Ontario 2011 (6th October)
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Author Topic: Ontario 2011 (6th October)  (Read 82753 times)
Antonio the Sixth
Antonio V
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« Reply #525 on: October 07, 2011, 03:21:51 PM »

Wait Max, I thought you lived in Québec ?
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Teddy (IDS Legislator)
nickjbor
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« Reply #526 on: October 07, 2011, 03:30:28 PM »

One complaint to the friendly DRO: JUST COUNT THE BALLOTS ALREADY. DO NOT TAKE ONE HOUR TO PREPARE EVERYTHING WHILE ALL THE OTHER POLLS IN THE BUILDING ARE BEING COUNTED. SOME PEOPLE WANT TO GET TO THE ELECTION PARTY BEFORE THE ELECTION IS CALLED. SOME PEOPLE HAVE BROUGHT THEIR BABY DAUGHTER TO THE POLLING STATION AND WANT TO GET HOME AT A REASONABLE HOUR INSTEAD OF HAVING TO WAIT FOR YOU SLOW ASSES TO COUNT EVERY SINGLE PERSON WHO VOTED ON YOUR LIST BEFORE COUNTING THE VOTES AND ENSURING ALL THE ENVELOPES ARE LABELED. ARGH!!!!!
I find this post offensive actually, and if I thought the moderator of this forum was impartial, I'd report it.

You chose to be there. Democracy is democracy, and the DRO counts the ballots, not you, and he counts it the way he wants to.
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MaxQue
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« Reply #527 on: October 07, 2011, 03:53:03 PM »

Wait Max, I thought you lived in Québec ?

I'm talking about May federal election.
I live in Outremont (Thomas Mulcair, NDP) and Abitibi-Baie James-Nunavik-Eeyou (Romeo Saganash, NDP) (both my MPs are running for NDP leadership.
Provincially, I live in Outremont (Raymond Bachand, angry man, which insult people and mafia enabler, Minister of Finance, PLQ) and Abitibi-Est (Agriculture Minister, PLQ).
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Hash
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« Reply #528 on: October 07, 2011, 06:33:23 PM »
« Edited: October 07, 2011, 07:17:52 PM by VICTORY 10.06.11 »

So, the new PC MPP for Cambridge is the co-author of my public admin textbook (the other being my prof). And I think the Green candidate in Orleans was/is in my NorthAm relations class. And my NorthAm relations prof was the ONDP candidate in Ottawa-Vanier in 1995.
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Hatman 🍁
EarlAW
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« Reply #529 on: October 07, 2011, 06:41:38 PM »

One complaint to the friendly DRO: JUST COUNT THE BALLOTS ALREADY. DO NOT TAKE ONE HOUR TO PREPARE EVERYTHING WHILE ALL THE OTHER POLLS IN THE BUILDING ARE BEING COUNTED. SOME PEOPLE WANT TO GET TO THE ELECTION PARTY BEFORE THE ELECTION IS CALLED. SOME PEOPLE HAVE BROUGHT THEIR BABY DAUGHTER TO THE POLLING STATION AND WANT TO GET HOME AT A REASONABLE HOUR INSTEAD OF HAVING TO WAIT FOR YOU SLOW ASSES TO COUNT EVERY SINGLE PERSON WHO VOTED ON YOUR LIST BEFORE COUNTING THE VOTES AND ENSURING ALL THE ENVELOPES ARE LABELED. ARGH!!!!!
I find this post offensive actually, and if I thought the moderator of this forum was impartial, I'd report it.

You chose to be there. Democracy is democracy, and the DRO counts the ballots, not you, and he counts it the way he wants to.

Well, both me and the female Liberal scrutineer were getting quite impatient. Had the counted the ballots on time, the Liberal girl wouldn't have been able to supervise the count, because she watched another poll as well. Worked out for her, I guess, but she was impatient too. And, she complained about how they were counting the ballots too. (I didn't really care).

Im sorry you took offence Teddy.
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Linus Van Pelt
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« Reply #530 on: October 07, 2011, 06:44:43 PM »

The four best Liberal results are St. Paul's (58.4), Don Valley West (58.3), Toronto Centre (54.9) and Eglinton-Lawrence (54.3).

I very much doubt that this list would be just from this region in any other federal or provincial election since 1867.
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Hatman 🍁
EarlAW
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« Reply #531 on: October 07, 2011, 06:59:32 PM »

Clearly wealthy people voted Liberal. Hudak ran on a populist platform as well, alienating urban elites.
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Hatman 🍁
EarlAW
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« Reply #532 on: October 07, 2011, 07:44:27 PM »

Final prediction will be as follows:
Liberal: 48
PC: 41
NDP: 18

Betting is illegal of course, but you have the Tories at 41 and I have them at 24-40. My average is therefore 32.

If we ever meet, and the Tories get over 37 seats, I'd like to buy you a coffee; would you like to return the favour of they get below 36?

BTW, did I win the bet, or did both of us lose?
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #533 on: October 07, 2011, 07:53:33 PM »



That's such a strange map in parts. Very, very odd election.
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adma
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« Reply #534 on: October 07, 2011, 08:44:23 PM »

From glimpsing results, it seems to me like the Libertarians fared better (well, in numbers of 1%+ candidates) than they have for over 20 years--dunno whether it's a "Ron Paul" effect...
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Teddy (IDS Legislator)
nickjbor
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« Reply #535 on: October 07, 2011, 11:16:51 PM »

Remember the Freedom Party is another Libertarian party.
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Teddy (IDS Legislator)
nickjbor
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« Reply #536 on: October 07, 2011, 11:29:52 PM »

From glimpsing results, it seems to me like the Libertarians fared better (well, in numbers of 1%+ candidates) than they have for over 20 years--dunno whether it's a "Ron Paul" effect...

I thought you were wrong (I was clicking though the map) until I hit the GTA. Wow! What the hell is going on there?

I'll do some numbers.

Final prediction will be as follows:
Liberal: 48
PC: 41
NDP: 18

Betting is illegal of course, but you have the Tories at 41 and I have them at 24-40. My average is therefore 32.

If we ever meet, and the Tories get over 37 seats, I'd like to buy you a coffee; would you like to return the favour of they get below 36?

BTW, did I win the bet, or did both of us lose?

What kind of coffee do you like?
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Hatman 🍁
EarlAW
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« Reply #537 on: October 07, 2011, 11:37:28 PM »

From glimpsing results, it seems to me like the Libertarians fared better (well, in numbers of 1%+ candidates) than they have for over 20 years--dunno whether it's a "Ron Paul" effect...

I thought you were wrong (I was clicking though the map) until I hit the GTA. Wow! What the hell is going on there?

I'll do some numbers.

Final prediction will be as follows:
Liberal: 48
PC: 41
NDP: 18

Betting is illegal of course, but you have the Tories at 41 and I have them at 24-40. My average is therefore 32.

If we ever meet, and the Tories get over 37 seats, I'd like to buy you a coffee; would you like to return the favour of they get below 36?

BTW, did I win the bet, or did both of us lose?

What kind of coffee do you like?

French Vanilla Smiley

You know, we must meet at some point. Perhaps when I'm in Toronto in March?
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Teddy (IDS Legislator)
nickjbor
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« Reply #538 on: October 08, 2011, 12:12:24 AM »

Hatman: sure

Results:
Toronto, York, East York, North York
Lib - 47.84%
NDP - 28.79%
PC - 19.49%
Grn - 2.53%
Lt - 0.42%
FP - 0.33%
Oth - 0.61%

Etobicoke
Lib - 50.51%
PC - 29.49%
NDP - 15.60%
Grn - 2.28%
Ltn - 0.57%
FP - 0.55%
Oth - 1.00%

Brampton, Mississauga
Lib - 44.69%
PC - 32.01%
NDP - 18.74%
Grn - 2.80%
Ltn - 0.49%
FP - 0.35%
Oth - 0.92%

Markham, Vaughan, Richmond Hill, King City, Whitchurck-Stoufville
Lib - 48.04%
PC - 37.36%
NDP - 10.12%
Grn - 2.43%
Ltn - 1.46%
FP - 0.07%
Oth - 0.53%

Scarborough, Pickering, Ajax
Lib - 46.60%
PC - 29.35%
NDP  - 20.64%
Grn - 2.02%
Ltn - 0.98%
FP - 0.26%
Oth - 0.15%

TOTALS
Lib - 47.18% - 674,925
PC - 27.54% - 393,983
NDP - 21.19% - 303,196
Grn - 2.46% - 35,256
Ltn - 0.71% - 10,134
FP - 0.30% - 4,260
Oth - 0.61% - 8,786
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Antonio the Sixth
Antonio V
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« Reply #539 on: October 08, 2011, 02:51:38 AM »

So, the new PC MPP for Cambridge is the co-author of my public admin textbook (the other being my prof). And I think the Green candidate in Orleans was/is in my NorthAm relations class. And my NorthAm relations prof was the ONDP candidate in Ottawa-Vanier in 1995.

OMG ELITISZT INTELLEKTUALZ Grin
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minionofmidas
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« Reply #540 on: October 08, 2011, 04:22:23 AM »

Majority missed by one seat? Lol.
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #541 on: October 08, 2011, 06:59:14 AM »

Who are the FP? Fascists?
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Teddy (IDS Legislator)
nickjbor
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« Reply #542 on: October 08, 2011, 07:04:10 AM »

Remember the Freedom Party is another Libertarian party.
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Smid
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« Reply #543 on: October 08, 2011, 07:48:51 AM »
« Edited: October 10, 2011, 01:40:27 AM by Smid »

2011 Ontario Provincial Election Map - Liberal Swing



2011 Ontario Provincial Election Map - PC Swing



2011 Ontario Provincial Election Map - NDP Swing



2011 Ontario Provincial Election Map - Greens Swing



As always, bigger versions in the Gallery.
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Holmes
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« Reply #544 on: October 08, 2011, 12:51:36 PM »
« Edited: October 08, 2011, 12:55:30 PM by Holmes »

I'm back in Northern Ontario. No one here is happy with the results. But that's expected, Timmins-James Bay seems to have the biggest swing against the Liberals. And they only got <12% here? Pathetic.

From glimpsing results, it seems to me like the Libertarians fared better (well, in numbers of 1%+ candidates) than they have for over 20 years--dunno whether it's a "Ron Paul" effect...

I thought you were wrong (I was clicking though the map) until I hit the GTA. Wow! What the hell is going on there?

I'll do some numbers.

Final prediction will be as follows:
Liberal: 48
PC: 41
NDP: 18

Betting is illegal of course, but you have the Tories at 41 and I have them at 24-40. My average is therefore 32.

If we ever meet, and the Tories get over 37 seats, I'd like to buy you a coffee; would you like to return the favour of they get below 36?

BTW, did I win the bet, or did both of us lose?

What kind of coffee do you like?

French Vanilla Smiley

You know, we must meet at some point. Perhaps when I'm in Toronto in March?

Let's all meet up!
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adma
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« Reply #545 on: October 08, 2011, 03:15:16 PM »


Markham, Vaughan, Richmond Hill, King City, Whitchurck-Stoufville
Lib - 48.04%
PC - 37.36%
NDP - 10.12%
Grn - 2.43%
Ltn - 1.46%
FP - 0.07%
Oth - 0.53%


That NDP figure seems low. There weren't *that* many under-10% up there, were there?
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Teddy (IDS Legislator)
nickjbor
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #546 on: October 08, 2011, 04:47:27 PM »


Markham, Vaughan, Richmond Hill, King City, Whitchurck-Stoufville
Lib - 48.04%
PC - 37.36%
NDP - 10.12%
Grn - 2.43%
Ltn - 1.46%
FP - 0.07%
Oth - 0.53%


That NDP figure seems low. There weren't *that* many under-10% up there, were there?

I may have erred, but also remember that some ridings in the area are huge.
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #547 on: October 08, 2011, 04:51:43 PM »

The only sub-ten there was Thornhill, by the look of it.
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Teddy (IDS Legislator)
nickjbor
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« Reply #548 on: October 08, 2011, 05:03:26 PM »

I deleted the original so again it could be an error. There are only 5 ridings in there so you guys could recalc it
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Smid
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« Reply #549 on: October 08, 2011, 07:23:32 PM »

I'm back in Northern Ontario. No one here is happy with the results. But that's expected, Timmins-James Bay seems to have the biggest swing against the Liberals. And they only got <12%.

The Liberal and PC results there seem to have flipped. Big swing against them in Sudbury, too, but they just managed to hang on. I was somewhat surprised by the swings in Thunder Bay. The two seats seem very unlike the rest of Northern Ontario.
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