How many white Democrats will be in the House from the South after 2012? (user search)
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  How many white Democrats will be in the House from the South after 2012? (search mode)
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Author Topic: How many white Democrats will be in the House from the South after 2012?  (Read 6028 times)
Indy Texas
independentTX
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E: 0.52, S: -3.48

« on: April 17, 2012, 12:07:15 AM »

As few as seven, as many as thirteen.

ALABAMA: zero

ARKANSAS: zero (they showed up about twenty years late to their region's partisan realignment)

FLORIDA: 1 to 3
Ted Deutch and maybe a couple of others if Dems pick up any new seats or defeat any GOP freshmen (David Rivera and Allen West come to mind)

GEORGIA: zero
This is the last we will see of John Barrow

LOUISIANA: zero

MISSISSIPPI: zero

NORTH CAROLINA: 1-3
They got completely screwed in redistricting. David Price will likely be back, and perhaps Larry Kissell and/or Brad Miller. Aren't the rest retiring?

SOUTH CAROLINA: zero

TENNESSEE: two
Steve Cohen should be back. If Jim Cooper could survive 2010, he can survive 2012. I'm not aware of any significant changes in their state's redistricting.

TEXAS: 1-2
Gene Green is in a safe district (that is, ironically, mostly Hispanic). Lloyd Doggett is out of the fire and back in the frying pan.

VIRGINIA: 2-3
Jim Moran and Gerry Connolly. One of the GOP freshmen in NoVa could be picked off as well, and that will probably depend on the Obama effect.




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