National Tracking Poll Thread (user search)
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Author Topic: National Tracking Poll Thread  (Read 309250 times)
DrScholl
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Posts: 18,146
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Political Matrix
E: -5.55, S: -3.30

« on: October 16, 2012, 12:20:40 PM »

Gallup doesn't always fit with the state polls and can be all over the place. Other trackers don't seem to be lining up with what Gallup is finding.
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DrScholl
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*****
Posts: 18,146
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.55, S: -3.30

« Reply #1 on: October 19, 2012, 11:37:35 AM »

The thing is, Obama was doing worse than last week than he is now, so the debate did shift things somewhat. He recovered points even before the debate, so there wasn't going to be a huge change at the stage, anyway.
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DrScholl
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*****
Posts: 18,146
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.55, S: -3.30

« Reply #2 on: October 19, 2012, 11:45:57 AM »


Such an intelligent response.
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DrScholl
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*****
Posts: 18,146
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.55, S: -3.30

« Reply #3 on: October 19, 2012, 02:05:39 PM »

Larry Sabato is questioning Gallup's methodology on Twitter. I think Gallup may have some real issue here.
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DrScholl
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*****
Posts: 18,146
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.55, S: -3.30

« Reply #4 on: October 25, 2012, 04:19:36 PM »

Problem is, the state polls are showing no movement toward Romney. At this point, the national polls are more or less useless, because Romney is likely over performing in places where he doesn't need to over perform, therefore producing a national lead.
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DrScholl
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 18,146
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.55, S: -3.30

« Reply #5 on: October 25, 2012, 04:39:05 PM »

Problem is, the state polls are showing no movement toward Romney. At this point, the national polls are more or less useless, because Romney is likely over performing in places where he doesn't need to over perform, therefore producing a national lead.


Not if you decide to ignore a bunch of them, no.

What polls are you talking about? All Ohio, Wisconsin and Nevada polls have shown Obama with an edge.
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DrScholl
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*****
Posts: 18,146
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.55, S: -3.30

« Reply #6 on: October 29, 2012, 08:54:59 AM »

Rasmussen

Romney 49
Obama 47
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