WV Governor - The Results Thread
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Author Topic: WV Governor - The Results Thread  (Read 11573 times)
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« on: October 04, 2011, 06:36:31 PM »
http://hosted.ap.org/dynamic/files/elections/2011/by_county/WV_Governor_1004.html?SITE=AP&SECTION=POLITICS
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #1 on: October 04, 2011, 06:49:30 PM »
Tomblin starts with an 18-point advantage !

2 precincts in ...
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redcommander
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« Reply #2 on: October 04, 2011, 06:56:08 PM »
Tomblin 55
Maloney 41

With 6 precints
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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E: -6.06, S: -4.84

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« Reply #3 on: October 04, 2011, 07:08:58 PM »
Meh, really slow ...
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Shilly
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« Reply #4 on: October 04, 2011, 07:09:40 PM »
This site is a lot faster than the AP.
http://apps.sos.wv.gov/elections/results/statesummary.aspx
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #5 on: October 04, 2011, 07:10:39 PM »
Now 60-37 Tomblin.
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Talleyrand
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« Reply #6 on: October 04, 2011, 07:11:39 PM »
Now 52-45 Tomblin.
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Snowstalker Mk. II
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« Reply #7 on: October 04, 2011, 07:12:51 PM »
Damn, 90% Tomblin in Logan county with 7 precincts in?

I'm thinking he wins by around 15 points.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #8 on: October 04, 2011, 07:15:14 PM »
Looks good for Tomblin.
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The world will shine with light in our nightmare
Just Passion Through
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« Reply #9 on: October 04, 2011, 07:16:13 PM »
Still a long night ahead, but it looks okay so far.
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Talleyrand
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« Reply #10 on: October 04, 2011, 07:16:43 PM »
http://www.wvmetronews.com/election/results.cfm?func=showresults&show=governor

A good link that was posted on DK. A lot faster.
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Sam Spade
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« Reply #11 on: October 04, 2011, 07:20:32 PM »

No counties, though, and hence useless.

Based on what I'm seeing so far, Tomblin should win, but less than Manchin 2010 (which is a wide range, but hey).  Still a lot to count, of course.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #12 on: October 04, 2011, 07:21:49 PM »
52-45-3

If it stays that way, my prediction would be dead-on.
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Torie
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« Reply #13 on: October 04, 2011, 07:23:05 PM »

Actually in a quick sample of counties I eyeballed, the Dem is either behind a break even pace 52-48, or about dead even. And the Dem is under performing in the big counties. I will be out for an hour. In 30 minutes we may be able to call this race. I expect you guys to call it before I resurface! Tongue

What are the home counties for the two candidates? Tomblin's performance really sucks in Ohio county. There the Dem is running behind a break even margin by 4 points, in other words if Ohio matched the state, the Pubbie would win 54-46.
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redcommander
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« Reply #14 on: October 04, 2011, 07:27:38 PM »
What are the chances of most of the votes coming in right now being absentee?
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JohnnyLongtorso
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« Reply #15 on: October 04, 2011, 07:29:48 PM »
Tomblin is from Logan County, Maloney is from Monongalia.
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Seattle
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« Reply #16 on: October 04, 2011, 07:30:51 PM »
Quote from: JohnnyLongtorso on October 04, 2011, 07:29:48 PM
Tomblin is from Logan County, Maloney is from Monongalia.

That explains those margins!
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Talleyrand
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« Reply #17 on: October 04, 2011, 07:31:33 PM »
Quote from: Sam Spade on October 04, 2011, 07:20:32 PM

No counties, though, and hence useless.

Based on what I'm seeing so far, Tomblin should win, but less than Manchin 2010 (which is a wide range, but hey).  Still a lot to count, of course.

http://www.wvmetronews.com/election/countybycounty.cfm
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Torie
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E: -3.48, S: -4.70

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« Reply #18 on: October 04, 2011, 07:31:39 PM »
Quote from: redcommander on October 04, 2011, 07:27:38 PM
What are the chances of most of the votes coming in right now being absentee?

Could be. Nothing is in from the Pubbie strongholds by the way, or at least that was the case 10-15 minutes ago. I am out of here now.
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Sam Spade
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« Reply #19 on: October 04, 2011, 07:34:05 PM »
Coal county turnout is quite good.  If what I'm seeing from current results - will probably be what puts Tomblin over the top (if it does), because he's running more than ten points behind Manchin 2010 in a lot of places.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #20 on: October 04, 2011, 07:39:33 PM »
Tomblin pulling a bit away now:

52-44

9000 vote advantage with 30% in
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #21 on: October 04, 2011, 07:42:12 PM »
The map will be quite something.
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Sam Spade
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« Reply #22 on: October 04, 2011, 07:46:35 PM »
Will probably end up being between 4-6 points in the end, but I'm calling it.

Curious to see how much the margin in Tomblin's district accounts for his victory.
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Miles
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« Reply #23 on: October 04, 2011, 07:48:00 PM »
with about 34% in, its tightened at 51-45 Tomblin.
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Miles
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« Reply #24 on: October 04, 2011, 07:50:32 PM »
Quote from: Seattle on October 04, 2011, 07:30:51 PM
Quote from: JohnnyLongtorso on October 04, 2011, 07:29:48 PM
Tomblin is from Logan County, Maloney is from Monongalia.

That explains those margins!


Looks like Tomblin got about 90% in Logan! lol
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