2016 hypothetical: LePage v. McCaskill (user search)
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  2016 hypothetical: LePage v. McCaskill (search mode)
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Poll
Question: In the 2016 US Presidential election who would you support?
#1
Paul LePage (R)
 
#2
Claire McCaskill (D)
 
#3
Independent/Other
 
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results

Total Voters: 36

Author Topic: 2016 hypothetical: LePage v. McCaskill  (Read 4011 times)
tmthforu94
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 22,402
United States


Political Matrix
E: -0.26, S: -4.52

P P P
« on: September 09, 2011, 03:41:24 PM »

People seem to be forgetting they're making maps based off the scenario:

With LePage up by 5 on Election, he'd widely be considered the favorite to win, so would probably win a majority of Independents. Somewhat of an electoral realignment. McCaskill may be from a Southern state, but that doesn't mean she'd do well in the South, especially when voters see her socially liberal record.

Map on Election Day:


Results:


LePage: 326 EV's
McCaskill: 212 EV's

Explanation: McCaskill isn't extremely popular in Missouri, and especially in a Republican year, it'll be very hard for her to win this state. I have McCaskill winning Iowa because I think it'd be a key focus from her campaign in the primaries, while LePage would probably skip Iowa and focus on New Hampshire.
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tmthforu94
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 22,402
United States


Political Matrix
E: -0.26, S: -4.52

P P P
« Reply #1 on: September 09, 2011, 03:43:06 PM »
« Edited: September 09, 2011, 03:45:27 PM by Tmthforu94 »

*If this is not a very good timeline please forgive me it is my first attempt*
This was pretty neat, Misoir. Haven't really seen any with either of these two running. One suggestion I'd make - in future hypotheticals, include who the candidates' choose for their Veep. Makes it easier to do. Smiley

Also, typically, something like this would usually be posted in this board:
https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?board=33.0
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