NY-09, Special Election Thread

[redcommander]

Social security probably won't fool voters. Weprin is in deep crap for his position on gay marriage with the district's Orthodox Jewish voters. I'd like to see PPP's poll on this, since they were pretty accurate predicting Hahn would win by the margin she did. Being 6 points down the weekend before an election is a pretty steep climb for Weprin to pull off a win.

[redcommander]

Can redistricting please get rid of Charlie Rangel already? I don't think it's fair necessarily for Hochul, and whoever wins the 9th district to get eliminated seeing that there are corrupt fossils in the NY delegation that should be thrown out instead.

[redcommander]

The legislature could just expand Serrano's district into Harlem and eliminate Rangel that way.

[redcommander]

I think we should also take into consideration that a sizable portion of people in Serrano and Rangel's districts who mark down Hispanic are also African American. Many Dominican immigrants are racially Black, but still ethnically Hispanic.

[redcommander]

NY has sure had a lot of special elections lately.

Their congressmen seem to have a habit of either getting themselves appointed to better jobs, or taking naked pictures of themselves and putting them on the internet.

I wonder which Congressman will be next.

[redcommander]

So I take it the only special election where the result isn't all but over now is the OR-1 one right?

[redcommander]

When was the last time a significant part of this had a GOP representative? It has obviously engulfed parts of several former districts as NY has lost a large number of seats. So like NY-23, it would be different for different parts of it.

1923. The district also was represented by Geraldine Ferraro and Chuck Schumer before Weiner was elected.

[redcommander]

I've always been of the opinion that we were in trouble here because of Obama rather than Weprin's weaknesses as a candidate and his local selection, this poll confirms that.  Weprin has never been unpopular in the polls.

I don't understand what Turner has done to receive those numbers though, he strikes me as an awful, awful candidate who should be garnering no support from swing voters (his stances on taxes, medicare and social security should not be playing well here). His attacks against Weprin using the Mosque and 9/11 while condemning the DCCC for using a plane in their ad show his campaign's character. if people eat that pile of fecal matter up, this country is doomed.

Well Hochul and the DCC's campaign against Corwin wasn't exactly tame either, so it's not as if Democrats don't pull similar stunts to try and win special elections. What was throwing Granny off the cliff in NY-26, is going after Wepren for the Ground Zero Mosque in NY-9. Special elections come down to turnout, and the best way to maximize turnout is to sensationalize issues.

[redcommander]

What website is everyone getting results from?

[redcommander]

What website is everyone getting results from?

http://hosted.ap.org/dynamic/files/elections/2011/by_county/NY_US_House_0913.html?SITE=AP&SECTION=POLITICS

Thank you.

[redcommander]

My lord Weprin is getting creamed. This is more embarrassing than Republicans losing NY-26.

[redcommander]

Straight-line interpolation treating Brooklyn and Queens separately would have Turner winning with 58.6% of the vote and 33.8% turnout.

That is an incredibly large swing considering how well Weiner and Obama did in the district.

[redcommander]

Weprin now down 49-50 in Queens.

[redcommander]

Turner now at 77% percent in Brooklyn lol.