RI-01/Fleming: Congressman David Cicilline (D) trails by double-digits

[cinyc]

     Don't know much about this firm, though those are amazingly bad numbers for a Democrat in Rhode Island. Any reason that Cicilline would be so unpopular?

Fleming & Associates is a Rhode Island-based polling firm that has a lot of experience polling Rhode Island elections for WPRI-TV, Providence's CBS affiliate.  Their polling usually is okay, though they often split a statewide sample and release RI-01 and RI-02 subsamples for congressional polls.  This poll appears to be a 300-RV poll of RI-01 RVs only, with a MoE of +/-5.7% - a little higher than for your typical 400 RV poll.

[cinyc]

Dude is headed for a prison cell.

Occupational hazard for a mayor of that city, no?

Yup.  Good old Mayor Buddy Cianci.  Actual criminal convictions never seemed to hurt his career, and he still might try to mount another comeback after 2012.  Corruption is a time-honored Providence tradition.  Some jail time might ultimately do Cicilline some good with the Providence electorate, as bizarre as that sounds.

[cinyc]

How does someone win an election and a few month's later is losing by double digits?

Gross financial mismanagement to the point where your successor sends pink slips to every Providence teacher would do that.  A better explanation from Politico, here:
http://www.politico.com/news/stories/0311/52081.html