Southern State Legislative Chambers Up in 2012 (user search)
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  Southern State Legislative Chambers Up in 2012 (search mode)
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Poll
Question: Which of the following chambers do you predict will either turn Republican, or become more heavily Republican by January 2013?
#1
AR: House
 
#2
AR: Senate
 
#3
FL: House
 
#4
FL: Senate
 
#5
GA: House
 
#6
GA: Senate
 
#7
KY: House
 
#8
KY: Senate
 
#9
NC: House
 
#10
NC: Senate
 
#11
TN: House
 
#12
TN: Senate
 
#13
TX: House
 
#14
TX: Senate
 
#15
WV: House
 
#16
WV: Senate
 
#17
SC: House
 
#18
SC: Senate
 
#19
OK: House
 
#20
OK: Senate
 
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Partisan results

Total Voters: 30

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Author Topic: Southern State Legislative Chambers Up in 2012  (Read 28506 times)
Bacon King
Atlas Politician
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Posts: 18,833
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.63, S: -9.49

« on: May 07, 2011, 09:27:21 PM »

If these chambers survived 2010, I dont think any of them will get more Republican in 2010.  The 2010 elections basically reduced Democrats to inner city liberal and black majority districts in the South. 

Consider though that for many of these states, this is the first time the Republicans have control over redistricting.
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Bacon King
Atlas Politician
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 18,833
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.63, S: -9.49

« Reply #1 on: May 12, 2011, 04:43:07 PM »

Texas and Georgia already are heavily gerrymandered for Republicans.  So is South Carolina. 

Texas is a court map IIRC, since Democrats controlled the State house in 2001 and couldn't agree with Perry on a map so it went to the courts.  Remember they dropped to 76 seats in 2008--not something that could realistically happen in a Republican-Gerrymandered map.  They'll also probably pick up a seat or two in South Texas since they can uncrack the Republican votes there.

Same with Georgia I think, though I'm pretty sure it was a Dem Gerrymander turned Dummymander, so I don't know.  Republicans tried to redraw the map in 2005 but got struck down, which is why the current congressional map looks kind of reasonable.

The GOP got to redraw the Georgia state Legislature map back in 2003 after the Dem map was struck down. 

Nope, the current state legislature map isn't (mostly) a GOP gerrymander. It was redrawn in 2004 by the GA Supreme Court (majority Democratic appointees, ftr) who found the Democratic plan unconstitutional. When the GOP redrew the Congressional map they only did a "pin point" redistricting of the state legislature maps, altering a handful of districts mostly in the Athens area.
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