MA: Boston Herald/UMass-Lowell: Sen. Brown (R) slightly ahead of Warren (D)
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  MA: Boston Herald/UMass-Lowell: Sen. Brown (R) slightly ahead of Warren (D)
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Author Topic: MA: Boston Herald/UMass-Lowell: Sen. Brown (R) slightly ahead of Warren (D)  (Read 1346 times)
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« on: October 03, 2011, 01:10:40 AM »

New Poll: Massachusetts Senator by Boston Herald/UMass-Lowell on 2011-09-28

Summary: D: 38%, R: 41%, U: 21%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

...

41-38 Brown vs. Warren
36-43 Brown vs. Patrick
37-45 Brown vs. Kennedy

But Warren, despite never having run for elective office, is already the clear front-runner in the six-person Democratic race, getting 36 percent of 636 potential primary voters, while the rest of the field doesn't even crack 5 percent. More than 40 percent of Democratic voters are undecided or chose none of the above.

State Rep. Thomas P. Conroy gets 5 percent, followed by Marisa DeFranco at 4 percent, Alan Khazei and Bob Massie with 3 percent, and Herb Robinson with 1 percent. The poll was conducted before Newton Mayor Setti Warren withdrew from the race. He only got 3 percent of the total.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #1 on: October 03, 2011, 01:20:00 AM »

Here are the toplines:

http://www.uml.edu/Research/centers/public-opinion/polls/us-senate-polls.aspx
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #2 on: October 03, 2011, 01:27:14 AM »

Quick Scott, jump in the presidential race!
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #3 on: October 03, 2011, 10:36:33 AM »

Excellent. Personally I'd like to see him outperform his 2010 score.
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Miamiu1027
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« Reply #4 on: October 03, 2011, 12:22:31 PM »

Excellent. Personally I'd like to see him outperform his 2010 score.

an incumbent running at 36-41% is far from "excellent"
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change08
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« Reply #5 on: October 03, 2011, 01:40:48 PM »

Why are the other Democrats leading while Warren trails?
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Capitan Zapp Brannigan
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« Reply #6 on: October 03, 2011, 02:07:35 PM »

Why are the other Democrats leading while Warren trails?
The only 2 other Dems they tested were Patrick and a Kennedy. They are both far better known than Warren is. Give her time.
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Verily
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« Reply #7 on: October 03, 2011, 02:09:59 PM »

Why are the other Democrats leading while Warren trails?
The only 2 other Dems they tested were Patrick and a Kennedy. They are both far better known than Warren is. Give her time.

The Patrick numbers confirm that the reason the Democrats haven't been doing well against Brown is mostly name recognition. Although, TBH, his failure to poll more than low 40s makes it pretty clear that he's doomed anyway. There isn't much question where most of the "undecideds" will go.
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GLPman
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« Reply #8 on: October 03, 2011, 03:07:37 PM »

Doubtful that Patrick will run. Warren will most likely be the nominee.
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Miamiu1027
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« Reply #9 on: October 05, 2011, 10:38:27 AM »

how did she do in the debate last night?  Boston Globe talked about it in glowing terms but I'm not sure that carries any meaning.
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Nathan
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« Reply #10 on: October 05, 2011, 03:20:55 PM »

how did she do in the debate last night?  Boston Globe talked about it in glowing terms but I'm not sure that carries any meaning.

The Herald was impressed as well, and the Herald is Boston's more conservative paper.
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