National Tracking Poll Thread

[Bandit3 the Worker]

Romney will get a bounce - you need to accept that....

Romney lost the damn debate. We need to accept that.

He was rude, belligerent, dishonest, and ill-informed.

denial

Denial seems to be the official sport of Republicans on this board.

[J. J.]

Romney will get a bounce - you need to accept that....

Romney lost the damn debate. We need to accept that.

He was rude, belligerent, dishonest, and ill-informed.

denial

Denial seems to be the official sport of Republicans on this board.

More denial. 

[Bandit3 the Worker]

More denial. 

Your candidate lost when he decided canceling 'Sesame Street' would be a good idea.

Get over it.

[True Federalist (진정한 연방 주의자)]

Romney will get a bounce - you need to accept that....

Romney lost the damn debate. We need to accept that.

He was rude, belligerent, dishonest, and ill-informed.

These days you win debates by being rude, belligerent, dishonest, and ill-informed.

Romney won the damn debate. You need to accept that.

[J. J.]

More denial. 

Your candidate lost when he decided canceling 'Sesame Street' would be a good idea.

Get over it.

Nobody wants to go into debt to fund Big Bird.

[Bandit3 the Worker]

These days you win debates by being rude, belligerent, dishonest, and ill-informed.

Then we should stop calling it a debate and start calling it a public temper tantrum.

[Fmr President & Senator Polnut]

Alright, I don't think Romney was that great, because he lied left right and especially centre, was a little too aggressive at times - but equally Obama looked bored and irritated and gave Romney WAY WAY too many free passes... But it has nothing to do with substance (regardless of who might have 'won' on that front) it had to do with presentation - and Romney was considered to be more engaged, enthusiastic and confident ... so he won, simple as that.

[Bandit3 the Worker]

It's better to be bored than to be a big bully.

[minionofmidas]

Romney will get a bounce - you need to accept that....

Romney lost the damn debate. We need to accept that.

He was rude, belligerent, dishonest, and ill-informed.

If the Bush years are any indication, this is what Republicans - and Dem-voting Moderate Hero mainstream journalists - want to see in a President.

[Speed of Sound]

More denial. 

Your candidate lost when he decided canceling 'Sesame Street' would be a good idea.

Get over it.

Nobody wants to go into debt to fund Big Bird.

If you really think PBS is part of the debt problem J.J., then you're the delusional one. That said, Bandit's no more right than you are.

[Eraserhead]

Obama won the debate for me too but I accept that I clearly am in the minority with that opinion.

The biggest issue with his performance was how lethargic he became in the second half of the debate. Red Bull, brother! They need to expand the world of his talking points a little too.

[Likely Voter]

Gallup

Obama 49% (-1)
Romney 46%( +1)


Romney's post-debate bounce continues.

[pepper11]

Gallup

O 49 (-1)
R 46 (+1)

Bouncing continues.

[Lief 🗽]

It's over.

[opebo]

It's over.

What do you mean?  Obama's chances at the presidency?

[J. J.]

More denial. 

Your candidate lost when he decided canceling 'Sesame Street' would be a good idea.

Get over it.

Nobody wants to go into debt to fund Big Bird.

If you really think PBS is part of the debt problem J.J., then you're the delusional one. That said, Bandit's no more right than you are.

That was the point of the comment, if you missed it.  The point seems to have worked.

[Skill and Chance]

It's over.

Well it means yesterday had to be something like Romney +5.  Not over, but not good at all when you consider early voting.

[J. J.]

It's over.

Huh?  We don't even know if these numbers are ephemeral or not.

[Skill and Chance]

It's over.

Huh?  We don't even know if these numbers are ephemeral or not.

Until now, there hasn't been a single case of a more than 4% bump in the polling averages all year long.  Why would there be another one this month?

[Lief 🗽]

It's over.

What do you mean?  Obama's chances at the presidency?

Yes.

[J. J.]

It's over.

What do you mean?  Obama's chances at the presidency?

Yes.

Lief, at some point there was overly pro-Obama sample in Gallup.  It might have something to do with it.  Pull yourself together!

[opebo]

It's over.

What do you mean?  Obama's chances at the presidency?

Yes.

Oh, I agree!  So, I'm not the only one. 

[Eraserhead]

Yes, that "shine" better start packing his bags right now.

[Ty440]

Yes, that "shine" better start packing his bags right now.

WTF does shine mean, I assume it's a southern derogatory term for blacks but what is the meaning behind it?



It reminds me of the rapper shine...LOL

[Warren 4 Secretary of Everything]

It's over.

What do you mean?  Obama's chances at the presidency?

Yes.

Oh, I agree!  So, I'm not the only one. 

Dude, Obama's bounce is about to come too, in the form of the unemployment rate drop.
Gallup's polling is only S-F. Two of the days are when Obama got slammed in the 24 HourNews cycle, so that means 2/7 are big Romney samples. Saturday-Wednsday, the samples had been either closing the gap or relatively stable. So the race was tightening anyway.
2/3 of Rasmussen's interviews were conducted after the debate and Romney only leads 49-47. And that's with his crazy methodology of weighting by Party ID and having them represented 37.6 Republican, 33.3 Democrat, and 29.2 Independent. That's a +5 Republican edge. And Obama's approval is steady at 50%.
And dont forget that the rolling average drops days as quickly as it picks them up, so theyll be dropping these pro-Romney samples in the next day or two and probably picking up some ones that are more pre-debate. This race is nowhere near over.