Polls on Same-Sex Marriage State Laws

[pbrower2a]

Wait, it's not legal in all 50 states?

The US Supreme Court will likely smack down this official resistance. The Governor and the Attorney General seem to believe that Obergfell vs. Hodges does not apply to Louisiana.  That is why I am cautious about blanking states.

Nothing definitive yet on North Dakota.

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http://www.nola.com/politics/index.ssf/2015/06/gay_marriage_louisiana_attorne.html#incart_related_stories

(Most of the material is official statements by public officials, so please do not consider such a copyright violation).

The Governor:

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http://www.nola.com/politics/index.ssf/2015/06/bobby_jindal_gay_marriage_supr.html#incart_story_package

(Most of the material is official statements by public officials, so please do not consider such a copyright violation).

[pbrower2a]

The first couple to receive a same-sex wedding license after the U.S. Supreme Court legalized gay unions was married Friday by the same judge who struck down the ban in Arkansas last year.

Earnie Matheson, 65, and Tony Chiaro, 73, showed up at the Pulaski County Courthouse about an hour after the U.S. Supreme Court released its decision. They applied for and were granted a license at the clerk's office while reporters hovered around them and then embarked back into the rotunda to find someone to conduct the ceremony and wed them.

http://www.arkansasonline.com/news/2015/jun/26/pulaski-county-clerk-will-review-marriage-opinion-/

White -- SSM equality by law.
Yellow -- toss-up

 

States in white (and DC) already have legalized same-sex marriages. Other states are coded by district in those in which SSM will not have been permanently legalized as of 10 AM EST on 26 June 2015:

Status of SSM in Puerto Rico, the US Virgin Islands, American Samoa, Guam, or the Northern Marianas not shown.

5th circuit
8th circuit




Colors for districts have no other political significance.

DC and all states within the 1st, 2nd, 3rd, 4th, 6th, 7th, 9th, 10th, and 11th appellate districts have legalized SSM.


Here are the numbers:

Compiled results are listed below. The headers for each column are: State/ Support Legalising Gay Marriage/ Oppose Legalising Gay Marriage/ Net Support.

MA    71    19    +52
VT    71    20    +51
RI    68    20    +48
NH    63    24    +39
CT    61    26    +35
NY    61    27    +34
HI    59    26    +33
CA    58    31    +27
ME    63    37    +26
NM    57    32    +25
WA    57    32    +25
NV    55    31    +24
DE    54    31    +23
NJ    54    32    +22
OR    56    35    +21
IA    53    33    +20
IL    53    33    +20
CO    54    35    +19
MN    52    34    +18
AK    50    36    +14
WI    51    37    +14
MD    48    36    +12
PA    49    38    +11
ND    48    39    +9
MI    47    39    +8
AZ    47    40    +7
VA    47    40    +7
FL    46    40    +6
OH    45    40    +5
MT    45    41    +4
KS    44    41    +3
SD    43    43    0
IN    43    45    -2
NC    42    46    -4
MO    41    47    -6
NE    40    46    -6
LA    39    46    -7
WV    39    48    -9
GA    37    47    -10
SC    37    47    -10
KY    38    50    -12
TX    37    50    -13
OK    37    51    -14
WY    33    50    -17
ID    33    51    -18
AR    32    54    -22
UT    34    56    -22
MS    29    56    -27
TN    29    58    -29
AL    28    60    -32

US    48    39    +9











[/quote]

[Oswald Acted Alone, You Kook]

So those 4 states are still holding out? They'll need something bigger to get tem to comply.

[pbrower2a]

Over in Louisiana and Mississippi. The Fifth Circuit Court so says.

White -- SSM equality by law.
Yellow -- toss-up

 

States in white (and DC) already have legalized same-sex marriages. Other states are coded by district in those in which SSM will not have been permanently legalized as of 10 AM EST on 26 June 2015:

Status of SSM in Puerto Rico, the US Virgin Islands, American Samoa, Guam, or the Northern Marianas not shown.

5th circuit


All states holding out on SSM are in the Fifth Circuit.


Here are the numbers:

Compiled results are listed below. The headers for each column are: State/ Support Legalising Gay Marriage/ Oppose Legalising Gay Marriage/ Net Support.

MA    71    19    +52
VT    71    20    +51
RI    68    20    +48
NH    63    24    +39
CT    61    26    +35
NY    61    27    +34
HI    59    26    +33
CA    58    31    +27
ME    63    37    +26
NM    57    32    +25
WA    57    32    +25
NV    55    31    +24
DE    54    31    +23
NJ    54    32    +22
OR    56    35    +21
IA    53    33    +20
IL    53    33    +20
CO    54    35    +19
MN    52    34    +18
AK    50    36    +14
WI    51    37    +14
MD    48    36    +12
PA    49    38    +11
ND    48    39    +9
MI    47    39    +8
AZ    47    40    +7
VA    47    40    +7
FL    46    40    +6
OH    45    40    +5
MT    45    41    +4
KS    44    41    +3
SD    43    43    0
IN    43    45    -2
NC    42    46    -4
MO    41    47    -6
NE    40    46    -6
LA    39    46    -7
WV    39    48    -9
GA    37    47    -10
SC    37    47    -10
KY    38    50    -12
TX    37    50    -13
OK    37    51    -14
WY    33    50    -17
ID    33    51    -18
AR    32    54    -22
UT    34    56    -22
MS    29    56    -27
TN    29    58    -29
AL    28    60    -32

US    48    39    +9

[Oswald Acted Alone, You Kook]

That's all of Circuit 5. Don't they have their own case about this too?

[pbrower2a]

Nothing definitive yet on North Dakota.

Now there is.

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http://bismarcktribune.com/news/state-and-regional/north-dakota-gay-marriage-ban-void-following-supreme-court-ruling/article_8edc37fb-c693-5105-831c-7a37e4167dc1.html

[Oswald Acted Alone, You Kook]

I think we can Whitify the other 3 now.

[pbrower2a]

After the fact in Michigan...

With gay marriage legal in Michigan now voters want to take the next step and ban discrimination against LGBT people in employment and housing. 68% support a law making it illegal to fire or deny housing in Michigan because someone is gay, lesbian, or transgender to only 25% who are opposed. 56% of voters say they would 'strongly' support such legislation.

....

Voters are also quite opposed to two anti-gay GOP legislative efforts going on right now. Only
34% think adoption agencies that receive money from the state should be allowed to deny
services to families they say violate their religious  beliefs, with 52% saying they should not be
allowed to do that. Independents are particularly opposed to that legislation at 29/55.  

....

There's even less support for the proposal to make  it so that only clergy can perform weddings in the state, making it harder for same sex couples to get married. Only 16% of voters support that to 69% who are opposed and the opposition on that is bipartisan...

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2015/PPP_Release_MI_7115.pdf

[Oswald Acted Alone, You Kook]

Go ahead and white out the other 3.

[pbrower2a]

Go ahead and white out the other 3.

I wish that I could. But there is resistance in Texas (Hood County):

http://thescoopblog.dallasnews.com/2015/07/attorneys-to-sue-hood-county-if-clerk-doesnt-issue-marriage-license-to-same-sex-couple-today.html/

Louisiana:

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http://www.nola.com/politics/index.ssf/2015/07/louisiana_state_government_rec.html#incart_river

White out!

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http://www.clarionledger.com/story/news/politics/2015/07/01/guidance-clerks-issue-sex-licenses/29578875/

White out!

I expect the same for Texas, also in the Fifth Circuit, very soon.