The Gay Empire State
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Author Topic: The Gay Empire State  (Read 29736 times)
Smash255
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« Reply #50 on: June 15, 2011, 06:53:32 PM »

No decision basically seems like "haha no" to me. Roll Eyes

Skelos is trying to figure out what Cuomo is going to do. If there is a vote and it fails, the Senate Map is going to the courts. If Gay Marriage cant pass with a 32-30 GOP majority it can not pass with a larger one, so signing a GOP map would be effectively telling Gays and Gay donors to wait until 2023. And that would be fatal for a Cuomo Presidential bid, especially when expectations have been raised so high and the issue is so high profile.

So if Skelos wants to block it the best bet is to not hold a vote. But he doesn't know if that would piss Cuomo off enough to still send the legislative lines off to the courts.

I really don't see how the GOP can make the current map more Republican.  Its already almost as gerrymandered as possible.
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JohnnyLongtorso
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« Reply #51 on: June 15, 2011, 07:24:19 PM »

Unless I'm mistaken, Long Island has an all-Republican delegation in the Senate.
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Smash255
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« Reply #52 on: June 15, 2011, 08:06:41 PM »

Unless I'm mistaken, Long Island has an all-Republican delegation in the Senate.

Indeed they do after the 2010 election.  I was thinking Foley won reelection.  I guess not.

They could also lose a number of the LI districts they do have.  Martins who narrowly beat Johnson last time around is in a fairly Dem leaning district, and its not like the district could be made safer more GOP without hurting other Republicans, especially considering Hannon's close race in 2008.
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Lunar
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« Reply #53 on: June 15, 2011, 09:48:55 PM »
« Edited: June 15, 2011, 09:53:04 PM by Lunar »

It passed the State Assembly tonight. At least three NYC Dem Assembly votes (Karim Camara, Nick Perry, Nelson Castro) switched from no to yes from 2009.
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JohnnyLongtorso
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« Reply #54 on: June 15, 2011, 10:11:00 PM »

Perry is Jamaican, it's shocking that he would vote for it.

How many Republicans voted for it? I found two: Marcus Molinaro and Annie Rabbitt.
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Barnes
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« Reply #55 on: June 15, 2011, 10:11:36 PM »

It passed the State Assembly tonight. At least three NYC Dem Assembly votes (Karim Camara, Nick Perry, Nelson Castro) switched from no to yes from 2009.

What were the numbers?
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Lunar
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« Reply #56 on: June 15, 2011, 10:28:23 PM »

I found the full vote:

http://htmlimg4.scribdassets.com/6mvwnoio00107xpf/images/1-e79fd52199.jpg
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« Reply #57 on: June 15, 2011, 10:36:06 PM »

No decision basically seems like "haha no" to me. Roll Eyes

Skelos is trying to figure out what Cuomo is going to do. If there is a vote and it fails, the Senate Map is going to the courts. If Gay Marriage cant pass with a 32-30 GOP majority it can not pass with a larger one, so signing a GOP map would be effectively telling Gays and Gay donors to wait until 2023. And that would be fatal for a Cuomo Presidential bid, especially when expectations have been raised so high and the issue is so high profile.

So if Skelos wants to block it the best bet is to not hold a vote. But he doesn't know if that would piss Cuomo off enough to still send the legislative lines off to the courts.

Thing is, even if you preserve the current map the GOP's loss of it eventually is almost inevitable, there aren't any vulnerable Democrats and they already hold two seats on paper they have no chance in, plus things like an all Republican delegation from Long Island obviously aren't sustainable in a half-decent Democratic year.
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Lunar
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« Reply #58 on: June 15, 2011, 10:44:19 PM »

Assemblyman Dov Hikind holding up a Lady Gaga picture during the gay marriage debate:

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Dan the Roman
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« Reply #59 on: June 15, 2011, 11:53:08 PM »

No decision basically seems like "haha no" to me. Roll Eyes

Skelos is trying to figure out what Cuomo is going to do. If there is a vote and it fails, the Senate Map is going to the courts. If Gay Marriage cant pass with a 32-30 GOP majority it can not pass with a larger one, so signing a GOP map would be effectively telling Gays and Gay donors to wait until 2023. And that would be fatal for a Cuomo Presidential bid, especially when expectations have been raised so high and the issue is so high profile.

So if Skelos wants to block it the best bet is to not hold a vote. But he doesn't know if that would piss Cuomo off enough to still send the legislative lines off to the courts.

Thing is, even if you preserve the current map the GOP's loss of it eventually is almost inevitable, there aren't any vulnerable Democrats and they already hold two seats on paper they have no chance in, plus things like an all Republican delegation from Long Island obviously aren't sustainable in a half-decent Democratic year.

There is another possibility that needs to be considered. Given how late in the year redistricting is being left to, there is nor requirement that new lines be drawn for the legislature by 2012. Congressional lines yes, but I could easily see a court deciding to hold the 2012 elections under the current lines in the event of a dispute. There is plenty of precedent for it.
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BRTD
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« Reply #60 on: June 16, 2011, 01:44:58 AM »

No decision basically seems like "haha no" to me. Roll Eyes

Skelos is trying to figure out what Cuomo is going to do. If there is a vote and it fails, the Senate Map is going to the courts. If Gay Marriage cant pass with a 32-30 GOP majority it can not pass with a larger one, so signing a GOP map would be effectively telling Gays and Gay donors to wait until 2023. And that would be fatal for a Cuomo Presidential bid, especially when expectations have been raised so high and the issue is so high profile.

So if Skelos wants to block it the best bet is to not hold a vote. But he doesn't know if that would piss Cuomo off enough to still send the legislative lines off to the courts.

Thing is, even if you preserve the current map the GOP's loss of it eventually is almost inevitable, there aren't any vulnerable Democrats and they already hold two seats on paper they have no chance in, plus things like an all Republican delegation from Long Island obviously aren't sustainable in a half-decent Democratic year.

There is another possibility that needs to be considered. Given how late in the year redistricting is being left to, there is nor requirement that new lines be drawn for the legislature by 2012. Congressional lines yes, but I could easily see a court deciding to hold the 2012 elections under the current lines in the event of a dispute. There is plenty of precedent for it.

Well then if the Democrats knock off Grisanti and at least one Long Island Republican they have the Senate and then can draw a gerrymander.
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BRTD
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« Reply #61 on: June 16, 2011, 02:12:11 AM »

Oh btw I just played around and the best type of district I can get for Grisanti without endangering neighboring Republicans is like 65% Obama. That's certainly an improvement over 77% Obama, but it's obviously not a district where I'd bet on any Republican.
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JohnnyLongtorso
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« Reply #62 on: June 16, 2011, 07:34:35 AM »


Weird, this article lists two Republicans that voted for it.
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krazen1211
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« Reply #63 on: June 16, 2011, 09:48:41 AM »

Super Bowl hero warns of 'anarchy' if NY approves gay marriage


http://www.cnn.com/2011/US/06/16/new.york.gay.marriage.tyree/

Former New York Giants receiver David Tyree's celebrated catch in the closing seconds of Super Bowl XLII was pivotal to his team's victory. Now out of football, he is trying to claim a last-minute win over another foe -- same-sex marriage.
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Insula Dei
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« Reply #64 on: June 16, 2011, 09:55:51 AM »

Super Bowl hero warns of 'anarchy' if NY approves gay marriage


http://www.cnn.com/2011/US/06/16/new.york.gay.marriage.tyree/

Former New York Giants receiver David Tyree's celebrated catch in the closing seconds of Super Bowl XLII was pivotal to his team's victory. Now out of football, he is trying to claim a last-minute win over another foe -- same-sex marriage.


wtf
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Capitan Zapp Brannigan
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« Reply #65 on: June 16, 2011, 12:03:08 PM »

Super Bowl hero warns of 'anarchy' if NY approves gay marriage


http://www.cnn.com/2011/US/06/16/new.york.gay.marriage.tyree/

Former New York Giants receiver David Tyree's celebrated catch in the closing seconds of Super Bowl XLII was pivotal to his team's victory. Now out of football, he is trying to claim a last-minute win over another foe -- same-sex marriage.
Strahan > Tyree
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danny
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« Reply #66 on: June 16, 2011, 12:28:56 PM »

Super Bowl hero warns of 'anarchy' if NY approves gay marriage


http://www.cnn.com/2011/US/06/16/new.york.gay.marriage.tyree/

Former New York Giants receiver David Tyree's celebrated catch in the closing seconds of Super Bowl XLII was pivotal to his team's victory. Now out of football, he is trying to claim a last-minute win over another foe -- same-sex marriage.

Yeah just like what happened in Massachusetts since they allowed same-sex marriage, complete anarchy Roll Eyes
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tpfkaw
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« Reply #67 on: June 16, 2011, 12:50:09 PM »

Super Bowl hero warns of 'anarchy' if NY approves gay marriage

Really?  Awesome!
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Smash255
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« Reply #68 on: June 16, 2011, 12:56:11 PM »

Super Bowl hero warns of 'anarchy' if NY approves gay marriage


http://www.cnn.com/2011/US/06/16/new.york.gay.marriage.tyree/

Former New York Giants receiver David Tyree's celebrated catch in the closing seconds of Super Bowl XLII was pivotal to his team's victory. Now out of football, he is trying to claim a last-minute win over another foe -- same-sex marriage.
Strahan > Tyree


^^^^^^^^
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Harry
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« Reply #69 on: June 16, 2011, 06:56:49 PM »

Super Bowl hero warns of 'anarchy' if NY approves gay marriage


http://www.cnn.com/2011/US/06/16/new.york.gay.marriage.tyree/

Former New York Giants receiver David Tyree's celebrated catch in the closing seconds of Super Bowl XLII was pivotal to his team's victory. Now out of football, he is trying to claim a last-minute win over another foe -- same-sex marriage.


Wow, what a dumbass.  Yet another reason to hate the Giants.
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Smash255
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« Reply #70 on: June 16, 2011, 07:31:45 PM »
« Edited: June 16, 2011, 10:35:26 PM by Smash255 »

Super Bowl hero warns of 'anarchy' if NY approves gay marriage


http://www.cnn.com/2011/US/06/16/new.york.gay.marriage.tyree/

Former New York Giants receiver David Tyree's celebrated catch in the closing seconds of Super Bowl XLII was pivotal to his team's victory. Now out of football, he is trying to claim a last-minute win over another foe -- same-sex marriage.


Wow, what a dumbass.  Yet another reason to hate the Giants.

Both Strahan and Tisch the owner have come out in support.
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Lunar
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« Reply #71 on: June 16, 2011, 07:39:24 PM »

http://www.nytimes.com/2011/06/17/nyregion/stephen-saland-seen-as-pivotal-in-same-sex-marriage-vote.html
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Paul Kemp
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« Reply #72 on: June 16, 2011, 07:56:45 PM »

Super Bowl hero warns of 'anarchy' if NY approves gay marriage


http://www.cnn.com/2011/US/06/16/new.york.gay.marriage.tyree/

Former New York Giants receiver David Tyree's celebrated catch in the closing seconds of Super Bowl XLII was pivotal to his team's victory. Now out of football, he is trying to claim a last-minute win over another foe -- same-sex marriage.


David Tyree is as much of a "hero" as Rodney Harrison for not being able to knock the terrible pass out.
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Harry
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« Reply #73 on: June 17, 2011, 01:17:25 PM »

Super Bowl hero warns of 'anarchy' if NY approves gay marriage


http://www.cnn.com/2011/US/06/16/new.york.gay.marriage.tyree/

Former New York Giants receiver David Tyree's celebrated catch in the closing seconds of Super Bowl XLII was pivotal to his team's victory. Now out of football, he is trying to claim a last-minute win over another foe -- same-sex marriage.


Wow, what a dumbass.  Yet another reason to hate the Giants.

Both Strahan and Tisch the owner have come out in support.

Good for them.  Really, I'm just taking shots at the Giants because of Eli, the only real reason I hate them.
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Smash255
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« Reply #74 on: June 17, 2011, 02:20:06 PM »

Looks like vote will be delayed until next week at the earliest Sad

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http://www.nydailynews.com/blogs/dailypolitics/2011/06/next-week-maybe-for-ny-gay-marriage-vote
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