Polls on Same-Sex Marriage State Laws

[Bleeding heart conservative, HTMLdon]

Damn the Northeast is on fire!

They are flaming, aren't they?

[greenforest32]

Damn the Northeast is on fire!

They are flaming, aren't they?

Fire spreads my friend.

[Tender Branson]

PPP is out with the NC poll on gays and the state is very "special":

Do you think same-sex marriage should be legal or illegal?

Legal............................................................... 31%
Illegal .............................................................. 61%

State legislators have proposed an amendment to the North Carolina Constitution that would prohibit the recognition of marriage, civil unions, or domestic partnerships for gay and lesbian couples. If the election was held today, would you vote for or against this amendment?

Would vote for it.............................................. 30%
Would vote against it ...................................... 55%

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_NC_09071217.pdf

[greenforest32]

PPP is out with the NC poll on gays and the state is very "special":

Do you think same-sex marriage should be legal or illegal?

Legal............................................................... 31%
Illegal .............................................................. 61%

State legislators have proposed an amendment to the North Carolina Constitution that would prohibit the recognition of marriage, civil unions, or domestic partnerships for gay and lesbian couples. If the election was held today, would you vote for or against this amendment?

Would vote for it.............................................. 30%
Would vote against it ...................................... 55%

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_NC_09071217.pdf

Interesting. I believe they'd vote against the ban because it's marriage+civil unions/domestic partnerships. It'd probably pass if it just banned marriage.

[greenforest32]

PPP is out with the SC poll on gay marriage:

Do you think same-sex marriage should be legal or illegal?

Legal............................................................... 21%
Illegal .............................................................. 69%

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_SC_0907.pdf

Damn, are these the worst numbers we've seen so far?

[Tender Branson]

PPP is out with the SC poll on gay marriage:

Do you think same-sex marriage should be legal or illegal?

Legal............................................................... 21%
Illegal .............................................................. 69%

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_SC_0907.pdf

Damn, are these the worst numbers we've seen so far?

Until they poll MS or AL, probably yeah.

[greenforest32]

Move over SC, there's a new #1 state in town: West Virginia!

Do you think same-sex marriage should be legal or illegal?

Legal............................................................... 19%
Illegal .............................................................. 71%

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_WV_0915.pdf

[Napoleon]

Move over SC, there's a new #1 state in town: West Virginia!

Do you think same-sex marriage should be legal or illegal?

Legal............................................................... 19%
Illegal .............................................................. 71%

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_WV_0915.pdf

They should have polled incest too.

[Tender Branson]

I wonder what percentage a gay, liberal, muslim, black Democrat would get in WV in a 50-50 Presidential year ... ?

[greenforest32]

Missouri's numbers are out:

Do you think same-sex marriage should be legal or illegal?

Legal............................................................... 32%
Illegal .............................................................. 59%

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_MO_09161118.pdf

[greenforest32]

Texas numbers are out:

Do you think same-sex marriage should be legal or illegal?

Legal............................................................... 29%
Illegal .............................................................. 61%

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_TX_0923424.pdf

[Tender Branson]

[Tender Branson]

NC amendment still failing:

N.C. constitutional amendment banning same-sex marriage

September 2011: 56 percent oppose / 39 percent support
February 2011: 56 percent oppose / 38 percent support
March 2009: 50 percent oppose / 43 percent support

The poll, conducted Sept. 25-29, 2011, surveyed 594 North Carolina residents and has a margin of error of plus or minus 4.02 percentage points. The sample is of the population in general, with numbers that include both landlines and cellular phones. The Elon University Poll does not restrict respondents by voter eligibility or likelihood of voting.

http://www.elon.edu/e-web/elonpoll/093011.xhtml

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

Missouri's numbers are out:

Do you think same-sex marriage should be legal or illegal?

Legal............................................................... 32%
Illegal .............................................................. 59%

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_MO_09161118.pdf

The show-me state has shown us that they're not a bellwether.

[Tender Branson]

New Maryland poll:

Poll: Marylanders split on gay marriage, immigrant tuition

By John Wagner

A new poll finds Maryland voters almost evenly divided over the legalization of same-sex marriage and over allowing children of illegal immigrants to receive in-state college tuition rates — two issues that could be decided at the ballot box next year.

Meanwhile, President Obama’s job approval has “dipped considerably,” while Gov. Martin O’Malley’s rating remains “fairly solid,” and Sen. Benjamin L. Cardin appears well-positioned for re-election next year, according to the poll by Gonzales Research & Marketing Strategies.

The poll comes as both sides gear up for another legislative fight next year over same-sex marriage, this time with O’Malley (D) planning to sponsor the bill.

The Gonzales poll found 48 percent of Marylanders who vote regularly favor a law allowing same-sex marriages, while 49 percent of that population are against allowing same-sex marriages.

There is a notable difference based on race. Fifty-one percent of white voters approve, compared to 41 percent of African-American voters. Meanwhile, 46 percent of white voters disapprove, compared to 59 percent of African Americans.

The opinion of voters could become particularly relevant if a same-sex marriage bill passes this session.

Opponents have vowed to take advantage of a provision in the state Constitution that allows citizens to petition just-passed laws to the ballot. With enough signatures, same-sex marriage would be subject to a statewide vote in November 2012.

A law passed this year allowing in-state college tuition rates for certain children of illegal immigrants has already been petitioned to the ballot.

The Gonzales poll found 47 percent of voters support the so-called Dream Act, while 51 percent are opposed.

Voters were asked whether they agree that “children of immigrants who are not in the state legally should be given the opportunity to receive Maryland in-state college tuition rates if they have graduated from a Maryland high school and their parents have filed Maryland tax returns for the past three years.”

The poll also found more voters approve of the way O’Malley is handling his job than the way Obama is handling his.

Voters in heavily Democratic Maryland are now almost evenly split on Obama, with 49 percent saying they approve of the job he is doing as president and 47 percent saying they disapprove.

That is a considerable slide since a January poll, which found 54 percent approved and 40 percent disapproved.

The poll found that 52 percent of Maryland voters approve of the job O’Malley is doing, while 40 percent disapprove — marks Gonzales said are “fairly solid.” O’Malley’s approval rating of 52 percent is higher in all but two of 11 previous Gonzales polls since the governor arrived in office in 2007.

The poll also showed that 63 percent of voters say they either will definitely vote for Cardin (D-Md.) next year or consider voting for him. More than one-third of Republicans even said they would consider voting for Cardin — “not the result a Republican hopeful for the office wants to see,” Gonzales noted.

The telephone poll of 805 registered voters who vote regularly was conducted Sept. 19 to Sept. 27. It was said to have a margin of error of plus or minus 3.5 percentage points.

http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/maryland-politics/post/poll-marylanders-split-on-gay-marriage-immigrant-tuition/2011/10/03/gIQAFmHuIL_blog.html

[greenforest32]

Nice! Massachusetts is the first state to hit 60% support:

Do you think same-sex marriage should be legal or illegal?

Legal............................................................... 60%
Illegal .............................................................. 30%
Not sure ........................................................... 10%

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_MA_0923.pdf

[greenforest32]

New Iowa numbers:

Do you think same-sex marriage should be legal or illegal?

Legal............................................................... 41%
Illegal .............................................................. 48%
Not sure ........................................................... 11%

Would you vote for or against a constitutional
amendment that says the following: “Marriage
between one man and one woman shall be the
only legal union valid or recognized in this
state"?

Would vote for it..............................................  50%
Would vote against it ......................................  43%
Not sure ..........................................................   8%

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_IA_1014.pdf

Also first numbers for Nebraska are out. Not as bad as I was expecting :

Do you think same-sex marriage should be legal or illegal?

Legal............................................................... 36%
Illegal .............................................................. 54%
Not sure ........................................................... 10%

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_NE_1013.pdf

[Alcon]

New Iowa numbers:

Do you think same-sex marriage should be legal or illegal?

Legal............................................................... 41%
Illegal .............................................................. 48%
Not sure ........................................................... 11%

Would you vote for or against a constitutional
amendment that says the following: “Marriage
between one man and one woman shall be the
only legal union valid or recognized in this
state"?

Would vote for it..............................................  50%
Would vote against it ......................................  43%
Not sure ..........................................................   8%

No gap?  Bizare.

[Tender Branson]

Update:

[greenforest32]

Hawaii numbers are out:

Do you think same-sex marriage should be legal or illegal?

Legal............................................................... 49%
Illegal .............................................................. 40%
Not sure ........................................................... 11%

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_HI_10201.pdf

[greenforest32]

New numbers out for Maine. An improvement compared to 47% support, 46% oppose, 8% not sure from March 2011:

Do you think same-sex marriage should be legal or illegal?

Legal............................................................... 51%
Illegal .............................................................. 42%
Not sure ........................................................... 8%

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_ME_1102424.pdf

[Tender Branson]

Minnesota likely to ban gay-marriage next year:

"Would you favor or oppose amending the Minnesota constitution to allow marriage only between a man and a woman?"

48% Favor
43% Oppose

http://www.startribune.com/politics/133367088.html

http://www.startribune.com/politics/statelocal/133406223.html

...

Update:

[they don't love you like i love you]

Ugh.

We've got work to do.

33% of 18-34 year olds? Even with subsample MoE that strikes me as pretty odd.

[Tender Branson]

Minnesota (SurveyUSA):

If an amendment to the Minnesota Constitution were on the ballot, that defines marriage as between one man and one woman, would you vote FOR the amendment? Against the amendment? Or not vote on the measure?

46% For
40% Against

http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=98e06008-a002-4bda-b2dc-d5093903734a

[greenforest32]

http://minnesota.publicradio.org/display/web/2011/11/11/st-cloud-state-marriage-poll-split/

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lol religion:

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