National Tracking Poll Thread

[dirks]

Ras 10/23/12

Romney - 50%
Obama - 46%

http://www.drudgereport.com/

[J. J.]

Confirmed on Rasmussen:  http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/obama_administration/daily_presidential_tracking_poll

Note that these numbers are completely prior to the third debate.

[dirks]

Confirmed on Rasmussen:  http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/obama_administration/daily_presidential_tracking_poll

Note that these numbers are completely prior to the third debate.

which pretty much explains Obama's panicky, attack dog mode. Internal polling on both ends probably indicated a shift to Romney in the final two weeks...Romney has to play it presidential, Obama has to try and knock him down a few pegs

[krazen1211]

Ras swing state tracker:

Romney 50 (+1)
Obama 45 (-1)


Dominating.

[pepper11]

Ras swing state tracker:

Romney 50 (+1)
Obama 45 (-1)


Dominating.

Not sure if it's the republicans who are delusional about their candidate winning.

[J. J.]

Ras swing state tracker:

Romney 50 (+1)
Obama 45 (-1)


Dominating.

Not sure if it's the republicans who are delusional about their candidate winning.

Gallup, maybe (or maybe not). 

Well, Friday will have the third debate numbers in it. 

[Yank2133]

Reuters

Obama-47(+1)
Romney-46(NC)

[Lief 🗽]

It's 1:10 and still no Gallup update.

WHAT IS GOING ON!?!?!

[dirks]

Gallup just showed up on Drudge

Romney 51
Obama 45

[Chaddyr23]

51-46 is what gallup.com says for LV

[krazen1211]

TIPP:

Romney 45 (+2)
Obama 47 (unc)


Onward! Obama is capping out at the 47%ers.

[SUSAN CRUSHBONE]

Thank you, krazen, for once again demonstrating your complete lack of an understanding of politics.

More will not be necessary; we all get it by now.

[LiberalJunkie]

Thank you, krazen, for once again demonstrating your complete lack of an understanding of politics.

More will not be necessary; we all get it by now.

[Eraserhead]

Gallup:

Obama Approval:

51% (+2)

45% (-1)

Registered Voters

Romney 48% (nc)

Obama 47% (nc)

Likely Voters

Romney 51% (nc)

Obama 46% (+1)

Slowly coming back to Earth?

[Eraserhead]

Something worth noting about Rasmussen: He's the only guy who weights by party and he recently changed from D+3 to D+1. That may explain some of Romney's "bounce" in his numbers.

That would constitute a very Republican electorate. I seriously doubt we're going to see that in two weeks but we'll know soon enough.

[Lief 🗽]

WaPo-ABC Tracking Poll:
Romney 49 (+1)
Obama 48 (-1)

[Likely Voter]

Tuesday Summary

NOTE: Today adds two trackers (UPI & ABC).

PPP
Obama 47 (-1)
Romney 49 (+1)

Rasmussen
Obama 46 (-1)
Romney 50 (+1)

RAND (Rounded)
Obama 48
Romney 46

Gallup
Obama 46 (+1)
Romney 51

Reuters
Obama 47 (+1)
Romney 46

TIPP (Rounded)
Obama 47
Romney 45 (R+2)

UPI
Obama 48 (+1)
Romney 48

ABC
Obama 48(-1)
Romney 49 (+1)


Lead Summary
RAND Obama +2
TIPP Obama +2 (R+2)
Reuters Obama +1 (O+1)
UPI TIE (O+1)
ABC Romney +1 (R+2)
PPP Romney +2 (R+2)
Rasmussen  Romney +4 (R+2)
Gallup   Romney +5  (O+1)
  
Average: Romney +0.9 (R+0.6)

[krazen1211]

Romney + 2 in the consensus of polls. Not too shabby.

[Eraserhead]

Damn, there are a lot of tracking polls going on now...

[Bandit3 the Worker]

The ABC poll has Romney up by only 0.07. It's actually 48.51 to 48.44.

And that's an LV poll.

[Eraserhead]

The ABC poll has Romney up by only 0.07. It's actually 48.51 to 48.44.

And that's an LV poll.

Where do you see that?

[Bandit3 the Worker]

The ABC poll has Romney up by only 0.07. It's actually 48.51 to 48.44.

And that's an LV poll.

Where do you see that?

Someone on Daily Kos mentioned it.

[Beet]

Funny that our tracker average has R +0.9 and the TPM tracker average is O +0.5
http://polltracker.talkingpointsmemo.com/contests/us-president-12

[J. J.]

Gallup:

Obama Approval:

51% (+2)

45% (-1)

Registered Voters

Romney 48% (nc)

Obama 47% (nc)

Likely Voters

Romney 51% (nc)

Obama 46% (+1)

Slowly coming back to Earth?

Thanks, I'll correct it.

[Likely Voter]

Funny that our tracker average has R +0.9 and the TPM tracker average is O +0.5
http://polltracker.talkingpointsmemo.com/contests/us-president-12

What the Track?

Actually their PollTracker is tracking more than just the trackers. For example the YouGov and NBC polls help move it more to Obama. Also I am rounding for apples to apples. They are going to one decimal place and today's ABC/WaPo poll is such that rounding makes it better for Romney.  I might consider doing one decimal place in the future but its more of a hassle. I might have to actually get a piece of paper out instead of just doing the avg in my head.