TX-University of Texas/Texas Tribune: Palin leads

[Tender Branson]

This latest University of Texas/Texas Tribune poll is an internet survey of 800 registered voters. It was conducted May 11 to 18 and has a margin of error of +/- 3.46 percent. The Republican primary questions have a margin of error of +/-4.98 percent; the Democratic primary questions have a margin of error of +/-6.17 percent.

http://www.texastribune.org/texas-politics/2012-presidential-election/perrys-not-the-texas-frontrunner-uttt-poll-finds/

[Ⓐnarchy in the ☭☭☭P!]

Very strange, but not too hard to believe I guess. Palin, Gingrich and Paul all practically neck and neck with everyone else a little ways behind (ignoring Other, since Other could be 100 different candidates).

[Mr. Morden]

Where's your new map Tender?

[King]

Where's your new map Tender?

This poll has Huck, Trump, and Daniels in it so it shouldn't be apart of the new map.

[Bull Moose Base]

This reminds me of a scenario I kicked around once that the Iowa winner could get under 20% and the momentum off Iowa would go less to the actual winner than to the meme that the race is wide open and the field weak i.e. a version of what it is now.  Or a mix.  So if someone wins Iowa with a record low total the media buzz is "X wins, albeit pathetically"

[Person Man]

Or... "Iowa primary over....long road to convention".

[Mr. Morden]

Where's your new map Tender?

This poll has Huck, Trump, and Daniels in it so it shouldn't be apart of the new map.

Ah, good point.  I didn't even see Huck there initially, as I would have expected him in the top 2.

[Ⓐnarchy in the ☭☭☭P!]

Where's your new map Tender?

This poll has Huck, Trump, and Daniels in it so it shouldn't be apart of the new map.

Ah, good point.  I didn't even see Huck there initially, as I would have expected him in the top 2.

Yeah, I did that at first, too. But I suspect some of those who might have supported Huck went with Paul due to his being a Texan.

[Zarn]

Paul's new initiative is to reach out to Huck supporters as well. If Palin declines to run or says something stupid in the debates, then he would be hard to beat in Texas (should he have some success in earlier states).

Paul's biggest advantage is that his supporters provide a strong, almost unbreakable base. The grassroots is insane. The votes he picks up will most likely stay with him as opposed to the softer support other candidates have. He is much more likely to get Tea Party support than establishment support (so people like Palin and Bachmann need to leak support). Johnson has even gone negative against Paul, and it clearly isn't working. All Johnson ends up doing is provide another libertarianesque voice in the debate.

That said, Paul still has to hit a grand slam to have a chance in this one. He needs to outright win either IA or NH. His biggest problem is by far Mitt Romney.

[Napoleon]

How does Romney only have 7% and he's the frontrunner?

[HAnnA MArin County]

YAY! Please run Palin. Now that Katie Couric is off the air, that should entice you now that you won't have anymore "gotcha" questions from her like what newspapers you read lol

[Joe Biden is your president. Deal with it.]

I think the GOP will have a hard time choosing someone like what happen with obama/hillary drama back in 08.

[JewCon]

Actually, Don't Know leads.