was this map ever a realistic possiblity for kerry in 04?
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  was this map ever a realistic possiblity for kerry in 04?		 « previous next »
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Author Topic: was this map ever a realistic possiblity for kerry in 04?  (Read 2115 times)
WalterMitty
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« on: July 03, 2011, 03:23:15 PM »


edit: wi should be 50%
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Skill and Chance
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« Reply #1 on: July 03, 2011, 04:45:31 PM »

No, that might have been possible if Hillary Clinton had run and Bush was 10 pts less popular on election day.  Kerry's had zero regional strength in the interior South!
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Skill and Chance
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« Reply #2 on: July 03, 2011, 04:53:53 PM »
This is likely the best that Kerry could have possibly done in the 2004 environment, barring a major scandal on Bush:
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Just Passion Through
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« Reply #3 on: July 03, 2011, 05:19:44 PM »
Something tells me Arkansas would never vote for Kerry.  Virginia is the only state in the South he would have had half a shot at.
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WalterMitty
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« Reply #4 on: July 03, 2011, 06:00:06 PM »
Quote from: Scott on July 03, 2011, 05:19:44 PM
Something tells me Arkansas would never vote for Kerry.  Virginia is the only state in the South he would have had half a shot at.

he did advertise in arkansas..at least for a while.  louisiana too.
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Just Passion Through
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« Reply #5 on: July 03, 2011, 06:40:05 PM »
Quote from: WalterMitty on July 03, 2011, 06:00:06 PM
Quote from: Scott on July 03, 2011, 05:19:44 PM
Something tells me Arkansas would never vote for Kerry.  Virginia is the only state in the South he would have had half a shot at.

he did advertise in arkansas..at least for a while.  louisiana too.
Kerry's a pretty liberal guy, though.  More than Clinton, I believe.
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Del Tachi
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« Reply #6 on: July 03, 2011, 09:34:02 PM »
Quote from: Skill and Chance on July 03, 2011, 04:53:53 PM
This is likely the best that Kerry could have possibly done in the 2004 environment, barring a major scandal on Bush:




Kerry could have won Missouri.  Remember, this is 2004!!!
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« Reply #7 on: July 04, 2011, 03:04:59 AM »
Uh, no.
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Just Passion Through
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« Reply #8 on: July 04, 2011, 01:55:34 PM »
He should have definitely won Iowa.
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phk
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« Reply #9 on: July 05, 2011, 11:12:41 PM »
No, not really. Bush is the one who underperformed in 2004, not Kerry.
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Napoleon
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« Reply #10 on: July 05, 2011, 11:31:42 PM »
Quote from: phk on July 05, 2011, 11:12:41 PM
No, not really. Bush is the one who underperformed in 2004, not Kerry.
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Hotblack Desiato
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« Reply #11 on: July 08, 2011, 12:52:04 PM »
Quote from: Skill and Chance on July 03, 2011, 04:53:53 PM
This is likely the best that Kerry could have possibly done in the 2004 environment, barring a major scandal on Bush:




Have an equivelant to Hurricane Katrina hit that year(Hurricane Keira?) and move the real estate crash 3 years early and you could get it. Not likely but, that's the only way to get the map.

What is more likely is Bush performing better in 2004 than he did.
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