Ontario 2011 (6th October) (user search)
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Author Topic: Ontario 2011 (6th October)  (Read 83157 times)
Antonio the Sixth
Antonio V
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,169
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.87, S: -3.83

P P
« on: September 19, 2011, 02:06:55 AM »
I don't really care whether NDP or Liberals win this, what worries me is to see the Tories still ahead.
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Antonio the Sixth
Antonio V
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,169
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.87, S: -3.83

P P
« Reply #1 on: September 23, 2011, 06:45:58 AM »
Quote from: Smid on September 23, 2011, 05:25:55 AM
Probably not likely, but best outcome for the NDP is to finish second, for the Tories to not have a majority, and force the Liberals to decide... Do they prop up the Tories or do they validate the NDP votes? Technically the best result there for the NDP would be for the Liberals to prop up a Tory minority government which would leave them as the real alternative to the Tories.

You're right that this would be the best option for NDP. It would be a disaster for Ontario, though...
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Antonio the Sixth
Antonio V
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,169
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.87, S: -3.83

P P
« Reply #2 on: September 24, 2011, 11:59:12 AM »
Is it even possible to randomly select a sample of 39000 people ? This kind of "mega polls" usually don't have random samples (see Literary Digest).
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Antonio the Sixth
Antonio V
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,169
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.87, S: -3.83

P P
« Reply #3 on: September 27, 2011, 03:16:08 PM »
Quote from: lilTommy on September 27, 2011, 11:45:12 AM
Just as i talk about gettign ride of polling during elections (which i rather like so i was being devils advocate)...
Two new polls:

Ekos- Lib 34.9%, PC 31.4%, NDP 24.7%, Green 6.3%

http://www.ekos.com/admin/articles/FG-2011-09-27.pdf

Abacus- PC 37%, Lib 33%, NDP 23%, Green 6%

http://abacusdata.ca/wp-content/uploads/2011/09/Ballot-Ontario-Sept-26-2011.pdf

Is such an enormous variation frequent in Canadian/Ontarian polls ?
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Antonio the Sixth
Antonio V
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,169
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.87, S: -3.83

P P
« Reply #4 on: October 03, 2011, 11:36:06 AM »
Quote from: Holmes on October 02, 2011, 09:04:43 PM
New Nanos. I believe they're gonna be releasing one every night until Thursday.

Lib - 36.5% (-1.5)
PC - 34.0% (-1.3)
NDP - 26.8% (+2.2)
Green - 1.9% (+0.1)

Movin' on up.

Well, those numbers are quite encouraging. I don't know what other pollsters say, but it looks like Hudak is anything but assured to win a plurality.
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Antonio the Sixth
Antonio V
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,169
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.87, S: -3.83

P P
« Reply #5 on: October 05, 2011, 01:03:46 PM »
I want to be optimistic. Smiley I am always ready to a disappointment but it seems Ontarians are about to make the right choice.
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Antonio the Sixth
Antonio V
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,169
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.87, S: -3.83

P P
« Reply #6 on: October 06, 2011, 11:46:18 AM »
When will we get the first results ?
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Antonio the Sixth
Antonio V
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,169
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.87, S: -3.83

P P
« Reply #7 on: October 06, 2011, 11:59:19 AM »
Quote from: Teddy (SoFE) on October 06, 2011, 11:48:27 AM
Quote from: Antonio V on October 06, 2011, 11:46:18 AM
When will we get the first results ?
8 hours 30 minutes

About 9:15 local time is when things should start to come in.

8:30 EST ? Heck, that means I won't be able to know the results before tomorrow... Sad
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Antonio the Sixth
Antonio V
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,169
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.87, S: -3.83

P P
« Reply #8 on: October 06, 2011, 11:54:05 PM »
Yay, they did it ! Smiley Screw you Hudak ! Cheesy
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Antonio the Sixth
Antonio V
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,169
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.87, S: -3.83

P P
« Reply #9 on: October 07, 2011, 03:21:51 PM »
Wait Max, I thought you lived in Québec ?
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Antonio the Sixth
Antonio V
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,169
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.87, S: -3.83

P P
« Reply #10 on: October 08, 2011, 02:51:38 AM »
Quote from: VICTORY 10.06.11 on October 07, 2011, 06:33:23 PM
So, the new PC MPP for Cambridge is the co-author of my public admin textbook (the other being my prof). And I think the Green candidate in Orleans was/is in my NorthAm relations class. And my NorthAm relations prof was the ONDP candidate in Ottawa-Vanier in 1995.

OMG ELITISZT INTELLEKTUALZ Grin
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