National Tracking Poll Thread

[Cliffy]

I think you guys missed one of your favorites. http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/102010211022TrackingPoll.pdf

PPP Daily Tracker
Romney 49
Obama 47

Men
Romney 55
Obama 41

Women
Obama 51
Romney 45

Independents
Romney 50
Obama 42

Presidential JA
Approve 46
Disapprove 51

[Lief 🗽]

Nope, read better plz.

PPP

Romney 49 (+1)
Obama 47 (-1)


Onward!

PPP
Obama 47 (-1)
Romney 49 (+1)

[Bandit3 the Worker]

Nope, read better plz.

PPP

Romney 49 (+1)
Obama 47 (-1)


Onward!

PPP
Obama 47 (-1)
Romney 49 (+1)

Plus, the entire thing is pre-debate.

[The world will shine with light in our nightmare]

Intrade's not looking great tonight, probably because of today's polls.

[Cliffy]

Nope, read better plz.

PPP

Romney 49 (+1)
Obama 47 (-1)


Onward!

PPP
Obama 47 (-1)
Romney 49 (+1)

Plus, the entire thing is pre-debate.

Is this debate going to move the needle like the 2nd debate?  I don't think Obama has a chance if he keeps getting debate movement.

[J. J.]

Intrade's not looking great tonight, probably because of today's polls.

Obama is currently below 55%. 

[Bandit3 the Worker]

Intrade's not looking great tonight, probably because of today's polls.

Obama is currently below 55%. 

This was explained already in another thread.

[J. J.]

Intrade's not looking great tonight, probably because of today's polls.

Obama is currently below 55%. 

This was explained already in another thread.

You don't understand.  Someone is selling Obama.  His numbers are dropping faster than Romney's are gaining.

[Mister Twister]

Intrade's not looking great tonight, probably because of today's polls.

Obama is currently below 55%. 

This was explained already in another thread.

You don't understand.  Someone is selling Obama.  His numbers are dropping faster than Romney's are gaining.

You seem like a man who knows what he's talking about. So come straight with me - is there ANY chance Obama wins this election? Or should I just give up?

[Eraserhead]

Intrade's not looking great tonight, probably because of today's polls.

Obama is currently below 55%. 

This was explained already in another thread.

You don't understand.  Someone is selling Obama.  His numbers are dropping faster than Romney's are gaining.

You seem like a man who knows what he's talking about. So come straight with me - is there ANY chance Obama wins this election? Or should I just give up?

Hahaha.

You may want to look back at some of the "wisdom" JJ dispensed during the 2008 election (Wisconsin primary being particularly amusing) before you go soliciting his take on things.

[old timey villain]

Intrade's not looking great tonight, probably because of today's polls.

Obama is currently below 55%. 

This was explained already in another thread.

You don't understand.  Someone is selling Obama.  His numbers are dropping faster than Romney's are gaining.

You seem like a man who knows what he's talking about. So come straight with me - is there ANY chance Obama wins this election? Or should I just give up?

Why would you give up? Obama still has 270 electoral votes and it looks like the polls have remained very steady since the last debate - I have seen an equal number of favorable Obama and favorable Romney polls. Sure it's not gonna be 2008 for Obama, but it won't be 2008 for Romney either.

If Obama supporters actually get out there and VOTE instead of bitching about the race being close then we would have nothing to worry about. You swing state voters have no idea how lucky you are.

[Speed of Sound]

Both of the above posters have a lot to learn about Mister Twister yet. He is a man who is keen in his trolling, at a level possible only through years of intense training (and I truly say this in a mode of admiration).

[J. J.]

Intrade's not looking great tonight, probably because of today's polls.

Obama is currently below 55%. 

This was explained already in another thread.

You don't understand.  Someone is selling Obama.  His numbers are dropping faster than Romney's are gaining.

You seem like a man who knows what he's talking about. So come straight with me - is there ANY chance Obama wins this election? Or should I just give up?

Yes.  There are two states I would watch, OH and WI.  OH has closed.

The selling, which appears to be a market function, can be reflective of what has happened.  I don't think it is predictive. 

[Bandit3 the Worker]

The pollsters are basically using a Jim Crow voter screen for their LV numbers.

[Eraserhead]

The pollsters are basically using a Jim Crow voter screen for their LV numbers.

lol

[they don't love you like i love you]

It's pretty funny how Mister Twister and J. J. use each other as a crutch to troll with, even though I doubt they are actually directly collaborating.

[Devils30]

Gallup-
LV: Romney 50(-1) Obama 47 (+1)
RV: Obama 48 (+1) Romney 47 (-1)
 

[Eraserhead]

HUGE Obama surge on Gallup today:

Obama Approval: 53% (+2)

Obama Disapproval: 42% (-3)

Registered Voters:

Obama 48% (+1)

Romney 47% (-1)

Likely Voters:

Romney 50% (-1)

Obama 47% (+1)

[Devils30]

Seems like Gallup will move toward the average again but considering their wild swings we can't trust them.

[Yank2133]

Screw Gallup.

Anyone who has swings like these, shouldn't be taking seriously IMO.

[afleitch]

Have to play catch-up post down time. PPP is tied again. 48-48

[Eraserhead]

Rasmussen:

Romney 50% (nc)

Obama 46% (nc)

Swing state tracking:

Romney 50% (nc)

Obama 46% (+1)

It sounds like a debate bump may be on the way:

You must be logged in to read this quote.

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/obama_administration/daily_presidential_tracking_poll

[Brittain33]

Are we observing any "trends" in Gallup that we can extrapolate into the future?

[afleitch]

UPI/C-Voter poll - Obama leads 49-47

[Landslide Lyndon]

One thing is for sure. If Obama's approval on election day is 53% then there is no way he will lose.