FL: War Room Logistics (R): Obama well ahead of the Republicans
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
March 29, 2024, 02:11:36 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2012 Elections
  2012 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls
  FL: War Room Logistics (R): Obama well ahead of the Republicans
« previous next »
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: FL: War Room Logistics (R): Obama well ahead of the Republicans  (Read 1164 times)
Eraserhead
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,405
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: October 03, 2011, 08:38:26 PM »

Obama 48%
Romney 42%

Over 50% against the other Republicans tested.

http://www.tampabay.com/blogs/the-buzz-florida-politics/content/fla-poll-romney-28-cain-24-gingrich-10-perry-9
Logged
Mehmentum
Icefire9
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,594
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: October 03, 2011, 09:50:19 PM »

How accurate is this pollster?  Given Obama's position elsewhere, I'm unsure of this poll.
Logged
memphis
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,959


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: October 03, 2011, 10:17:19 PM »

Doubt it. Neither party wins big in Florida. Doesn't work that way.
Logged
The world will shine with light in our nightmare
Just Passion Through
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 45,175
Norway


Political Matrix
E: -6.32, S: -7.48

P P P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: October 03, 2011, 10:20:58 PM »

Doubt it. Neither party wins big in Florida. Doesn't work that way.
Logged
Swing low, sweet chariot. Comin' for to carry me home.
jmfcst
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 18,212
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: October 03, 2011, 10:39:39 PM »


if Obama is ahead of Romney by 6 in this sample, and Romney up 4 on Cain.... if we assume in reality that Romney is within a couple of points of Obama, then certainly Cain is much closer to Romney than 4 points...in fact, Cain my actually be in front of Romney in FL.
Logged
pbrower2a
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 26,843
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: October 03, 2011, 11:12:09 PM »


In view of a recent poll in Virginia in which Rick Perry is behind by 10%, I can see a collapse by Perry. Republicans can lose such states as Florida and Virginia by 10% or more only in major landslides. Florida was about R+3 in 2008.  and if Perry is 17% behind the President at this stage, I can see almost a 60-40 split of the popular vote with some weird things going on.

I am unlikely to believe that the 6% advantage shown for the President is valid.
Logged
Eraserhead
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,405
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: October 03, 2011, 11:26:17 PM »


if Obama is ahead of Romney by 6 in this sample, and Romney up 4 on Cain.... if we assume in reality that Romney is within a couple of points of Obama, then certainly Cain is much closer to Romney than 4 points...in fact, Cain my actually be in front of Romney in FL.

That literally made no sense at all.
Logged
The_Texas_Libertarian
TXMichael
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 825
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: October 03, 2011, 11:32:08 PM »

Republicans are ahead of Obama by a decent margin in the most recent North Carolina poll and Obama is ahead of the Republican candidates by a nice size in Florida?  Weird polls.  The two states only differed by about 2 percentage points in 2008.  Very weird mixed results.
Logged
NVGonzalez
antwnzrr
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,687
Mexico


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: October 04, 2011, 01:25:33 AM »

Logged
Torie
Moderators
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 46,057
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -3.48, S: -4.70

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: October 04, 2011, 03:10:58 PM »


if Obama is ahead of Romney by 6 in this sample, and Romney up 4 on Cain.... if we assume in reality that Romney is within a couple of points of Obama, then certainly Cain is much closer to Romney than 4 points...in fact, Cain my actually be in front of Romney in FL.

That literally made no sense at all.

My declining old brain had a penetration problem as well with that particular text. Smiley
Logged
Swing low, sweet chariot. Comin' for to carry me home.
jmfcst
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 18,212
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: October 04, 2011, 03:15:42 PM »

I was saying if this poll is skewed towards Obama (+6) in an Obama/Romney matchup, then it is also probably skewed towards Romney (+4) in a Romney/Cain matchup....therefore, Cain may not actually be trailing Romney at all in FL.
Logged
Eraserhead
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,405
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: October 04, 2011, 03:18:22 PM »

I was saying if this poll is skewed towards Obama (+6) in an Obama/Romney matchup, then it is also probably skewed towards Romney (+4) in a Romney/Cain matchup....therefore, Cain may not actually be trailing Romney at all in FL.

Okay but that doesn't make any sense. Even if we were to accept your idea of a Republican poll being skewed towards Obama, why would that also make it skewed toward Romney?
Logged
Swing low, sweet chariot. Comin' for to carry me home.
jmfcst
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 18,212
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #12 on: October 04, 2011, 03:35:26 PM »

I was saying if this poll is skewed towards Obama (+6) in an Obama/Romney matchup, then it is also probably skewed towards Romney (+4) in a Romney/Cain matchup....therefore, Cain may not actually be trailing Romney at all in FL.

Okay but that doesn't make any sense. Even if we were to accept your idea of a Republican poll being skewed towards Obama, why would that also make it skewed toward Romney?

because it is skewed towards the Left...?
Logged
Eraserhead
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,405
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #13 on: October 04, 2011, 03:39:36 PM »

I was saying if this poll is skewed towards Obama (+6) in an Obama/Romney matchup, then it is also probably skewed towards Romney (+4) in a Romney/Cain matchup....therefore, Cain may not actually be trailing Romney at all in FL.

Okay but that doesn't make any sense. Even if we were to accept your idea of a Republican poll being skewed towards Obama, why would that also make it skewed toward Romney?

because it is skewed towards the Left...?

...
Logged
King
intermoderate
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 29,357
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #14 on: October 04, 2011, 04:56:02 PM »

If Cain can win IA, he will swing FL. If he doesn't, then Romney takes the cake.
Logged
Pages: [1]  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.218 seconds with 15 queries.