Southern State Legislative Chambers Up in 2012 (user search)
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  Southern State Legislative Chambers Up in 2012 (search mode)
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Poll
Question: Which of the following chambers do you predict will either turn Republican, or become more heavily Republican by January 2013?
#1
AR: House
 
#2
AR: Senate
 
#3
FL: House
 
#4
FL: Senate
 
#5
GA: House
 
#6
GA: Senate
 
#7
KY: House
 
#8
KY: Senate
 
#9
NC: House
 
#10
NC: Senate
 
#11
TN: House
 
#12
TN: Senate
 
#13
TX: House
 
#14
TX: Senate
 
#15
WV: House
 
#16
WV: Senate
 
#17
SC: House
 
#18
SC: Senate
 
#19
OK: House
 
#20
OK: Senate
 
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Partisan results

Total Voters: 30

Calculate results by number of options selected
Author Topic: Southern State Legislative Chambers Up in 2012  (Read 28533 times)
BaldEagle1991
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Posts: 3,659
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« on: April 28, 2012, 06:15:31 PM »

I don't think the GOP can make anymore gains in TX, GA, NC, AL, MS, especially since a lot of the DEM areas are populated by ethnic minorities. 

I can see AR, KY flip over to the GOP though.

Florida will remain the same.
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BaldEagle1991
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Posts: 3,659
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« Reply #1 on: June 03, 2012, 06:53:05 PM »

Will the Democrats be able to pit the Establishment Republicans and the Tea Partiers against one another the way the Republicans used to do with the liberal and conservative Democrats?

Well the idea is to run an Ed Brooke like republican and convince him to switch to the democrats and run for the senate. . He could then make the case that he shares your values and being a former republican, could win over some republican votes. The only problem is that a lot of Ed Brooke types in Texas are probably already democrats.

The closest Texas ever had to an Ed Brooke Republican in elected office was George H. W. Bush as a Houston congressman in the 1960s. They ran quite a few Republicans who were arguably to the left of their Democratic opponents at that time, but none of them won. In 1968 and 1970, Paul Eggers ran for governor and made a higher state minimum wage part of his platform. And Ray Hutchison (state legislator in the '70s; husband of Senator KBH) was the only Texas Republican I can think of who was unequivocally pro-choice. 
Texas doesn't really have much of a moderate Republican base, with the exception of certain upscale neighborhoods in Dallas and Houston, and some Texas Germans in the Hill Country who vote more like Midwestern Republicans than Southern ones. 


They don't.
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