Predict Q3 fundraising numbers

[Averroës Nix]

Revised prediction:

>50 - Obama

15 - Romney
12 - Perry
7 - Paul
6 - Huntsman
5 - Cain
3 - Gingrich
3 - Bachmann
<1 - Santorum
<1 - Johnson (Karger beat him in Q2!)

[Averroës Nix]

Huntsman at 4 million+ already. He's yet to report and apparently he's had a rather long fundraising cycle due to his time of entry or something.

Oh and I think I'll revise:
Obama up to 55 million as mentioned above
Add 1.5 to Cain
and
1 million to Newt

I thought that Huntsman's campaign was "running on fumes" and falling into debt. (I'm not implying that these circumstances are incompatible with him raising more than one million, but I haven't heard anything positive about his fundraising this quarter. And since he's apparently given only $500,000 of his own money to his campaign, I can't imagine where another 3.5 would come from.)

EDIT: Oh, crap. Are these cumulative? First cycle in which I've been following the fundraising numbers closely.

[Averroës Nix]

Huntsman at 4 million+ already. He's yet to report and apparently he's had a rather long fundraising cycle due to his time of entry or something.

Oh and I think I'll revise:
Obama up to 55 million as mentioned above
Add 1.5 to Cain
and
1 million to Newt

I thought that Huntsman's campaign was "running on fumes" and falling into debt. (I'm not implying that these circumstances are incompatible with him raising more than one million, but I haven't heard anything positive about his fundraising this quarter. And since he's apparently given only $500,000 of his own money to his campaign, I can't imagine where another 3.5 would come from.)

EDIT: Oh, crap. Are these cumulative? First cycle in which I've been following the fundraising numbers closely.

Huntsman's is cumulative by default, date of entry. That is supposedly why he's at $4 million. Keep in mind that if the same was true for candidate even like Cain or Gingrich they would likely be around $5-8 cumulatively. Some article I read said that Huntsman entered in some grace period or something before the end of Q2 and was able to delay reporting. So he's sitting on something like a whole Q plus maybe 2-4 more weeks.

I know that nothing else would make sense if this were cumulative, but I hadn't realized that Huntsman didn't actually file for Q2. Too much confusion.

[Averroës Nix]

What we know so far, and what we guessed:

Romney - 13-14

A. Nix  - 15
A-Bob - 15
Wonkish1 - 16
M. Mike - 19
T. Branson - 25

Paul - >5, 8 "within reach"

T. Branson - 6
A-Bob - 6.5
A. Nix - 7
Wonkish - 8

Santorum - <1

A. Nix - <1
T. Branson - 1
A-Bob - 1
Wonkish1 - 1.5

Perry - around 10

A-Bob - 11.5
A. Nix - 12
T. Branson - 15
Wonkish - 18
M. Mike - 18

Cain - >2

T. Branson - 2
Wonkish - 5
A. Nix - 5
A-Bob - 3.5

Gingrich - ?

T. Branson - 2
A-Bob - 2
A. Nix - 3
Wonkish - 5

Bachmann - ?

A. Nix - 3
A-Bob - 4
Wonkish - 6
T. Branson - 7

Johnson - ?

Wonkish - .5
A. Nix - <1

Huntsman - ?

A-Bob - 2.5
Wonkish - 5
A. Nix - 6
T. Branson - 8

Obama - ?

Wonkish - 48
A. Nix - >50
T. Branson - 50-60
A-Bob - 57
M. Mike - 60


I'll continue to edit this post as more information comes in from the "post Q3 fundraising" thread.

[Averroës Nix]

With more news on Perry, Romney, and Paul, I'm bumping this.

What we think we know so far, and what we guessed:

Perry - 17.2

Wonkish - 18
M. Mike - 18
T. Branson - 15
A-Bob - 11.5
A. Nix - 12

Romney -14.2

A. Nix  - 15
A-Bob - 15
Wonkish1 - 16
J. Madrid - 12
M. Mike - 19
T. Branson - 25

Paul - 8.3

Wonkish - 8
A. Nix - 7
T. Branson - 6
A-Bob - 6.5

Cain - 2.8

A-Bob - 3.5
T. Branson - 2
Wonkish - 5
A. Nix - 5
J. Madrid - 5

Santorum - 0.7

A. Nix - <1
T. Branson - 1
A-Bob - 1
J. Madrid - 1
Wonkish1 - 1.5

Gingrich - 0.8

T. Branson - 2
A-Bob - 2
J. Madrid - 3
A. Nix - 3
Wonkish - 5

Bachmann - 3.9

A-Bob - 4
A. Nix - 3
Wonkish - 6
J. Madrid - 6
T. Branson - 7

Johnson - 0.2

A. Nix - <1
Wonkish - .5

Huntsman - 4.5

Wonkish - 5
J. Madrid - 5
A. Nix - 6
A-Bob - 2.5
T. Branson - 8

Obama - 42.1

Wonkish - 48
A. Nix - >50
T. Branson - 50-60
A-Bob - 57
M. Mike - 60
J. Madrid - 62

I'll continue to edit this post as more information comes in from the "post Q3 fundraising" thread.