National Tracking Poll Thread

[Yank2133]

Obama is surging nationally:

WaPo
Obama 49%
Romney 48% (-1)

This is not even factoring in the big Bloomberg bump he'll be getting starting tonight.

The Bloomberg endorsement hurts him. I cringed when I read about it.

Michael Bloomberg is incredibly popular in the heartland. Obama might have a chance at putting Indiana and Missouri back into play now.

Don't go full Cliffy on us Lief.

[cinyc]

Obama is surging nationally:

WaPo
Obama 49%
Romney 48% (-1)

This is not even factoring in the big Bloomberg bump he'll be getting starting tonight.

This "surge" is a 0.07 point lead - Obama 48.56 (which rounds up to 49), Romney 48.49 (which rounds down to 48).  Romney's 1 point tick downward is because he is one-one-hundreth of a point under the 48.50 required to round up.

[J. J.]

Obama is surging nationally:

WaPo
Obama 49%
Romney 48% (-1)

This is not even factoring in the big Bloomberg bump he'll be getting starting tonight.

The Bloomberg endorsement hurts him. I cringed when I read about it.

Michael Bloomberg is incredibly popular in the heartland. Obama might have a chance at putting Indiana and Missouri back into play now.

Bloomberg is considered the worst representative of the nanny state.  It will play on the Left Coast NY/New England, but not anyplace else. 

[Lief 🗽]

Obama is surging nationally:

WaPo
Obama 49%
Romney 48% (-1)

This is not even factoring in the big Bloomberg bump he'll be getting starting tonight.

The Bloomberg endorsement hurts him. I cringed when I read about it.

Michael Bloomberg is incredibly popular in the heartland. Obama might have a chance at putting Indiana and Missouri back into play now.

Bloomberg is considered the worst representative of the nanny state.  It will play on the Left Coast NY/New England, but not anyplace else. 

J.J. I think I have a much better understanding of what people in Middle America are thinking about this Bloomberg endorsement, and let me tell you, they are fired up about it. I'm hearing very, very positive things.

[Speed of Sound]

Oh boy, someone slipped Lief something funky today.

[old timey villain]

Obama is surging nationally:

WaPo
Obama 49%
Romney 48% (-1)

This is not even factoring in the big Bloomberg bump he'll be getting starting tonight.

The Bloomberg endorsement hurts him. I cringed when I read about it.

Michael Bloomberg is incredibly popular in the heartland. Obama might have a chance at putting Indiana and Missouri back into play now.

Bloomberg is considered the worst representative of the nanny state.  It will play on the Left Coast NY/New England, but not anyplace else. 

J.J. I think I have a much better understanding of what people in Middle America are thinking about this Bloomberg endorsement, and let me tell you, they are fired up about it. I'm hearing very, very positive things.

Couldn't agree more. If there's one thing a walmart employee from Kansas City absolutely LOVES, it's a New York Jew billionaire hiding the Big Gulp cups.

[Joe Biden 2020]

Oh boy, someone slipped Lief something funky today.

What was in last night's candy?

Warning to parents:  Inspect the candy your child receives at Halloween or else cases like this will be the result.

[J. J.]

Obama is surging nationally:

WaPo
Obama 49%
Romney 48% (-1)

This is not even factoring in the big Bloomberg bump he'll be getting starting tonight.

The Bloomberg endorsement hurts him. I cringed when I read about it.

Michael Bloomberg is incredibly popular in the heartland. Obama might have a chance at putting Indiana and Missouri back into play now.

Bloomberg is considered the worst representative of the nanny state.  It will play on the Left Coast NY/New England, but not anyplace else. 

J.J. I think I have a much better understanding of what people in Middle America are thinking about this Bloomberg endorsement, and let me tell you, they are fired up about it. I'm hearing very, very positive things.

Lief, I've lived in Middle America.  Rudy Giuliani had trouble there.  Keep smoking though; it will help you get through the next week.

[Skill and Chance]

What you are missing is that Bloomberg will help in South Florida, and likely with the suburban moderates in NOVA and Denver as well.

[Warren 4 Secretary of Everything]

What you are missing is that Bloomberg will help in South Florida, and likely with the suburban moderates in NOVA and Denver as well.

He should also help with Independents and Moderates in New Hampshire too.

[ajb]

Obama is surging nationally:

WaPo
Obama 49%
Romney 48% (-1)

This is not even factoring in the big Bloomberg bump he'll be getting starting tonight.

The Bloomberg endorsement hurts him. I cringed when I read about it.

Michael Bloomberg is incredibly popular in the heartland. Obama might have a chance at putting Indiana and Missouri back into play now.

Bloomberg is considered the worst representative of the nanny state.  It will play on the Left Coast NY/New England, but not anyplace else. 

J.J. I think I have a much better understanding of what people in Middle America are thinking about this Bloomberg endorsement, and let me tell you, they are fired up about it. I'm hearing very, very positive things.

Lief, I've lived in Middle America.  Rudy Giuliani had trouble there.  Keep smoking though; it will help you get through the next week.

I think J.J.'s irony meter might need to be recalibrated.

[J. J.]

What you are missing is that Bloomberg will help in South Florida, and likely with the suburban moderates in NOVA and Denver as well.

If he had made it about Israel, possibly, it would help in FL.  It was about global warming. 

Moderates in NOVA and Denver, only big environmentalists, and Obama has their vote already.

[Skill and Chance]

What you are missing is that Bloomberg will help in South Florida, and likely with the suburban moderates in NOVA and Denver as well.

If he had made it about Israel, possibly, it would help in FL.  It was about global warming. 

Moderates in NOVA and Denver, only big environmentalists, and Obama has their vote already.

Educated suburban moderates almost universally accept climate change.  I'm surprised Obama hasn't campaigned on it at all in VA and CO.  It is an opportunity to make Romney look anti-science to people who might otherwise be R on fiscal issues.

[J. J.]

What you are missing is that Bloomberg will help in South Florida, and likely with the suburban moderates in NOVA and Denver as well.

If he had made it about Israel, possibly, it would help in FL.  It was about global warming. 

Moderates in NOVA and Denver, only big environmentalists, and Obama has their vote already.

Educated suburban moderates almost universally accept climate change.  I'm surprised Obama hasn't campaigned on it at all in VA and CO.  It is an opportunity to make Romney look anti-science to people who might otherwise be R on fiscal issues.

And, if they are educated, they would realize that a nor'easter is not uncommon.

[Skill and Chance]

To clarify, I mean campaigning on climate change i.e. bragging about what his EPA has done to control carbon emissions, not campaigning on the hurricane, which would be stupid and just plain wrong.

[J. J.]

To clarify, I mean campaigning on climate change i.e. bragging about what his EPA has done to control carbon emissions, not campaigning on the hurricane, which would be stupid and just plain wrong.

That could lose him OH, and possibly VA.  He'd even be in danger in PA with that. 

[Cliffy]

Lol,

48.56 for Obama and 48.49 for Romney

Wheeeeew..... .07

Obama is surging nationally:

WaPo
Obama 49%
Romney 48% (-1)

This is not even factoring in the big Bloomberg bump he'll be getting starting tonight.

[Eraserhead]

How much is the Romney campaign missing the Gallup poll right now?

[Lief 🗽]

Obama's nationwide surge continues, with new numbers from PPP's tracker!

Obama 49 (+1)
Romney 48 (-1)

[Cliffy]

How much is the Romney campaign missing the Gallup poll right now?

I doubt they worry too much about all the public polls too much.  They have better ones.

[Ty440]

Obama's nationwide surge continues, with new numbers from PPP's tracker!

Obama 49 (+1)
Romney 48 (-1)

[Skill and Chance]

To clarify, I mean campaigning on climate change i.e. bragging about what his EPA has done to control carbon emissions, not campaigning on the hurricane, which would be stupid and just plain wrong.

That could lose him OH, and possibly VA.  He'd even be in danger in PA with that. 

There aren't that many coal miners in OH and VA.  I don't know about PA, maybe there are more.  Regardless, Democrats need to plan for coal towns to vote near unanimously R from now on.  They can make up those votes in the suburbs. 

[World politics is up Schmitt creek]

How much is the Romney campaign missing the Gallup poll right now?

I doubt they worry too much about all the public polls too much.  They have better ones.

Oh my God you seriously just said that.

[Cliffy]

Obama's nationwide surge continues, with new numbers from PPP's tracker!

Obama 49 (+1)
Romney 48 (-1)

Ah and Romney's only down 3 with women.  If so, definitely going to be a landslide.

[Lief 🗽]

Obama's nationwide surge continues, with new numbers from PPP's tracker!

Obama 49 (+1)
Romney 48 (-1)

Ah and Romney's only down 3 with women.  If so, definitely going to be a landslide.

Ah and Obama's only down 3 with men.  If so, definitely going to be a landslide.