National Tracking Poll Thread

[HagridOfTheDeep]

Obama up by 8 in new national poll:



Investor's Business Journal/Christian Science Monitor/TIPP
 3/30-4/5/12; 816 registered voters, 3.3% margin of error
 Mode: Live telephone interviews
 TIPP release

Gah! That 38% number isn't good for Romney. What's the track record on this group's polling?

National

2012 President
 46% Obama (D), 38% Romney (R) (chart)

[HagridOfTheDeep]

I refuse to believe that all these polls showing the race almost tied are junk polls. Something's going on here, because these numbers aren't translating into the state polls. Could it be that Romney is doing better in traditional blue states? (No shot at winning their EVs, but he's just losing by a smaller margin than Republicans typically have lost by in the past?)

[HagridOfTheDeep]

Yes, because Romney tortured and lynched a gay kid. My Lord. Is there an eye roll smiley on this forum? There should be.

[HagridOfTheDeep]

The Rasmussen bounce came from fiddling with the party IDs. Until they're changed back, of course Romney's bounce won't dissipate.

[HagridOfTheDeep]

And than y'all can be more then happy.

[HagridOfTheDeep]

Mondale, you are about this close to making me explode. Yes, we know there are Republican hacks on the Atlas forum. I'd wonder, though, what you consider yourself to be. Or if you ever even stop to think, just a little, before you post.

Although I suppose it is fitting that you act like the official authority on hacks and trolls. You're certainly the most qualified.

Yes, the DNC bump is fading.

[HagridOfTheDeep]

We'll see. The GOP base might surprise you.

[HagridOfTheDeep]

No, I just meant to suggest that for every person Romney's comments turn off, there's a Tea Partier who's liking what he's hearing (rightly or wrongly). The situation will probably move voters, but I think it'll end up being a wash.

[HagridOfTheDeep]

Not bad, considering many in that list were supposed to be more favourable for Obama.

[HagridOfTheDeep]

Saturday tracking poll summary* (and change from prev)

RAND Obama +3 (R+1)
Reuters* Obama+3 (-)
TIPP Obama +3  (O+1)
PPP  Obama +2 (O+1)
Rasmussen  Romney +1 (R+1)
Gallup   Romney +6  (-)
 
avg  Obama +0.5 (R+0.2)

*All polls showing rounded up data up to Friday, with 3 days of post-debate. Reuters and PPP now report same day, above data is on their data reported yesterday for apples/apples comparisons

Yes, Obama definitely has clear momentum.

Sigh.

[HagridOfTheDeep]

Probably 10.