Polls on Same-Sex Marriage State Laws

[TDAS04]

So, should an amendment legalizing SSM be placed on the California ballot in 2014?  Or should the gays in California just hope that SCOTUS legalizes it in their state?

Since California is such a large state, it would be far more costly than in a state such as Oregon or Maine.  Still, it must be tempting with those poll numbers, and a SCOTUS ruling against prop 8 is far from certain.

[TDAS04]

New Mexico less supportive than Arizona?  I suppose New Mexico is more populist.

[TDAS04]

Hawaii Support For Same-Sex Marriage Grows

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Hawaii's numbers are truly baffling.  Is there any good explanation for them?

Many Hawaiian Polynesians/Asians tend to vote in the same way that Southern blacks do AKA heavily Democratic but opposed to things like gay marriage

Asian Democrats are not as pro-SSM as white liberals, but they're not as opposed as blacks (nor are they as overwhelmingly Democratic).  On prop 8 in California, whites and Asians voted the same (rejecting prop 8 with 51%).

Still, Hawaii might be slightly different, and the Asian population probably does make the state less pro-SSM than what such a Democratic state would typically be.

[TDAS04]

I find Montana's promising survey results more believable than Georgia's, even if both are inflated. 

[TDAS04]

I wonder what will be the first Romney state to legalize SSM.  Arizona?

I would guess Arizona, Montana, or Alaska.

[TDAS04]

According to that Mississippi poll, voters aged 18-29 are only at 21% support for same-sex marriage, but those 30-45 are much more supportive at 39%.  Interesting.

[TDAS04]

According to that Mississippi poll, voters aged 18-29 are only at 21% support for same-sex marriage, but those 30-45 are much more supportive at 39%.  Interesting.

That's really weird, it should be the opposite.

Actually, as I look more closely, both age groups are at 57% opposed.  Those under 30 are just more "unsure" (21%) than everyone else. 

[TDAS04]

North Carolina may actually have a majority support for gay marriage. The reason Amendment 1 passed in such a landslide was because the Republicans in the Legislature scheduled the election for the same day as the GOP Presidential Primary, guaranteeing that it would pass with a big majority. So Amendment 1 was a referendum among Republicans on their opinion on gay marriage, and not a real statewide vote.

Unlikely.

[TDAS04]

Except for New Mexico, every state with SSM voted for Kerry in 2004. Wisconsin and Michigan seem to be the only Kerry states without it.

No, you forgot Iowa.