National Tracking Poll Thread

[mondale84]

Romney is getting rocked pretty much everywhere over his bizarre comments.

If by "everywhere" you mean the press corps.  Nothing bizarre about the comments so none of the spin will stick.  They might have successfully erased the golden moment where Mitt looked super presidential at a critical moment 12 hours before the president did anything.  Hard to say on that.      

What are you ON? Seriously, you need to just leave or shut up.

[HagridOfTheDeep]

Mondale, you are about this close to making me explode. Yes, we know there are Republican hacks on the Atlas forum. I'd wonder, though, what you consider yourself to be. Or if you ever even stop to think, just a little, before you post.

Although I suppose it is fitting that you act like the official authority on hacks and trolls. You're certainly the most qualified.

Yes, the DNC bump is fading.

[Bandit3 the Worker]

Yes, the DNC bump is fading.

But the "Romney being stupid" bump is just beginning. And that won't be temporary.

[HagridOfTheDeep]

We'll see. The GOP base might surprise you.

[Bandit3 the Worker]

We'll see. The GOP base might surprise you.

You make it sound like they're a jack-in-the-box that's just gonna leap out when you turn the crank. It doesn't work that way in 2012.

[HagridOfTheDeep]

No, I just meant to suggest that for every person Romney's comments turn off, there's a Tea Partier who's liking what he's hearing (rightly or wrongly). The situation will probably move voters, but I think it'll end up being a wash.

[Lief 🗽]

The Tea Partiers are already enthusiastic. Smiling about dead ambassadors isn't going to gin them up any more.

[J. J.]

The Tea Partiers are already enthusiastic. Smiling about dead ambassadors isn't going to gin them up any more.

Lief, who was president the last time this happened?

[Lief 🗽]

Who was in office the last time a candidate running for president grinned while he used the bodies of dead Americans to attack the incumbent president? Don't remember.

[Yank2133]

Reuters

Obama-48
Romney-41

[Ty440]

Reuters

Obama-48
Romney-41

Reggie Jackson was known as Mr. October
And now i think Obama shall be bestowed the title of Mr. September.

[mondale84]

Reuters

Obama-48
Romney-41

Obamamentum continues!

[Likely Voter]

Strangely both today's and Monday's Ipsos/Reuters tracking poll shows Obama with a bigger lead in LV. The same was true with the Fox poll. Most others (especially the ABC/WaPo) still show the traditional GOP LV advantage but it could be the enthusiasm gap has narrowed

[pepper11]

Reuters

Obama-48
Romney-41

Is this the tracker?

[J. J.]

Who was in office the last time a candidate running for president grinned while he used the bodies of dead Americans to attack the incumbent president? Don't remember.

I think it was the Republican in 1980.

[nhmagic]

What the heck?  Why aren't people looking at the sample makeup in these polls and not seeing the inherent bias?  +11D, +9D, +6D, I know its typical of a supporter to go for their guy, but come on, this is pretty ridiculous.  I mean, even looking at the gender makeup in some of these polls can tell you how rigged they are.  +9 female turnout in Ohio, etc.

You guys aren't even getting close to that party makeup in November.  Some of these makeups are larger than his 2008 win and this is not the general mood of the electorate.  We had 100,000+ more republicans turn out for a primary that was competitive on both sides in New Hampshire statewide.  In my city, Dover, a largely democratic city, turnout was around 49% R, 51% D across all of the wards.

[Tender Branson]

Here is the release:

http://www.reuters.com/article/2012/09/13/us-usa-campaign-poll-idUSBRE88B0IG20120913

Obama+6 among RV, but +7 among LV.

This has been a trend recently. Obama ahead by more among LV than among RV. Sign that Democrats are more likely to turn out than Republicans ?

[Eraserhead]

Is it really that hard to believe that Democratic enthusiasm is much higher than Republican enthusiasm at this point? Romney was never exciting but now he's just getting embarrassing.

[MorningInAmerica]

Rasmussen Poll today , w/ leaners

Obama: 47% (no change)
Romney: 50% (+1)

[Umengus]

Is it really that hard to believe that Democratic enthusiasm is much higher than Republican enthusiasm at this point? Romney was never exciting but now he's just getting embarrassing.

yes it's hard to believe.

[pa2011]

Obama drops 1 in Gallup tracking poll, to 49. Romney stays same at 44. Obama +5.  (As an aside, shows you  how ridiculous Rasmussen's wild swings are)

[MorningInAmerica]

Obama drops 1 in Gallup tracking poll, to 49. Romney stays same at 44. Obama +5.  (As an aside, shows you  how ridiculous Rasmussen's wild swings are)

Well of course Rasmussen is going to swing more wildly than Gallup. Ipsos Reuters did too. That's the difference between using a 7 day rolling average, and a 3 day rolling average.

And seriously, when is Gallup going to switch to LV? What are they waiting for? Halloween?

[pa2011]

So why is Reuters showing this while Rasmussen is showing what it shows. Both can't be correct.

http://www.reuters.com/article/2012/09/13/us-usa-campaign-idUSBRE88C1MS20120913

[Grumpier Than Uncle Joe]

Is it really that hard to believe that Democratic enthusiasm is much higher than Republican enthusiasm at this point? Romney was never exciting but now he's just getting embarrassing.

yes it's hard to believe.

I agree with umengus E....if the Big O goes down...the lack of turnout (apathy) will be the cause......you know he's worried about it.

[Bandit3 the Worker]

So why is Reuters showing this while Rasmussen is showing what it shows. Both can't be correct.

http://www.reuters.com/article/2012/09/13/us-usa-campaign-idUSBRE88C1MS20120913

Because Rasmussen is full of bunk gas.