they polled all voters, not just Republicans.  But of course, the Republican #s are the relevant ones, so those are the ones I'll list.

Republican presidential preferences in Iowa:

Romney 24%
Huckabee 23%
Palin 15%
Gingrich 9%
Pawlenty 8%
Paul 2%
Barbour 1%
Bachmann 0%
Daniels 0%

Republican presidential preferences nationally:

Romney 17%
Huckabee 16%
Paul 13%
Palin 11%
Gingrich 9%
Bachmann 3%
Pawlenty 3%
Barbour 2%
Daniels 1%

That's unusually strong #s for Romney in Iowa, but the Iowa subsample is so small that I doubt it means anything.
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big bad fab
filliatre
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« Reply #1 on: April 29, 2011, 06:55:13 AM »

Trump not tested ?
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #2 on: April 29, 2011, 07:01:37 AM »


No, apparently not.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #3 on: April 29, 2011, 05:10:28 PM »


It`s a very old poll, almost 1 month old and Trump wasn't mentioned back then.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #4 on: April 29, 2011, 05:15:09 PM »

Besides that, this poll looks very weird:

Why would Bachmann have 0% support in Iowa, when she's born there and is from a neighboring state and all other recent polls have her at least at 5%, but in this poll she gets more support nationally than in Iowa ?
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