Rasmussen: Romney, Bachmann and Cain

[Mr. Morden]

Uh, can we do something about that link stretching the page?

I think this is the first post-debate poll we've seen, and it obviously has a very strong showing for Bachmann.  Of course, Palin is not included in the matchup, whereas she is usually included in other national primary polls, so that has to be taken into account.  The NBC/WSJ poll seemed to suggest that dropping Palin from the list tends to help Bachmann quite a bit.

It'll be interesting to see whether Bachmann's showing here is replicated by other polls.  I'd like to see a poll of Iowa soon, to see how she's doing there.

[Mr. Morden]

From four years ago:

link

National poll (Rasmussen June 11-14):

Thompson 28%
Giuliani 27%
McCain 10%
Romney 10%
Huckabee 2%
Brownback 2%

link

Iowa poll (Mason Dixon June 16)

Romney 25%
Thompson 17%
Giuliani 15%
Huckabee 7%
Brownback 6%
McCain 6%

New Hampshire poll (Mason Dixon June 4-7)

Romney 27%
McCain 16%
Giuliani 15%
Thompson 12%
Huckabee 5%

South Carolina (Mason Dixon June 13-15)

Thompson 25%
Giuliani 21%
Romney 11%
McCain 7%
Huckabee 5%

[Mr. Morden]

Moral of the story:

Romney is in much better shape now than 4 years ago.

Alternative moral of the story: Whoever is winning now will end up losing.