Canadian Liberal Leadership Election 2013

[RogueBeaver]

Pretty clear who Chretien's voting for.

http://www.cbc.ca/news/politics/story/2012/09/28/pol-chretien-trudeau-justin-france-order-canada.html

Endorsements aplenty.

http://www.hilltimes.com/news/politics/2012/09/26/grit-mps-pacetti-simms-back-trudeau-for-leader-trudeau%E2%80%99s-national-campaign/32256

Regan considering a run.

http://thechronicleherald.ca/canada/141147-regan-ponders-run-at-liberal-leadership

[RogueBeaver]

Kickoff tour will be MVT.

http://www.thestar.com/news/canada/politics/article/1264831--justin-trudeau-to-kick-off-liberal-leadership-campaign-in-quebec-b-c-and-ontario

Endorsements aplenty.

http://www.lapresse.ca/actualites/quebec-canada/politique-canadienne/201210/03/01-4579986-dominic-leblanc-renonce-a-briguer-la-direction-du-plc.php

http://www.napaneeguide.com/2012/10/03/trudeau-nets-early-endorsement

http://thechronicleherald.ca/novascotia/143170-mp-eyking-backs-trudeaus-liberal-leadership-bid

[CLARENCE 2015!]

I never liked Trudeau... and does this kid have anything special or is he just Trudeau's son? He needs a damn haircut- looks like a drummer in a rock band

[MaxQue]

I never liked Trudeau... and does this kid have anything special or is he just Trudeau's son? He needs a damn haircut- looks like a drummer in a rock band

Well, he is Trudeau's son. He did nothing special, unless being goofy counts.

[DC Al Fine]

I never liked Trudeau... and does this kid have anything special or is he just Trudeau's son? He needs a damn haircut- looks like a drummer in a rock band

If his last name wasn't Trudeau, he wouldn't have been a serious contender to be the Liberal candidate in his riding much less their leader.

[Orion0]

Ugh this will be a crowning ceremony not a leadership race. The polls showing a revived liberal party under Trudeau are only inflating this balloon. Generational politics indeed, as at uni most are open if not outright supportive of Justin. And keep in mind I go to a university where conservative student groups outnumber liberal/leftist ones. It's good politics, taking the hope n change message to the youth, even if it is hollow sounding.

If his last name wasn't Trudeau, he wouldn't have been a serious contender to be the Liberal candidate in his riding much less their leader.

This. Nailed it.

[RogueBeaver]

Sgro: David McGuinty interested, Dalton not so much. This contradicts just about everyone else we've heard opine on David, so would like another source. Garneau wants to run but so far doesn't have the resources, human or otherwise.

http://www.hilltimes.com/news/politics/2012/10/18/liberal-mp-sgro-says-david-mcguinty-interested-in-grit-leadership-bid-shocked-if/32483

[RogueBeaver]

MHF is getting in on Wednesday, per Twitter.

http://twitter.com/VassyKapelos/status/268096375160463360/photo/1

Murray's in next week, Garneau "shortly."

http://www.winnipegfreepress.com/canada/with-start-gun-poised-to-fire-liberal-contenders-running-out-of-elbow-room-179007261.html

[RogueBeaver]

Wrong thread. This is LPC, not OLP.

[Hatman 🍁]

Wrong thread. This is LPC, not OLP.

Oops. Moved it.

[RogueBeaver]

Garneau's getting in next Wednesday.

http://www.edmontonexaminer.com/2012/11/15/marc-garneau-to-launch-liberal-leadership-bid

[RogueBeaver]

David McGuinty is out as expected.

http://ottawa.ctvnews.ca/david-mcguinty-not-running-for-liberal-leadership-1.1044983


Trudeau supports the NEXEN sale.

http://www.calgaryherald.com/opinion/op-ed/Trudeau+Canada+should+approve+sale+Nexen/7572190/story.html

[mileslunn]

Martha Hall Findlay could be interesting.  I doubt she will win, but she could easily expose Trudeau's weaknesses.  She also strikes me as a blue liberal thus she probably wouldn't pick up much from the NDP but could siphon off some soft Tory supporters, particularly in the crucial 905 belt.

[King of Kensington]

I don't think Martha Hall Findlay will be that formidable, given that she was defeated in Willowdale.  Garneau will be the main challenger.  The Astronaut vs. The Dilettante. 

[RogueBeaver]

What interests me is how none of these ABJ people have any factional ties, therefore neither infrastructure nor $$$ will be forthcoming. Whereas last time the Chretienites splintered between Rae and Dion with JC himself backing Rae and the Martinets backing Iggy.

Garneau: He's also not that great a politician. (Nearly losing WVM, among other things) The one putting up more of a policy fight will be MHF.

[King of Kensington]

In a lot of ways Garneau strikes me as a Ken Dryden type.   Nobody would doubt they are very competent and accomplished people, but they are very awkward politicians.  

[Hatman 🍁]

What interests me is how none of these ABJ people have any factional ties, therefore neither infrastructure nor $$$ will be forthcoming. Whereas last time the Chretienites splintered between Rae and Dion with JC himself backing Rae and the Martinets backing Iggy.

Garneau: He's also not that great a politician. (Nearly losing WVM, among other things) The one putting up more of a policy fight will be MHF.

Actually, Garneau should have lost his riding. It was NDP target #2 on the island. The fact that he kept it shows some personal strength.

[RogueBeaver]

Garneau's getting in tomorrow. Also, everyone's getting Brisonomical. Hopefully he gets tapped as Trudeau's deputy.

http://fullcomment.nationalpost.com/2012/11/20/john-ivison-with-marc-garneau-set-to-announce-leadership-bid-liberals-looking-more-and-more-like-progressive-conservatives/

[Filuwaúrdjan]

The fact that he kept it shows some personal strength.

It might do. It might also just be reflective of the demographics of the riding; it's not exactly full of the sort of people who swung especially enthusiastically dipperwards.

[RogueBeaver]

Don't forget the Ville-Marie part stretches downtown with lots of students and younger voters. There wasn't any rise in Tory support like suburban Ontario, just a straight swing from Red to Orange.

[Hatman 🍁]

I guess it's a lot like Toronto Centre then.

[RogueBeaver]

A lot more Ville-Marie than Westmount.

http://www.elections.ca/scripts/pss/PopUpWindows.asp?ED=24075


Apparently Murray will be the token left-Liberal in the race. Go figure.

[King of Kensington]

Quite a bit.  I guess the proposed Westmount-NDG ("Wilder-Penfield!") would be more like the proposed St. Paul's though.

[RogueBeaver]

From Delacourt's Twitter feed, the debate dates and venues have been announced. Nothing about the qual criteria, at least so far. Ideally being a current or former MP would be it, but doubt they go that far.

1: Jan. 20, Vancouver
2. Feb. 2, Winnipeg
3: Feb. 16, Toronto
4. Mar. 4, Halifax
5: Mar. 23, Montreal

[King of Kensington]

The Liberals won elections under Chretien/Martin by being perceived as sound economic managers among voters in the suburbs.  Garneau seems more likely to exude this sort of competence than Trudeau which is an advantage he would have facing the general electorate.