National Tracking Poll Thread

[Bandit3 the Worker]

I find it awfully suspicious that the polls stopped coming the moment the story about Romney's hate crime against a classmate broke.

[Bandit3 the Worker]

The revelation that Romney committed a hate crime against a schoolmate can't be helping him.

[Bandit3 the Worker]

Friday's tracking polls
Rasmussen    (8/14 - 8/16)
Obama    46.0    
Romney    45.0    

Gallup    (8/09 - 8/15)    
Obama    45.0
Romney    47.0

I week ago (before Ryan)
Rasmussen    
Obama    43.0    
Romney    47.0    

Gallup        
Obama    45.0
Romney    45.0    

Where's that Ryan bounce they keep talking about?

[Bandit3 the Worker]

Let's not forget there were a few polls suddenly with big Obama leads right before Ryan was announced. Romney was having a bad few weeks, and the momentum seems to have shifted to neutral again.

That's exactly right. Remember these polls (from RCP) that came out in the days prior to the Ryan announcement?

Those were the last polls from any real pollster.

[Bandit3 the Worker]

showing a sudden jump in Republicans in the US to record levels

That pretty much settles it: Rasmussen is completely delusional.

[Bandit3 the Worker]

significant advantages Republicans have this year

Welcome to 2002, Vosem.

[Bandit3 the Worker]

The unemployment rate is down, and The Media is trying to spin that against Obama?

[Bandit3 the Worker]

Isn't ARG a Republican pollster?

[Bandit3 the Worker]

Folks, it's gonna be a blowout.

It's gonna be an absolute, complete blowout.

[Bandit3 the Worker]

It depends how it was reported.  In this case, it was almost uniformly reported as the economy losing jobs, in other words, "Things just got worse."  It wasn't just Fox, but CNN, MSNBC, and the networks and local news.  That was the reporting in print as well, with the Phila Inquirer calling it "Grim Job News."  http://www.philly.com/philly/news/politics/presidential/20120907_ap_obamagetsgrimjobnewsromneypouncesonit.html

Just more proof of how The Media's bias stinks to high hell. They NEVER talked like this in 2004.

[Bandit3 the Worker]

Well, because in 2004, the numbers were improving and unemployment was rather dramatically lower.  

Except that it wasn't.

[Bandit3 the Worker]

A big part of the Republican coalition of 2010 and 2008 was Democratic in the 1990s and liable to snap back to the Dems over their main issue: Medicare. I suspect that is what we may be seeing with Clinton's speech.

By 2008, the Republicans really didn't even have a coalition. All they had by then was 5 people screaming in front of the courthouse and calling up talk radio because things didn't go their way 100% of the time. Then in 2009 they added the tricorne hats.

[Bandit3 the Worker]

Are the American voters really smart enough to realize how calculated Romney's fake outrage is....or will they just think: Americans killed --> Obama is in charge --> Obama's at fault?

I'd like to think Americans will see through it...

Considering The Media let Bush get reelected after he allowed 9/11 to occur.

[Bandit3 the Worker]

J.J., is CNN covering Romney's comments negatively?

I get a sick feeling every time I think of how CNN might be covering this, considering how pro-Romney they are.

If the mainstream media closed up shop today, Romney would lose in an incredible landslide. That shows just how biased The Media is in Romney's favor.

[Bandit3 the Worker]

Obama bumps up 1 in Gallup Tracking poll, now leads 51 to 43, a 7 point advantage. Obama's approval rating also moves up 1, to 51.

Actually that's 8 points - a greater margin than he won by in 2008.

[Bandit3 the Worker]

Romney giving that horrible press conference about the attack in Libya where he smirked and grinned the whole time and blamed Obama for the attack sure isn't going to help the GOP camp.

[Bandit3 the Worker]

Yes, the DNC bump is fading.

But the "Romney being stupid" bump is just beginning. And that won't be temporary.

[Bandit3 the Worker]

We'll see. The GOP base might surprise you.

You make it sound like they're a jack-in-the-box that's just gonna leap out when you turn the crank. It doesn't work that way in 2012.

[Bandit3 the Worker]

So why is Reuters showing this while Rasmussen is showing what it shows. Both can't be correct.

http://www.reuters.com/article/2012/09/13/us-usa-campaign-idUSBRE88C1MS20120913

Because Rasmussen is full of bunk gas.

[Bandit3 the Worker]

In other words, it's DebateFail for Romney.

[Bandit3 the Worker]

It's Rasmussen - not some credible pollster or something.

[Bandit3 the Worker]

I still don't get where people think there'll be any bounce for Romney, considering his miserable performance in that debate.

You don't gain votes by running against Big Bird.

[Bandit3 the Worker]

Romney will get a bounce - you need to accept that....

Romney lost the damn debate. We need to accept that.

He was rude, belligerent, dishonest, and ill-informed.

[Bandit3 the Worker]

Romney will get a bounce - you need to accept that....

Romney lost the damn debate. We need to accept that.

He was rude, belligerent, dishonest, and ill-informed.

denial

Denial seems to be the official sport of Republicans on this board.

[Bandit3 the Worker]

More denial. 

Your candidate lost when he decided canceling 'Sesame Street' would be a good idea.

Get over it.