National Tracking Poll Thread

[Democratic Hawk]

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I remember that Romney and Santorum were down by 6-8 about 3 days ago.

Either a HUGE Super Tuesday BOUNCE for both of them, or WHACKO SCOTTY TROLLING.

I believe it's the latter.

So, in effect, something like, an 11-point swing from Obama (-5) to Romney (+6) and an 8-point swing from Obama (-4) to Santorum (+4) over the past four days, while the president's approval has slipped (49-50) -1 to -10 (44-54)

Rather puzzling, given that nothing has happened for the worse that should have caused such a movement

[Democratic Hawk]

Romney is on the rise.

This is possibly due to Obama threatening the public with outrageous tax. In 2010 the Republican party made landslide gains among successful high income voters compared to 2008.

This "outrageous tax" by any chance?

http://www.gallup.com/poll/153887/Americans-Favor-Buffett-Rule.aspx

The bills have got to be paid. The cost of, and the response to, the 'Crash of 2008' and the ensuring Great Recession was never going to come cheap. And that's the harsh reality of it

[Democratic Hawk]

Just to keep it interesting... here's the latest CNN poll:
Obama 52
Romney 43

http://i2.cdn.turner.com/cnn/2012/images/04/16/rel4a.pdf.

This is telling

Obama vote: 76% for Obama; 23% against Romney

Romney vote: 35% for Romney; 63% against Obama

[Democratic Hawk]

The GOP made gains across the board in 2010.  Regardless, Obama is currently campaigning on a very popular issue.  I don't think what you are saying will be much of a factor.

You keep thinking that to be true, but people don't actually vote that way when higher taxes are threatening. See tax initiative 1098.

Oh, so if Obama stops campaigning on an issue that 60% of Americans agree with him on, that will help him win in the general?  Nice try.

Uh huh. That's why of course outrageous tax policies fail even in King County.

Spare me that, given just how much supply-side has added to the US federal debt. That's the real outrage