National Tracking Poll Thread

[cinyc]

The Economist/YouGov poll has Romney over Obama 47%-46%.  It's that newfangled Internet polling, so caveat emptor.  But it is a poll of registered, not likely voters.

[cinyc]

68% of respondents were over 50.

Like most polls, the Pew poll was weighted for age.  The over 50s' responses were weighted less than the under 50s' when deriving at the top line number.

That's pretty standard procedure for pollsters.  Most pollsters end up with too many over 50s and too few under 50s, relative to the population.  Who do you think is home to answer the phone at 2PM on a work day?  And who is less likely to have caller ID to screen calls?

[cinyc]

Reuters-Ipsos

Obama 45% (-2)
Romney 45% (unc)

Among LVs. October 5-9.

Among RVs, Obama leads 45-42.

[cinyc]

Proving MY point - racism is what Romney's winning upon.

Contrary to your belief, it is not racist to vote against Obama.  There are hundreds of reasons to do so that have absolutely nothing to do with race.  If everything is always about race, Obama wouldn't have been elected in the first place.

[cinyc]

That poll actually contains some data from today, so if one were to read too much into this...then BIDEN BUMP!  Not that I believe that is the case

Considering that almost all of the polling from yesterday was pre-debate (except for a handful of interviews on the west coast), that's doubtful.

[cinyc]

Gravis National Romney 46-44
http://www.gravispolls.com/2012/10/romney-up-2-in-latest-national-poll.html

It's D+8 that should be popular.

I don't think this is a tracking poll.  It looks like a one-day one-off survey that should be in its own thread.

[cinyc]

Gallup resumes polling tomorrow.

[cinyc]

Obama is surging nationally:

WaPo
Obama 49%
Romney 48% (-1)

This is not even factoring in the big Bloomberg bump he'll be getting starting tonight.

This "surge" is a 0.07 point lead - Obama 48.56 (which rounds up to 49), Romney 48.49 (which rounds down to 48).  Romney's 1 point tick downward is because he is one-one-hundreth of a point under the 48.50 required to round up.