2016 hypothetical: LePage v. McCaskill

[Misoir]

Barack Obama faced off against Gov. Rick Perry in the 2012 Presidential election and won a weak victory. The GOP went soul searching for the next 3 years until in 2015 the new crop of candidates had arrived. An early expected favorite was Marco Rubio but he decided against running. Bobby Jindal was the next candidate of choice alongside Maine Governor Paul LePage. He was viewed as a viable candidate for national office coming from a rather Liberal state.

Democrats furthered their decline among white working class individuals, especially in the Midwest. As they felt their support eroding pressure was applied to find a compromise candidate which could bring together the urban, labor, and working class vote. O’Malley of Maryland was an early pick but he did not want to run as the party was weak with Republicans expected to triumph. Andrew Cuomo decided to run on a socially liberal program emphasizing equality. Claire McCaskill joined the race and was a viewed as a more populist Democrat able to take on the Republicans.

Paul LePage and Claire McCaskill won their respective nominations and were competing in the polls until when LePage was beginning to come out ahead. There was still hope for the Democrats but it was fading each day. By the end of October LePage had grown to a 5 point lead with still 9% undecided, leaving LePage 48% to McCaskill 43%. Today is Election Day 2016, who do you pick?

Also if you would like please discuss with maps as well.

*If this is not a very good timeline please forgive me it is my first attempt*