How many white Democrats will be in the House from the South after 2012? (user search)
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  How many white Democrats will be in the House from the South after 2012? (search mode)
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Author Topic: How many white Democrats will be in the House from the South after 2012?  (Read 6022 times)
BigSkyBob
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Posts: 2,531


« on: September 18, 2011, 05:04:33 PM »

I can count only six for sure, two from NOVA, three from Florida (the Dems might get one or two more depending on what happens to the Alan West seat in redistricting, and whether the heavily but not majority black Corrine Brown seat is dumped and made more white putting in a white Dem), and what the courts do with the Pubbie plan), plus Price in NC.  A somewhat probable 7th seat is the Chandler seat in Kentucky where he would be a favorite. Cooper's fate in Tennessee depends on whether the Pubbies chop Nashville, which I suspect is in the cards. So it looks to me to be more likely than not a grand total of seven, plus a possible 8th or 9th from Florida. Oh, and maybe one more white Dem from Virginia, but I consider that reasonably unlikely.

Oh, and the Doggett thing in Texas. That is a wild card. So say 7.5 seats.

Have I missed anyone? How times have changed since I was a lad!

Louisville.
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BigSkyBob
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Posts: 2,531


« Reply #1 on: September 19, 2011, 12:25:40 AM »


Maybe Steve Cohen.
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