National Tracking Poll Thread

[Reds4]

It is a bit strange to see the constant 50-44 lead with so much movement in the job approval number. You have to wonder if there isn't some huge Obama sample on the 7 day tracker that is holding the lead at 6. Time will tell I guess.

[Reds4]

Not sure what today's movement in Gallup means.. great Obama sample just came on? Good Romney sample dropped off? Who knows.

[Reds4]

Wow, that "poll" is a joke.. I'll wait for some real numbers.

[Reds4]

Just read through the topline results on their page.. they compared pre-debate poll to post-debate... likely voters went from Obama +9 pre-debate to Obama +5 post-debate.. for what it's worth.. only time will tell.

[Reds4]

Must have been one heck of a Romney sample that just dropped off this tracker.

Rand American Life Panel, Oct 2-3-4:

Obama   49.76   49.17   49.87
Romney  44.22   44.83   43.98

[Reds4]

Hard to say that Romney is the favorite at this point. Obama still clearly the favorite.

Thank god, the erosion may be stopping. Romney is still the favorite though. I'm dreading PPP's Wisconsin numbers tonight.

[Reds4]

Gallup did also show Obama's approval dropping to 48 Approve (-2) and 46 (+1) Disapprove. So it's hard to say whether the bounce is receding yet.. only time will tell I guess.

[Reds4]

Yesterday must have been a very good Obama day on both Rasmussen and Gallup

[Reds4]

Good to have another tracking poll.. I think this one has been decent in the past?

[Reds4]

I have to say Lief, you panic awfully quickly.

It's officially time to panic.

[Reds4]

Obama did gain a point on registered voters screen. Seems like a big Romney night dropped off today though, so I don't think this was a bad showing for Romney.

Gallup (likely):

Romney:  49, u

Obama:  47, u

[Reds4]

Actually the quote from PPP is "There was not a ton of day to day movement in the first 3 days of the national tracker, but Wednesday after the debate was Obama's best"

So I don't think that can be called a significant gain on Wednesday.. time will tell..

Gallup does appear to be an outlier right now though.. not buying that Romney is ahead 7 right now, no way.

Only 1/7 of Gallup is post-debate, only 1/6 of the IBD poll is post-debate, only 1/3 of the Rasmussen poll is post-debate, only 1/3 of the PPP poll is post-debate (and they said that Obama gained significantly on their Wednesday interviews). Too early to tell.

[Reds4]

You think someone could post the PPP daily tracker? I haven't seen it yet. Lol, sorry guys.. I had to!

[Reds4]

Definitely Obama's best polling day in quite a while so far.